SnoSki14 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 9:36 PM, REDMK6GLI said: Winterwarlock the new moderator More shocking is that he's not downplaying the rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 9:50 PM, SnoSki14 said: More shocking is that he's not downplaying the rain event. well I mean its not like this is going to be an all out deluge. same places will surely jackpot IMO west of NYC, NJ/W.PA up to LHV and SWCT northward...im going to be down in AC till Friday afternoon so I can care less what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 10:03 PM, REDMK6GLI said: well I mean its not like this is going to be an all out deluge. same places will surely jackpot IMO west of NYC, NJ/W.PA up to LHV and SWCT northward...im going to be down in AC till Friday afternoon so I can care less what happens Doesn't mean that fishing talk should be In this thread though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 5:36 PM, forkyfork said: i wouldn't eat anything from the water around here Its funny you bring it up...a few days ago someone I know said their friends were going fishing in the area and said they were going to give her some of what they caught and she asked me if I wanted any of the fish...I said no...wouldn't eat anything caught around here because I assume the waters are fairly polluted from whatever heavy industry dumps in. In fairness, I will admit I'm far from an authority on the cleanliness of these waters...but, as Howell Heflin once said, "When in doubt, don't." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 10:03 PM, REDMK6GLI said: well I mean its not like this is going to be an all out deluge. same places will surely jackpot IMO west of NYC, NJ/W.PA up to LHV and SWCT northward...im going to be down in AC till Friday afternoon so I can care less what happens If it always "jackpots" everywhere but Long Island...how does Long Island have either equal or greater annual precipitation averages than most spots in the region? (Average annual precip. is around 49 inches out at NWS Upton...far from the wettest spot on the Island.) http://www.bnl.gov/weather/4cast/MonthlyPrecip.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 7:41 PM, winterwarlock said: Banter thread please...we have a big rain event coming lets discuss that First time I have ever agreed with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 7:51 PM, jm1220 said: Models have mostly 1-2" rain amounts here. That's hardly a big rain event. We'll likely have a heavy line of rain for a few hours as a low spins up offshore but there shouldn't be enough for any problems. Better than fish talk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Todays Highs TEB: 89 NYC: 87 EWR: 85 LGA: 87 JFK: 84 ISP: 83 New Brnsiwck: 86 TTN: 84 ACY: 81 PHL: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Models continue to forecast a shift to a warmer pattern on/around 8/18 and perhaps lingering into the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 What kind of warmth are we talking for last third of month exactly? Will it be upper 80s to 90 type heat or a string of 90s or will it be mostly high mins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 2:29 AM, SnoSki14 said: What kind of warmth are we talking for last third of month exactly? Will it be upper 80s to 90 type heat or a string of 90s or will it be mostly high mins? Yes. The ECMWF weeklies tonight continue w/ the idea of warmer than normal temps from about August 18th right through the end of the run on September 10th-12th. Mid level ridge builds over SE Canada / E USA as the mean trough axis retrogrades into the northern Plains/Rockies. I still think NYC sees its first official heat wave sometime in the Aug 19th-Labor Day period, with plenty of warm minima and high dew point air as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 3:31 AM, Isotherm said: Yes.Lol, my boss anawers multi question emails like that. It looks like a warm pattern for both highs and lows. Probably an extended 90/70 period and pretty humid as well.Edit; I may have jumped the gun a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Weeklies valid the 23rd, end of August, and early September: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Nights have been pretty comfortable. .. haven't had a low of 70 or higher here since july 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Ridge me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Hottest part of summer ahead ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Lovely morning weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 10:24 AM, Mikehobbyst said: Hottest part of summer ahead ?? in 1960 and 1976 KNYC had it's first and only heat wave in late August...both years had a hurricane hit Long Island...edit...1976 had an April heat wave three days long...How did I forget that?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/11/2014 at 10:49 PM, William said: If it always "jackpots" everywhere but Long Island...how does Long Island have either equal or greater annual precipitation averages than most spots in the region? (Average annual precip. is around 49 inches out at NWS Upton...far from the wettest spot on the Island.) http://www.bnl.gov/weather/4cast/MonthlyPrecip.htm Because it's the summer ... even your wet, beloved LI does consistently worse with precip than most other areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 lately Long Island is bullseyed in the winter...I'll settle for that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 12z NAM is now showing the LI rain hole for tonight into tomorrow. Still close to an inch for NYC and up to 2" for parts of the area: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 5:48 PM, bluewave said: It's going to feel like early fall in the cool spots later this week. f69.gif Long Island, Nice jump zone ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 2:08 PM, ag3 said: 12z NAM is now showing the LI rain hole for tonight into tomorrow. Still close to an inch for NYC and up to 2" for parts of the area: Toss the NAM, it's gonna rain a lot more than that across most of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 5:59 PM, bluewave said: The MOS has some 50's out in the Pine Barrens early Friday. The Euro does a little better on the LI rainfall for the parched lawns than the NAM. But we'll see... WESTHAMPTON BEACH KFOK GFS MOS GUIDANCE 8/12/2014 1200 UTC DT /AUG 12/AUG 13 /AUG 14 /AUG 15 HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 N/X 71 79 59 80 54 I meant QPF . My bad looks like a jump in the QPF max . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 6:04 PM, danstorm said: Toss the NAM, it's gonna rain a lot more than that across most of the area. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Yeh that looks healthy . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 12z Euro still a widespread 1"-2"+ for the entire area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 The Euro sees less precip out on Suffolk County too. There is an inch there . But the 2 plus looks off to the SW then NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 The euro is already busting because philly area looks like they are under some good rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 6:23 PM, bluewave said: The seasonal trend hasn't been your friend so far if you have a big lawn out in Suffolk. 20140805_northeast_none.png 60dPDataNRCC.png It's the fairly typical summer drought that develops along the coastal areas because they miss out on the inland T-storm activity. Hopefully tomorrow makes a dent in it but models are focusing more and more on NJ today, as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 On 8/12/2014 at 6:41 PM, winterwarlock said: The euro is already busting because philly area looks like they are under some good rains The euro has Philly around 1"... That looks reasonable at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.