dryslot Posted July 29, 2014 Share Posted July 29, 2014 Same old song and dance through mid August on the ensembles. Ridge west, trough east. Watch us get a flip when we don't want one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 29, 2014 Share Posted July 29, 2014 Watch us get a flip when we don't want one We would all enjoy 55F dews in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 29, 2014 Share Posted July 29, 2014 We would all enjoy 55F dews in January. 2006, You could have water skied on Long Lake in Naples Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Watch us get a flip when we don't want one Yeah, like Tip said, "we'll need to turn the roulette wheel during seasonal migration S of colder heights before we find a new paradigm." Something this fall is likely to shake things up and I like the roulette wheel analogy...something shakes the pattern up and then we just hope that new pattern is able to carry us in the winter. The changing wave lengths as we head into the fall, along with the larger thermal gradients as those fresh cold airmasses start moving south, something will cause a change...just hopefully it isn't like ridge-east, trough-west type change up, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Suits and briefcases for the most part...pretty evident on the Euro ensembles. Brief warm/humid looks most likely this weekend. Might be our first weekend like that in a long while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Yeah, like Tip said, "we'll need to turn the roulette wheel during seasonal migration S of colder heights before we find a new paradigm." Something this fall is likely to shake things up and I like the roulette wheel analogy...something shakes the pattern up and then we just hope that new pattern is able to carry us in the winter. The changing wave lengths as we head into the fall, along with the larger thermal gradients as those fresh cold airmasses start moving south, something will cause a change...just hopefully it isn't like ridge-east, trough-west type change up, lol. I hear ya there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 We would all enjoy 55F dews in January. Archambault-type climax event massive snowstorm in the East in October, then a complete pattern reversal just in time for Blizz to enjoy his heat & humidity through the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Seems dews don't get below 60 starting Saturday thru end of next week if ens have a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Seems dews don't get below 60 starting Saturday thru end if next week if ens have a clue Big difference though between 80/62 days & 86/68 days so we'll see as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Seems dews don't get below 60 starting Saturday thru end of next week if ens have a clue You aren't reading the ensembles very well then. They have a mean low pressure just north of Maine starting next Tuesday and mean high pressure north of the lakes. That equals a dry Cp airmass advection...which synoptically makes sense after the trough moves east from a position west of us on the weekend. Are the ensembles right? Well that's debatable. But they definitely do not support a humid airmass all of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 You aren't reading the ensembles very well then. They have a mean low pressure just north of Maine starting next Tuesday and mean high pressure north of the lakes. That equals a dry Cp airmass advection...which synoptically makes sense after the trough moves east from a position west of us on the weekend. Are the ensembles right? Well that's debatable. But they definitely do not support a humid airmass all of next week. he's trying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 lol...you guys crack me up. Do ensembles show dew points at that range or is it all pure conjecture that the magical 60F line would be riding into New England? Its almost like model graphics designers should start putting the fabled 60F dew point isotherm as a standard variable...like the 540dm thickness line. Every model should just show the 60F dew isotherm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Every model should just show the 60F dew isotherm. It's so important that it may be time to drag out the big meteorological vocab. That would technically be the 60F isodrosotherm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 It's so important that it may be time to drag out the big meteorological vocab. That would technically be the 60F isodrosotherm. Kevin should get 70F isodrosotherm tattooed to himself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Funny stuff. It appears that the chamber members may themselves be on vacation this weekend, but they've worked hard all season. Can't fault them for a break. Hopefully it's a short one as I have family coming in the weekend of the 9th. Meanwhile, I might have to run an 11.6 mile race in NL this Saturday. I use the word "race" in a very disingenuous way. Ugh. Bears the last two nights. They could at least come by in the light for some photo ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Could be some good rains this weekend. I will gladly appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 There might even be another low topped spinner threat this weekend as warm front moves west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 So what's the scoop for this weekend? Doesn't look like a washout, warm/humid with some storms/showers here and there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Saturday looks close to a washout. Sunday could be ok if the front is south, but the euro ensembles are wet. I don't think it's that warm if the front can't make it up. Location of the front is questionable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 All set with the rain up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Saturday looks close to a washout. Sunday could be ok if the front is south, but the euro ensembles are wet. I don't think it's that warm if the front can't make it up. Location of the front is questionable. A ten family lobsterbake on Duxbury beach Saturday. 80 lbs of lobsters on order. Will need to make a decision tomorrow on whether or not to cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Kevin should get 70F isodrosotherm tattooed to himself. lower back tramp stamp. Someone should make a bet with that being the wager Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 This has been the place to be this summer. What a humid one they've had @weathernetwork: Hot & humid is the story for Atlantic Canada. Already 28°C in St.John's. Record all time high & humidex record in jeopardy today #YYT #nlwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 A ten family lobsterbake on Duxbury beach Saturday. 80 lbs of lobsters on order. Will need to make a decision tomorrow on whether or not to cancel. That blows. Weekend nice streak had to end at some point. Hope it ends up being an easy decision. Nothing worse than canceling only to have it end up dry or vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 So what's the scoop for this weekend? Doesn't look like a washout, warm/humid with some storms/showers here and there? The rain looks widespread and steady on the Euro. Not hit or miss activity. At least for most of Saturday. Boston doesn't clear out until overnight into Sunday. The 00z GFS on the other hand barely has any rain for Saturday and instead Sunday is a total washout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 The rain looks widespread and steady on the Euro. Not hit or miss activity. At least for most of Saturday. Boston doesn't clear out until overnight into Sunday. The 00z GFS on the other hand barely has any rain for Saturday and instead Sunday is a total washout. gotta love that. Euro's probably right, but regardless, appears one of the days is a washout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 gotta love that. Euro's probably right, but regardless, appears one of the days is a washout. Just quickly glancing at the 06z GFS, it's actually worse for the NYC area, giving both Saturday and Sunday the "washout" look. 12z GFS will be running soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 I feel bad for those hoping Bertha would expand WAR west. Very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 I feel bad for those hoping Bertha would expand WAR west. Very bad. Not many thought that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Bertha is not very much or will be at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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