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August Discussion


TauntonBlizzard2013

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What a difference in a relatively short distance.  GC may well wind up with less than .25" from this based on radar trends.  If this were winter, I'd be going ape-shI*t.

 

62.4/61

.12"

it's the same pattern leftover from winter, the coast gets nailed and inland gets the shaft.  Amazing actually.

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More coming

 


mcd0270.gif
 MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0270NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD807 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014 AREAS AFFECTED......SOUTHERN NEW ENGLANDING...  CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY  VALID 131207Z - 131607Z SUMMARY...TORRENTIAL RAIN HAS ENTERED A WEAKENING PHASE...WITHREORGANIZATION AND SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED BY LATEMORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...EXTREME RAINFALL RATES EXCEEDING 4 TO 5 INCHES PERHOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERNCONNECTICUT HAVE BEGUN TO WANE IN RESPONSE TO INITIAL DEVELOPMENTOF THE BOUNDARY LAYER WHICH IS COUPLING THE LOW LEVEL JET ANDCAUSING IT WEAKEN.  MEANWHILE...WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITESHOW SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE ONCE QUASI-STEADY LINEOF TORRENTIAL RAIN WHOSE BALANCE HAS NOW BEEN DISRUPTED CAUSINGTHE RAIN RATES TO LOWER.HI-RES AND GLOBAL GUIDANCE ARE UNANIMOUS IN ALLOWING THE LOW NEARNYC TO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH 18Z WHICHFAVORS A GRADUAL SHIFT IN THE MOST FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR HEAVYRAINFALL INTO PORTIONS OF CONNECTICUT...ROAD ISLAND...ANDMASSACHUSETTS...WITH THE DEFORMATION ZONE OR INVERTED TROUGHIMMEDIATELY NORTH OF THE LOW CONSIDERED THE MOSTLY FAVORABLE ZONE. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST CONDITIONS...RAIN RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PERHOUR MAY RESUME OR DEVELOP DEVELOP ELSEWHERE ACROSS PORTIONS OFSOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. FINALLY...SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG A SLOWMOVING COLD FRONT ENTERING FROM THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGHRAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LESS AND SHORTER.
 
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