Rtd208 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The first weekend of August is looking wet, the GFS has been catching on over the last few runs and now shows a fairly unsettled weekend in store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The CFS is going for more of the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The CFSV2 has been pretty good in it`s monthlies since it`s upgrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The CFSV2 has been pretty good in it`s monthlies since it`s upgrade This -EPO keeps going into winter with a possible weak el nino...... Well that for another thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 August stats for KNYC... decade ave temp..max...min....ave max/min..........................................................1870's.....73.7.......na.....na.....na.....na1880's.....72.0.......96.....50.....90.6.....54.21890's.....74.2.......98.....52.....92.8.....56.91900's.....73.8.......96.....54.....91.8.....58.11910's.....73.5.....104.....51.....93.8.....56.81920's.....73.0.......99.....51.....92.8.....55.31930's.....75.5.....100.....52.....94.9.....58.51940's.....74.5.....103.....52.....95.6.....55.41950's.....75.0.....100.....54.....93.4.....57.91960's.....74.6.......94.....50.....91.8.....56.21970's.....76.0.......98.....50.....94.2.....57.11980's.....75.9.......99.....50.....93.7.....57.21990's.....75.5.......98.....57.....93.3.....59.42000's.....75.9.....103.....56.....94.2.....60.02010's.....76.0.......96.....59.....92.8.....60.01870/1880-2009 ave 74.5.....104.....50.....93.3.....57.21980-2009 ave 75.8.....103.....50.....93.7.....58.9 ............................................................................................................ Warmest.............Coolest.............Wettest.............Driest...........80.3 in 1980.....68.5 in 1927.....18.95" in 2011.....0.18" in 199579.7 in 2005.....69.1 in 1903.....12.36" in 1990.....0.24" in 196478.8 in 1988.....70.0 in 1887.....10.86" in 1955.....0.54" in 191678.7 in 2001.....70.2 in 1886.......9.83" in 1927.....0.59" in 198178.5 in 1995.....70.3 in 1874.......9.56" in 1873.....0.86" in 188178.2 in 1938.....70.4 in 1883.......9.37" in 1971.....0.95" in 188678.1 in 1955.....70.6 in 1889.......9.28" in 1911.....1.07" in 191078.0 in 1939.....70.6 in 1894.......9.08" in 1942.....1.14" in 188277.8 in 1944.....70.9 in 1946.......8.97" in 1875.....1.16" in 198077.7 in 2002.....71.1 in 1919.......8.85" in 1933.....1.17" in 189477.7 in 1983Hottest max........Lowest min....104 8/07/1918...50 8/27/1885103 8/26/1948...50 8/28/1885103 8/09/2001...50 8/29/1965102 8/11/1944...50 8/29/1982101 8/28/1948...50 8/29/1986101 8/04/1944...50 8/30/1965100 8/31/1953...50 8/31/1976100 8/28/1948...51 8/23/1923100 8/09/1949...51 8/27/1887100 8/05/1944...51 8/30/1986100 8/05/1955...51 8/31/1965100 8/02/1955100 8/01/1933Highest min.........Coolest max...84 8/14/1908...59 8/21/200783 8/02/2006...59 8/31/191182 8/13/1908...60 8/10/196282 8/09/1896...60 8/28/194082 8/09/2001...61 8/26/194082 8/07/191882 8/01/191781 8/15/198881 8/11/189181 8/11/189681 8/05/1908Coolest monthly max...83 in 192786 in 191087 in 188987 in 189488 in 196388 in 195088 in 1904warmest monthly min...65 in 200564 in 187764 in 198063 in 190163 in 2001...# of times 90 or higher...15 in 198014 in 200213 in 195913 in 199512 in 201011 in 193911 in 194410 in 189610 in 193610 in 195510 in 198810 in 1991 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 August stats for KNYC... Thanks Unc. As always just a wealth of data and info. I wish we can start a fund to cleanup and landscape the Central Park weather station. The last 20 or so years of records are clearly impacted vs the other stations in the summer while in prior decades the park ran closer and often times warmer than EWR/LGA and others. But it is what it is and the park will continue to be the center for NYC weather reports and perception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Euro weeklies for August. I got this from my friend on another board. 