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August 2014 General Discussion


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Surrounded, but not a drop here. Can see lightning/hear thunder in different directions though, which is kinda cool.

 

 

Now that is threading the needle. Had 0.50 between 6 and 7 o'clock but it just started up again and it looks like we might had a wee bit more.

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Now that is threading the needle. Had 0.50 between 6 and 7 o'clock but it just started up again and it looks like we might had a wee bit more.

 

We really suck at thunderstorms here. But as usual, the northern part of Tippecanoe County is getting nailed...again. Flood Advisory up for them.

 

Enjoy the rain/storms down there.

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Rockin' at IND tonight...55mph gust with the storms moving through there right now.

 

SPECI KIND 200248Z 33036G48KT 1 1/2SM R05L/2800VP6000FT +TSRA BR BKN013CB BKN028 OVC120 18/17 A2983 RMK AO2 PK WND 32048/0244 WSHFT 0231 CONS LTGCGICCC OHD TS OHD MOV NE P0029

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sounds good to me

 

 

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
MAIN CONCERN IN THE MEDIUM TERM WILL RESIDE ON THE
PLACEMENT/STRENGTH OF THE 500MB RIDGE POISED TO SETUP ACROSS THE
OZARKS. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY SUGGESTING AN ATMOSPHERIC
RIVER DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND BECOMING ORIENTED
ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LVL RIDGE...THEN TURNING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE ALLEGHENIES IN PENNSYLVANIA. CONCERN DOES ARISE
WITH THE FACT THAT MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE HAS DEMONSTRATED A REDUCED
LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE WITH SPREAD IN HOW AMPLIFIED THE RIDGE WILL
BECOME...WHICH COULD BE STARTING TO HINT THAT THE ACTIVE RING-O-FIRE
MAY END UP CLOSER TO THE FORECAST AREA THUR NGT/FRI. AT THIS TIME
HAVE ONLY MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WITH THE POPS...AND EXPECT A
CHANNEL OF LIKELY POPS TO BE LIFTING NORTH THUR MIDDAY INTO WISC BY
THUR NGT. CURRENT OPER SOLUTIONS STILL FAVOR THIS SCENARIO...PLUS
850MB TEMPS WILL BE STEADILY WARMING AND SHUD LIMIT THE COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION/PRECIP.

THEN INTO FRI SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THE TOP OF THE RIDGE MAY BEGIN TO
FLATTEN. LOCAL ARW8KM ALSO HINTS THAT THE ACTIVE ZONE MAY BE
DRIFTING SOUTH AND COULD BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA FRI AFTN/EVE.
THEN FOR SAT RIDGE REMAINS OVERHEAD...BUT IT STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE
FOR CHC POPS TO START THE WEEKEND. THE ONE CONSISTENCY THROUGH THE
THUR-SAT TIMEFRAME...THE HEAT/HUMIDITY. WHILE PWAT VALUES CONTINUE
TO HOVER IN THE 1.6-1.8" RANGE...THE FORECAST DEW PTS ARE EXPECTED
TO LINGER IN THE LOW TO PERHAPS MID 70S FOR MANY LOCATIONS THUR-SAT.
SFC TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO PUSH WELL INTO THE 80S...AND PERHAPS WARMER
YET DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER/PRECIP. THE COMBINATION OF ANOMALOUSLY
HIGH DEW PTS AND SFC TEMPS IN THE UPR 80S/NEAR 90 WOULD SIGNAL HEAT
INDEX VALUES IN THE MID/UPR 90S TO PERHAPS THE LOW 100S SOUTH OF
I-80...MAINLY FRI-SUN.
 

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Not for me.  I thought we made it thru the summer in pretty good fashion.

 

June was pretty warm to borderline hot here.  But July was very cool, especially for recent July's.

 

August has been almost 3F below normal here and now that is all going down in flames.

 

98-100F with 105-110F Heat index just sucks.

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Nightmare scenario for Hoosier. But, we'll have no problems going 90º+ on those days in reality, though it would be sorta funny if it played out like that.

 

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. West southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. 

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

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83 with complexes around on the reg...best climo

 

summer filled with 74 degree days punctuated by plenty of storms

 

Same here, but now a projected 90 crept in for Friday because, of all things, the storms may stay to the south!  Hope that doesn't verify, and we hang in the 80s with storms on Friday as well.

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Yeah....ring of fire modeled a few days out to be just north of mby makes me feel great about the possibility of being impacted by an MCS or 2...solid trade off for a few days of high DP's in a summer that has been nearly void of elevated heat indexes. The preverbial "i like where i sit" coming into play.

Had some gorgeous views of tinted storm blow offs to my east during last night's sunset. They were contrasted by some bright white building cumulus clouds at lower levels...epic summer for all different varieties of beautiful sunsets.

Also, cubs game called at 1:20 AM???? ouch

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Not for me.  I thought we made it thru the summer in pretty good fashion.

 

June was pretty warm to borderline hot here.  But July was very cool, especially for recent July's.

 

August has been almost 3F below normal here and now that is all going down in flames.

 

98-100F with 105-110F Heat index just sucks.

 

Haven't cracked 90F yet this summer. Its looking unlikely now....

 

5th time in 120 years to fail to hit 90F in a calendar year.

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Nightmare scenario for Hoosier. But, we'll have no problems going 90º+ on those days in reality, though it would be sorta funny if it played out like that.

 

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. West southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. 

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

 

 

Would be fitting in this summer.

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