REDMK6GLI Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Feb 11-12,2006 Blizzard Looked like fun! this year is little by little already starting to excite me with some of the teleconnectors forecasted to be where they are come december. We will know ALOT more regarding this winter once we get out of september anthony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 The 2/11/1983 storm was better & more exciting than the 1/7/1996 storm, IMO. Snow came in like a wall that Friday afternoon with thunder & lightning & 3 to 4 inches per hour. It was over 18 hours after it started...but between the wind, the 18 degree cold, and everything else...one of the best storms in a long time. I had it rated as the best on Long Island since the '78 storm...but I was forced to supplant it with the 2/8/13 storm which topped 30 inches in a few spots out here. Its weird how that 12/18/09 event, which put down up to 27 inches has been almost completely forgotten...I attribute it to the fact that it happened on a weekend overnight and there had been soo many more snow events around that time then there were 25 years earlier that it did not seem so out of the ordinary. That was a great storm back in Brooklyn in '83 . They let us out of school around noon and then it was game on . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 February 12th 1983 from 64st in Brooklyn...The storm was almost at the end... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 I can't wait until the first snowstorm shows up at hour 384 on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 I can't wait until the first snowstorm shows up at hour 384 on the gfs. I know that because you will likely be the first person to post one for us heading into the winter season. During our first legit threat of big snowstorm they're will also be the blizzard of 96' comparison's as well like clockwork, after that someone saying R/S line is too close with the storm 180hrs+ out and so on at that point you will know winter is upon us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 I would love to see a blizzard of 96' redux just to see how this weather board would react. Just think of the insanity that would ensue with the approaching storm and all the models agreeing on 2 to 3 feet areawide! My dream scenario though would be an 1888 type setup with the storm riding up the coast, merging with a strong clipper diving out of the great lakes, then stalling out over us. With a 965 mb low along with a 1045 mb high to the north, a general 3 to 4 feet from DC to Boston! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 I would love to see a blizzard of 96' redux just to see how this weather board would react. Just think of the insanity that would ensue with the approaching storm and all the models agreeing on 2 to 3 feet areawide! My dream scenario though would be an 1888 type setup with the storm riding up the coast, merging with a strong clipper diving out of the great lakes, then stalling out over us. With a 965 mb low along with a 1045 mb high to the north, a general 3 to 4 feet from DC to Boston! I would LOVE an 1888 redux with widespread 2-3 ft snows BUT we wont be on here though. we will be enduring many server crashes due to the insane traffic that will be in here when a EURO model comes out and all the eyes glued to the computer screen. the tsunami of "OMG verbatim that's like 25-35" of snow IMBY" "blizzard warnings posted soon by NWS" "this storm is going to rival 96' 88"etc. with some actual model analysis sprinkled in there if you dig deep enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 greenlandblock96: remember when it snowed that time 6 years ago and traffic came to a standstill? brooklynblizzard12345: yeah, i sat in my car for 4 hours. that was awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 greenlandblock96: remember when it snowed that time 6 years ago and traffic came to a standstill? brooklynblizzard12345: yeah, i sat in my car for 4 hours. that was awesome! imagine that, talk of snow on a weatherboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 We did really well in 2010-2011 in a La Nina until we lost the major blocking That winter switched to the off position in a matter of days in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 That winter switched to the off position in a matter of days in Feb. it was 30 days of bliss. Was surprised that the pattern didn't reload at all, we were essentially done after the 1/27/11 storm-we went warm and dry and that was it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 it was 30 days of bliss. Was surprised that the pattern didn't reload at all, we were essentially done after the 1/27/11 storm-we went warm and dry and that was it 2/1 was a fairly severe ice storm where I am. But it was really too bad everything turned to crap after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 2/1 was a fairly severe ice storm where I am. But it was really too bad everything turned to crap after that. yeah we had that too after an inch of snow, but it was the beginning of the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 One storm I'm glad I don't remember is the 3/31-4/1/1997 storm. The precip over most of our area (east of I-287) was either very light or mixed when the temps became cold enough while SNE and areas west of I-287 were buried. There would've been lots of 5-postings, temporary bans and deleted rant posts if the board was around then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 2/1 was a fairly severe ice storm where I am. But it was really too bad everything turned to crap after that. What was the most incredible occurrence last winter was suppressed storms during february and march that turned the snow off for us from that point forward. The -EPO actually hurt us in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 One storm I'm glad I don't remember is the 3/31-4/1/1997 storm. The precip over most of our area (east of I-287) was either very light or mixed when the temps became cold enough while SNE and areas west of I-287 were buried. There would've been lots of 5-postings, temporary bans and deleted rant posts if the board was around then. LOL-I remember that. Calls were for 1-2 feet here, but most of the heavy precip was wasted on rain throughout the day-we turned to snow, but like you said, it was light to maybe moderate and there was 3-4 inches of slop on the grass....it was really a big bust given the forecasts calling for "near blizzard conditions" that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 What was the most incredible occurrence last winter was suppressed storms during february and march that turned the snow off for us from that point forward. The -EPO actually hurt us in the end almost the same was the -NAO screwed especially the northern parts of the forum in 09-10...too much of a good thing is not always good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 That winter switched to the off position in a matter of days in Feb. Could have beaten the 96 record if the pattern continued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 but we didn't. that's how records work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 Could have beaten the 96 record if the pattern continued. Last year too. We were at 58 inches on 2/18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 Last year too. We were at 58 inches on 2/18. I was near 60 inches by Feb 1 of 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 I was looking over some analogs for the next winter that are neutral again...Last year would be an analog...1946-47 and 1948-49...Both had a blizzard and at least 30" of snowfall...If we get half as much snow as last year it will be a normal snow season...Warm waters still exist in the Gulf of Alaska...There is still a chance for an el nino or neutral positive winter...If so there are some great analogs and some not so good analogs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Let's hope a weak El Nino develops… that would be ideal. What's promising thus far is the -EPO holding its own since last winter. If it continues, it would make for another active winter coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Frankie's Winter Predicion. Cold and Stormy on the East Coast.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gLmTPGQlKP0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Frankie's Winter Predicion. Cold and Stormy on the East Coast. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gLmTPGQlKP0 Frankie seems excitable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Joe B's still talking about an el nino http://features.aol.com/video/bundle-winter-set-be-brutal?icid=aol|carousel|dl1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Larry cosgrove slso still believes we will have an el nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 I am hoping we can start talking about fall/winter instead of a hot period. To me the GFS looks a little better and Euro weeklies have been off before. We could use a weak Niño and aren't strong Ninos usually trouble, just like strong Ninas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 I am hoping we can start talking about fall/winter instead of a hot period. To me the GFS looks a little better and Euro weeklies have been off before. We could use a weak Niño and aren't strong Ninos usually trouble, just like strong Ninas? All depends on the other indexes. A strong west based niño with -AO -NAO would feature very good conditions for several KU event snowfalls just like 2009 2010. All depends on how strong of blocking and who gets blasted vs who gets verga. Generally east based niño's especially strong ones would be quite warm but even these can produce a KU event hence Feb 1983. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 13, 2014 Share Posted August 13, 2014 If we can get a weak el nino to develop along with a polar vortex, we could be in store for a KU event(s). I think both anomalies will be present this winter. The key for us will be if the atlantic - NAO is there to slow things down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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