Geos Posted August 28, 2014 Share Posted August 28, 2014 Wow, those are some cold August lows!!!^ Hit 59° here. MKX discussion involving main thunderstorm and heavy rain event. .FRIDAY AND SATURDAY - CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM ACTIVE PERIOD WITH POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS WITH VERY MOIST FLOWAHEAD OF APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. ONE COMPLEX WILL BEEXITING TO THE NNE FRIDAY MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH THE INITIALMOISTURE/WAA SURGE. CLOUD COVER WILL HAVE A SAY ON TEMPS AND ALSOSUBSEQUENT DEVELOPMENT. THE NAM IS TRENDING DRIER TOWARDS MIDDAYWHILE OTHER MODELS DO SHOW QPF BUT IN A MORE DISORGANIZED FASHION.SO TRENDED POPS A BIT LOWER AFTER THE MORNING ROUND SHIFTS AWAY.BETTER DYNAMICS ALOFT AND LOW LEVEL FRONTAL FORCING ARRIVE FRIDAYNIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CVA ANDSURFACE/850 FRONTS DRAW CLOSER. STILL SEEING SIGNALS FOR AREAS OFHEAVY RAINFALL WITH TALLER SKINNY CAPE...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES1.9-2.0 AND PERIODS OF MBE VELOCITIES AOB 10 KTS. OUR QPF SHOWSVALUES THROUGH SATURDAY AROUND AN INCH IN THE FAR SE CWA TO OVER 2INCHES IN THE NW CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 28, 2014 Share Posted August 28, 2014 With the same pattern in place today(MCS blows up in NE, eastern Iowa gets the weakening remnants the following morning) I was fortunate to get 0.37" of rain, which puts me at 1.05" for August. Totals dropped off to nothing north and east of CR. Heavier stuff continues to fall across southeast Iowa through the Quad Cities. Otherwise, it has been another cloudy and cool day. Our sunshine % over the last two weeks has to be very low. The clouds and moderate temps this month have allowed the lawns to remain in better shape than a year ago, despite a similar lack of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 28, 2014 Share Posted August 28, 2014 Even cooler today, high 71° so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 28, 2014 Share Posted August 28, 2014 Some pretty good downpours an hour or so ago. Picked up 0.83", with some lingering light rain still falling. Decent CG action with the leading edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 28, 2014 Share Posted August 28, 2014 Looks like the high will be 82 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted August 28, 2014 Share Posted August 28, 2014 Forecast called for up to 1.25" of rain here in the Twin Cities. A huge area of rain split in two as it approached and I got no rain at all. Made it to 72° today. Sunday sounds promising for some Svr wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Looks like the high will be 82 here. So, 90 at WLFI then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 So, 90 at WLFI then? Are they really that bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Lake Michigan, Huron, and Erie temperatures. It will be interesting to see how quickly the lakes cool down this Autumn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Lake Michigan, Huron, and Erie temperatures. It will be interesting to see how quickly the lakes cool down this Autumn. Considering these are surface temperatures and the sub surface temperatures are pretty low, I think a good storm and a cold snap will cool them quickly especially Huron and Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Are they really that bad? Haha, nah. I was just giving Hoosier a hard time. He's such a Chad fanboy, I thought I'd poke a little fun at him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Haha, nah. I was just giving Hoosier a hard time. He's such a Chad fanboy, I thought I'd poke a little fun at him. You'll like this...Chad is saying potentially several days of 90s prior to September 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 CLE chalked up another high in the 60s yesterday making that the 6th time this summer, even more impressive is that it was done with full sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Considering these are surface temperatures and the sub surface temperatures are pretty low, I think a good storm and a cold snap will cool them quickly especially Huron and Michigan. Yeah that's a real good point. First Autumn storm will probably go to work and mix/upwell the colder waters. Another cloudy morning with storms approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 You'll like this...Chad is saying potentially several days of 90s prior to September 10. Remember when you bought this hook, line, and sinker? But any flunky could look at the ensembles/pattern and know it's going to run warm/hot for the next week or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Nice little cell popping on Kenosha right now. Lightning has been great--good thunder with a downpour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Nice little cell popping on Kenosha right now. Lightning has been great--good thunder with a downpour I was just about to say... it looks like a good cell down there. Moderate rain with no thunder in Racine. Yet another day of measurable rain! Right along the border and the south side of Kenosha is really getting nailed. New cell forming west of Antioch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 pocket of filtered clearing over NE IL, we'll see if it helps set off some sct storms later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 large area of 2" pwats moving into NE IL with decent instability. any storms that go will be heavy rain makers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Quite a bit of sun now. Dewpoint near 70°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 84/73 at MDW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Looks like fairly legit gulf feed via 850s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Remember when you bought this hook, line, and sinker? really terrible call.png But any flunky could look at the ensembles/pattern and know it's going to run warm/hot for the next week or two. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Remember when you bought this hook, line, and sinker? really terrible call.png But any flunky could look at the ensembles/pattern and know it's going to run warm/hot for the next week or two. Solid bump. A+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 87F/72F...ugh. Nice line of storms just to my west blowing up... I'm ready for 60Fs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 29, 2014 Share Posted August 29, 2014 Awesome view south of the storm west of Joliet that blew up. Nicely sheared backside of it with some flanking towers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 30, 2014 Share Posted August 30, 2014 It's an I 65 special this evening. Good thing it's not winter or that road would be closed all the way from IND to GYY. Of course it could still happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted August 30, 2014 Share Posted August 30, 2014 Topped out at 86. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 30, 2014 Share Posted August 30, 2014 It's an I 65 special this evening. Good thing it's not winter or that road would be closed all the way from IND to GYY. Of course it could still happen. I 65 Special.png Lol I-65, It could be 10 lanes on each side and still be a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 30, 2014 Share Posted August 30, 2014 This summer has been very lame for severe weather around these parts. Not much rain in the last month. Looking forward to 80s and sun for the next week, should be able to put together a few beach days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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