6th-11th average to slightly above normal temperatures 12th-15th ridge/above normal 16th-20th massive trough below normal Ridge 21st-23rd slightly above normal Tropical system affecting mid-Atlantic 23rd/24th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 it looks we will have our first ugly weekend of the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 What are the record low maximum temperatures for August 2nd? The 00z ECMWF tops us out in the low-mid 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 What are the record low maximum temperatures for August 1st? The 00z ECMWF tops us out in the low-mid 60's. For Friday? My forecast is mid 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 For Friday? My forecast is mid 80s Sorry I meant August 2nd, Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Thanks Unc. As always just a wealth of data and info. I wish we can start a fund to cleanup and landscape the Central Park weather station. The last 20 or so years of records are clearly impacted vs the other stations in the summer while in prior decades the park ran closer and often times warmer than EWR/LGA and others. But it is what it is and the park will continue to be the center for NYC weather reports and perception. it took me years to compile those records...Someone else should look into Newark and LGA...They have their flaws also... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Sorry I meant August 2nd, Saturday. It would have to rain all day to have a high in the 60s..we can have temps in the 60s during the day but the max for the date would still likely be 70+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 It would have to rain all day to have a high in the 60s..we can have temps in the 60s during the day but the max for the date would still likely be 70+ I would agree with that statement. The Euro isn't that far off from showing an all day rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 record low maximums are in the upper 60's in early August and drop to as low as 60 on the 10th... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 I would agree with that statement. The Euro isn't that far off from showing an all day rain event. Fantastic and I was gonna head down the shore this weekend too. I've lucked out previously with forecasts or rain and storms only to not have them occur so any chance that happens this Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Thank god I went to the shore last weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Fantastic and I was gonna head down the shore this weekend too. I've lucked out previously with forecasts or rain and storms only to not have them occur so any chance that happens this Saturday. My annual company fishing trip is this Saturday, looks like I picked a great year to skip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The Euro is coming in about 6 hours slower this run. Bad news for those hoping to salvage Saturday plans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Saturday night still looks salvagable, like from about 20z on. Sunday afternoon/evening look damp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Saturday night still looks salvagable, like from about 20z on. Sunday afternoon/evening look wet though. Euro has almost nothing after 2pm Saturday. Rain is from 8am to 2pm. When a model, especially the euro shows .03" of total precip from 2pm to 8pm, it's negligible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Euro has almost nothing after 2pm Saturday. Rain is from 8am to 2pm. When a model, especially the euro shows .03" of total precip from 2pm to 8pm, it's negligible 20z is 4PM. I'm not sure what point you're trying to make. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The Euro is still going with highs <70 for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 How's the Euro look for Sunday? Beyond? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 How's the Euro look for Sunday? Beyond? Looked as if Sunday would be pretty nasty but the rain never seems to make it this far north. Just looks like showers for now. The rest of the week looks dry until Thursday/Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Looked as if Sunday would be pretty nasty but the rain never seems to make it this far north. Just looks like showers for now. The rest of the week looks dry until Thursday/Friday. Is it warm/humid or cool/dry next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Is it warm/humid or cool/dry next week? The middle of next week looks like 80's with dews mostly in the 60's to near 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Recent cool July Days EWR: 7/20/2012 : 73/64 (0.63) 7/25/2013: 68/64 (Trace) NYC: 7/20/2012: 72/61 (0.58) 7/25/2013: 68/64 (Trace) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Recent cool July Days EWR: 7/20/2012 : 73/64 (0.63) 7/25/2013: 68/64 (Trace) NYC: 7/20/2012: 72/61 (0.58) 7/25/2013: 68/64 (Trace) I remember those-even colder here-the 2012 one had stratiform rain with a temp of 60 for most of the afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The 12z ECMWF ensemble mean is wetter than the op for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.