HoarfrostHubb Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Swamp maples turning in Hubbardston. Nothing new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 HPC says pattern change THOUGHT THIS FORECAST PACKAGE DISPLAYED A VERY SUBTLE ANDINTRIGUING PATTERN SHIFT FOR THE LOWER 48. BEST WAY TO DESCRIBETHE CHANGES--THE PERSISTENT COOL PATTERN IN THE NORTHEASTERN USBECOMES CLOUDIER WITH HIGHER TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 What a heat failure on those last few euro runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 All those beautiful, sunny 80-85 forecasts for today already in trouble. High clouds now and looking up to our NW..thick clouds moving in from NY state. if yesterday didn't piss enough people off..this afternoon's clouds and cool certainly will esp when all forecasts had sun filled dancing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 It's already warmer now 64.3 than the high yesterday of 62.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 I didn't see one forecast for 80-85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 I didn't see one forecast for 80-85.You don't live in CT. Did you see sunny all day forecasts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 You don't live in CT. Did you see sunny all day forecasts? I saw BDL with U70s as of 715am on the NWS ZFP. I didn't watch any outlets this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 I tried once a few years ago..didn't help. If I were him I'd just get a weather bridge and it would simplify the whole process. Might be a little complicated though depending on your abilities. I asked both you and Ginx to stop by and see if you could assist me..but noone ever came. The offer still stands if someone is able to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 I have no internet at the apartment until Tuesday. Could someone besides Kev tell me what the deal is with these showers and storms on Sunday? Doesn't sound widespread by any means. I can really only read discos and these forums right now to figure stuff out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Doesn't look like much of anything. Maybe some predawn showers and that's about it. If the front slows, maybe a 20% chance of a storm tomorrow aftn. Whole lotta meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 What a heat failure on those last few euro runs. Yea I mentioned this yesterday at the end of an opine ... how the overall mass fields, as derived off the multi-member ensembles (GEFs) have not ever (just yet) supported that negative PNAP circulation construct. It's been tossed around periodically by the operational runs, where their respective ensemble means have suggested more of a pattern relaxation than an all out reversal ... such as some of these recent operational GFS runs have demonstrated. The Euro is not exempt from blame there, either, as though it's 00z run has all but entirely obliterated that theme in lieu of persistence reasserting its self ... it too had a few runs prior that illustrated the same idea. Yet, NCEP yesterday read as though they bit on the idea of a western trough/eastern ridge couplet setting in across the mid-latitudes of N/A during next week.. I think at this time of year it is exceptionally difficult to employ corrective techniques, particularly those derived by teleconnector use. Most know this ... but the wave convolution is typically higher in summer, and the shortened wave-lengths therein requires that the correlations must also be different. For example, a -1.0 NAO means a different implication in July/August -vs- January/February. And that's true up and down the scale, and throughout all the various calculated domain spaces (EPO, AO, PNA, WPO...etc etc..). NCEP most recent rendition does back off the -PNAP idea a bit, opting for summary that reads a bit more like pattern relaxation rather than a heat bearing reversal: ...OVERVIEW... UPPER-LEVEL JET INTENSIFICATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN PACIFIC LEADS TO THE TRANSITION FROM HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROUGH OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST US--TO A MORE ZONAL AND FLATTER LOW AMPLITUDE/PROGRESSIVE PATTERN FOR THE THIS MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. The discussion they put out is a good read, btw - folks should take that in. Anyway, one thing is for certain is that the Pacific circulation is changing significantly heading into the middle range (and who knows if that lasts into the extended...) Enough so that it really should usurp the flow over N/A. "Weather" that means redistributing the geopotential nodes (high and low) into a -PNAP out in time, or merely signifies the roulette wheel of take a guess has been spun, remains to be seen ... but I suspect the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 When Ventrice calls for it.. It's coming @MJVentrice: Forecast calls for an upcoming period of warmer than average weather over eastern two thirds #CoolingDemand http://t.co/kJnu6JpHbK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 I've noticed when a met somehow or indirectly calls for something that may not even be applicable to his backyard..Kevin claims "when _____ calls for it...it's coming." So cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Is New England in the "Eastern 2/3 of the US"? He's your boss .. I wouldn't go against him if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 When Ventrice calls for it.. It's coming @MJVentrice: Forecast calls for an upcoming period of warmer than average weather over eastern two thirds #CoolingDemand http://t.co/kJnu6JpHbK Its bound to happen at some point. But at this point we've seen this movie several times already this summer, and it hasn't happened. But its bound to happen at some point, that being warmer than normal couple week period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 This might have been the coolest morning across the state in July or August in about 4 years. 40s nearly made it down to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Its bound to happen at some point. But at this point we've seen this movie several times already this summer, and it hasn't happened. But its bound to happen at some point, that being warmer than normal couple week period.Yeah no big heat but like HPC said high humidity and AN temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Is New England in the "Eastern 2/3 of the US"? He's your boss .. I wouldn't go against him if I were you. Thanks for the tip, chief. There is a difference when referencing a general region such as the East and then a very specific area like NE. We were talking yesterday. He's not my boss BTW. Not my dept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Obviously we have nowhere to go, but up in temps...but it almost has a look where the big heat is capped to the southwest of us. I don't see anything terribly AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Who's Ventrice? What position does he play and for which team? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Beauty of a day...what a summer. Eventually it warms but it's always been advertised to come and it gets muted everytime. At any rate, any warmup won't be terribly hot....that part of the summer is behind us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Beauty of a day...what a summer. Eventually it warms but it's always been advertised to come and it gets muted everytime. At any rate, any warmup won't be terribly hot....that part of the summer is behind us.Yeah at this point give a week or 2 of 82/73 type days and 70 at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Yeah at this point give a week or 2 of 82/73 type days and 70 at night lol...good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 lol...good luck with that.HPC seeing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 HPC seeing it See and feel this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 See and feel this I got suspended for doing that once. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 12 hour hiatus ( that's how it's spelled morons, not hyades) and dialog is the same. It's coming....snow that is and plenty of it this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 12 hour hiatus ( that's how it's spelled morons, not hyades) and dialog is the same. It's coming....snow that is and plenty of it this winter.How many screaming sou' Easters are you predicting this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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