Sundog Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 That 90 looks a bit sketchy don't you think for TEB. It's a good 5-6 degrees higher than most places. TEB has been broken for months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 I think it was 64 in KNYC this morning...Since the 1950's the coolest it has been on this date is 63... With only 3 90 degree days at the park we need 4 more days to tie 2009. But NYC has only had 1-3 90 degree days in August 2011-2013 and only 1 90 in September. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/climate/records/90degdays.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Looks to be rain free today thank god The day is still kind of ruined for anyone with beach or pool plans unless the sun comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Sun is out here, that's a surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 67 here right now with cloudy skies. Really cool morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Picked up 0.00" since midnight. No complaints here after the deluge yesterday. We might destabilize again and fire more activity then expected with mostly sunny skies to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Today feels like its going to be one of those muggy August days with temps in the 70s and sun peaking through on occasion...tomorrow as well. Most places will stay dry and by this afternoon outdoor activities can commence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Believe it or not, even the GFS hasn't really been consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Today feels like its going to be one of those muggy August days with temps in the 70s and sun peaking through on occasion...tomorrow as well. Most places will stay dry and by this afternoon outdoor activities can commence Models now have a rainy day tomorrow for a lot of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 The Euro is about 0.75"-1.00" area wide spread out over the next several days. Activity looks convective so as usual we'll have winners and losers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 The Euro is about 0.75"-1.00" area wide spread out over the next several days. Activity looks convective so as usual we'll have winners and losers. Naturally with convection i will be on the losing end for sure . Nice that today was not a total washout, not exactly beach weather but it isnt that terrible drizzly and dreary day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 I think our best chance for a prolonged (2-3+ days) heat spell is late August. On the ECMWF weeklies, pattern progresses from a sub normal first week of August to near normal temps Aug 10th-20th, then essentially a nationwide warmer than normal pattern for the final 10-11 days of meteorological summer. While there's lower skill in week 3-4, I like the idea of a pattern shifting to predominately warmer than normal as we head deeper into August and then September. Analog support for that as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 I think our best chance for a prolonged (2-3+ days) heat spell is late August. On the ECMWF weeklies, pattern progresses from a sub normal first week of August to near normal temps Aug 10th-20th, then essentially a nationwide warmer than normal pattern for the final 10-11 days of meteorological summer. While there's lower skill in week 3-4, I like the idea of a pattern shifting to predominately warmer than normal as we head deeper into August. Analog support for that as well. Is it true the weeklies have a TC hitting the mid-Atlantic the third week of August? Heard that somewhere else. Had no idea that they are that specific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Just because the last third of August might be above normal doesn't mean we will see 90s. By then even mid 80s are going to be above normal. The change from trough to ridge will open up the tropic possibilities too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Is it true the weeklies have a TC hitting the mid-Atlantic the third week of August? Heard that somewhere else. Had no idea that they are that specific. It's an ensemble mean, so I highly doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Only made it to 73 here today with 0.49" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Is it true the weeklies have a TC hitting the mid-Atlantic the third week of August? Heard that somewhere else. Had no idea that they are that specific. I believe that is in reference to the specialized ECMWF long range tropical product. But I don't have any information on the success rate so far out in time for recent years individual storm threats. It may just be highlighting an area that could see some general tropical development. http://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/latest-tropical-cyclones-forecast Tropical cyclone activity: these products are based on tropical cyclone activity througout the forecast. They are produced twice a day from the ENS, twice a week for the extended range (month ahead) and once a month for the seasonal forecasts. They give an indication of the potential tropical cyclone activity in the coming days, weeks and months. More information about the tropical cyclone products can be found in ECMWF Newsletter No. 130 (pp 17-23) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 For you hot weather fans... hit 100 degrees here on Aug 1st, 2nd and 3rd... 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 For you hot weather fans... hit 100 degrees here on Aug 1st, 2nd and 3rd... 2006. A couple of weeks before that we had the big gust front which kicked up quite a mini sandstorm in Long Beach during the evening. I went out to watch it approach and got sandblasted as the visibility fell very quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Only made it to 73 here today with 0.49" of rain. 72/65 for my high/low today after 0.90" of rain. Weather you'd typically see in the latter part of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 I believe that is in reference to the specialized ECMWF long range tropical product. But I don't have any information on the success rate so far out in time for recent years individual storm threats. It may just be highlighting an area that could see some general tropical development. http://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/latest-tropical-cyclones-forecast Tropical cyclone activity: these products are based on tropical cyclone activity througout the forecast. They are produced twice a day from the ENS, twice a week for the extended range (month ahead) and once a month for the seasonal forecasts. They give an indication of the potential tropical cyclone activity in the coming days, weeks and months. More information about the tropical cyclone products can be found in ECMWF Newsletter No. 130 (pp 17-23) Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Thanks Sure. It would be interesting to see how it compares to this product. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/tcforecast/tcforecast.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Some photos from today. Courtesy of high pressure near Nova Scotia and swells from Tropical Storm Bertha, the Long Island Sound had higher surf than usual.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 GFS and NAM seem to agree on another 0.5-1" of rain for eastern NJ and LI late tonight into tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 3, 2014 Author Share Posted August 3, 2014 GFS and NAM seem to agree on another 0.5-1" of rain for eastern NJ and LI late tonight into tomorrow morning. Picked up .03" of rain yesterday, 0.45" of rain today, curious to see what develops overnight if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted August 3, 2014 Share Posted August 3, 2014 Some photos from today. Courtesy of high pressure near Nova Scotia and swells from Tropical Storm Bertha, the Long Island Sound had higher surf than usual.. I also saw that today here in Baiting hollow, where exactly are those photos taken from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 3, 2014 Share Posted August 3, 2014 I also saw that today here in Baiting hollow, where exactly are those photos taken from? The photos were taken at Larchmont, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted August 3, 2014 Share Posted August 3, 2014 Nice pics Don. Had .64 rain total Friday Saturday morning. Today was actually not bad at all considering the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted August 3, 2014 Share Posted August 3, 2014 So much for it being sunny today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 4, 2014 Share Posted August 4, 2014 So much for it being sunny today Cleared out nicely here after noon time. Dry air pushed down the Hudson Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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