geddyweather Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Golf Ball sized hail with some of the warned cells near Huntington, IL... 78/71 here in Columbus Grove, OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Hellacious caps on the 18z ILX and DVN soundings. Over 500 J/kg of CINH above the LFC on the DVN sounding. Almost 200 J/kg of CINH on the ILX sounding. Sent from my SCH-I535 St. Louis is 99/72 right now with heat index of 109. No wonder the mid levels have capping issues. But wherever geographically this goes this evening, things are really gonna explode. IND thinking greatest risk is from 7 p.m to 3 a.m EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Odds are today ends up being a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 I think those bands of precip in the Quincy, IL, ne MO and se IA area need to be watched as they move eastward. Could be an area for development in the not too distant future. KSPI 86/77 and overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Odds are today ends up being a non-event. Define "non-event." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 severe thunderstorm watch for part of Ohio and Indiana. Several hailstorms have developed there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Flash flood watch for ILN CWA from 11pm through tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Moderate Risk was dropped Sent from my SM-G900V Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Moderate risk dropped on new day 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Hen egg size hail reported near Bluffton IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Bummer MOD dropped, must be for the CAP in place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Just missed getting walloped with some golfball sized hail, but did get some decent rain and some good lightning. Sun coming back out here, as well. T-Storm Watch is in effect until 9pm, so I'm hoping for another round later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Bummer MOD dropped, must be for the CAP in place? It is pretty obvious that tomorrow was/is going to be the day with stronger forcing for ascent overspreading the warm sector from the main upper trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Define "non-event." Severe across most of the previous risk area will be non-existent. Obviously excludes E. NE and E. IN/OH where activity is ongoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Bummer MOD dropped, must be for the CAP in place? Prime reason listed in the SPC outlook discussion was the thinking that an extensive MCS will not develop to provide sufficient areal coverage to justify a moderate risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric In NW Ohio Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 About the only game in town right now are the three sisters training over west central Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Prime reason listed in the SPC outlook discussion was the thinking that an extensive MCS will not develop to provide sufficient areal coverage to justify a moderate risk. Ok, because models are still showing as sufficiently volatile environment for severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 This report is to my north/northwest. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH418 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON.....DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE......REMARKS..0318 PM HAIL ANNA 40.40N 84.17W07/26/2014 E2.50 INCH SHELBY OH PUBLICDISK SHAPED TENNIS BALL SIZE HAILSTONE SEEN IN FACEBOOKPHOTO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 26, 2014 Author Share Posted July 26, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Svr storm warning for Champaign area now. CINH is somewhat less over IN. We'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Is a bow trying to get started on that eastern IL complex? Do we have a cold pool anywhere to foster it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Is a bow trying to get started on that eastern IL complex? Do we have a cold pool anywhere to foster it? Wondering the same thing. I'm trying to figure out the severe warning over Paxton. When it came out, at least on my GR radar there's nothing there nor to the west, it was all south west of the warning box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Wondering the same thing. I'm trying to figure out the severe warning over Paxton. When it came out, at least on my GR radar there's nothing there nor to the west, it was all south west of the warning box. Thought the same thing unless they expected a cell to move more ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Svr T storm watch issued for central and southern IN and a chunk of se IL until 2 a.m. EDT. Cloud tops could reach 60,000 feet as elevated storms in IL become surface based with potential for 75 mph winds, hail, and QLCS tornadoes possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Severe across most of the previous risk area will be non-existent. Obviously excludes E. NE and E. IN/OH where activity is ongoing. It looks like we're going to have more than a "non-event" after all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Svr T storm watch issued for central and southern IN and a chunk of se IL until 2 a.m. EDT. Cloud tops could reach 60,000 feet as elevated storms in IL become surface based with potential for 75 mph winds, hail, and QLCS tornadoes possible. The line looks to be getting a little more organized as it crosses the IL/IN border. Like you said with slightly lower CINH over central and southern IN, it might be enough. Especially south of I-70 as they got some decent boundary layer heating this afternoon. That cloud deck burned us up here in north central IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 27, 2014 Author Share Posted July 27, 2014 surprise BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 842 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN BARRON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN... EAST CENTRAL POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN... * UNTIL 930 PM CDT * AT 837 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES EAST OF STRAIGHT LAKE WILDERNESS STATE PARK...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL POLK AND NORTHWESTERN BARRON COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...COMSTOCK...CUMBERLAND AND CUMBERLAND AIRPORT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 surprise Perhaps a sign of things to come for tomorrow... FWIW, there's no cloud debris across WI at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 27, 2014 Author Share Posted July 27, 2014 Perhaps a sign of things to come for tomorrow... FWIW, there's no cloud debris across WI at this time. I was looking at that IL/WI/western MI area as a potential sleeper for tomorrow. Buoyancy isn't all that impressive in general so it's likely a marginal threat (at best) but deep layer wind fields are strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 I was looking at that IL/WI/western MI area as a potential sleeper for tomorrow. Buoyancy isn't all that impressive in general so it's likely a marginal threat (at best) but deep layer wind fields are strong. From what I'm seeing, as the jet core tracks just to the south, the wind field isn't all that impressive in Michigan. The max values I'm seeing are 30-40kts at 500mb, and that's near the Ohio/Indiana borders. Low level shear is really lacking, less than 10kts. That's really the only thing preventing a more impressive severe weather setup in Michigan, as the best PVA will be across Michigan for tomorrow. As far as IL/WI, dry air advection and wake subsidence will pose a problem, but nothing can be ruled out under that 500mb cold pool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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