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7/27 Severe Threat Discussion and Obs


Kmlwx

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Maybe late night?

 

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OHIO...WRN PENNSYLVANIA...NRN WEST VIRGINIA

 

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 447...

 

VALID 280049Z - 280215Z

 

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 447 CONTINUES.

 

SUMMARY...A NEW WW IS POSSIBLE PRIOR SHORTLY TO REPLACE AT LEAST

PORTIONS OF WW 447.

 

DISCUSSION...STRONG MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION

AHEAD OF THE VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH BEGINNING TO TURN EAST

SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE

OVERSPREADING MUCH OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY REGION BETWEEN NOW AND

03-06Z.  THIS CONTRIBUTES TO SOME CONCERN WITH REGARD TO THE

POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT

THIS EVENING.  THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS MOIST ENOUGH...BUT HAS BEEN

CONSIDERABLY IMPACTED BY PRIOR CONVECTION.  IT REMAINS UNCLEAR

WHETHER DESTABILIZATION ON A BROADER SCALE WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT TO

SUPPORT AN ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT REQUIRING AN ADDITIONAL

WATCH.

 

..KERR.. 07/28/2014

 

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

 

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

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I don't always need severe. I just enjoy thunderstorms. I love a good stormy night. Lots of rain and lightning would make me very happy.

I'm with you. I don't need ridiculous storms that result in massive damage. Just some rain, lightning, and enough wind to snap some tree limbs. What I don't want is overnight stuff, because my dog hates thunder and will wake us up when he hears it - and he might wake up my daughter, which simply isn't cool.

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