Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Pretty meh look overall. Looks to me like the usual suspects in NW hills of Ct up to W Mass..and maybe they slide to ORH north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 of course the day we have a shot at storms is the day I start back to school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 27, 2014 Author Share Posted August 27, 2014 We bang Wagons north and west. NW CT northeast to Orh and up into NE MA look to be the southeast extent of any storm threats today. Fizzles southeast of that line. Nam looks decent on both 4km and 12km. Hires (hrrr, rap, nam) all look good for boomers and showers nw of that line I mentioned. I wonder if a lot of areas see more rain out of today rather than Monday tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Yawner today. Meager shear. Maybe a pulser produces a 40 knot gust with a bit of an inverted V sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Noone Se of BDL will see much of anything..maybe a few dying showers. Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Noone Se of BDL will see much of anything..maybe a few dying showers. Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 At 10:00 at night in late August..with meh instability during the day and virtually nil after sunset..showers will die quickly SE of 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 27, 2014 Author Share Posted August 27, 2014 Yawner today. Meager shear. Maybe a pulser produces a 40 knot gust with a bit of an inverted V sounding.todays goal is rain not svr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 27, 2014 Author Share Posted August 27, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1628NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0241 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL PA ENEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLANDCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELYVALID 271941Z - 272215ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENTSUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITYDURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND A FEW ISOLATED STORMS COULD PRODUCEDMGG WIND GUSTS. WW ISSUANCE IS NOT NEEDED.DISCUSSION...BENEATH BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...AND WELLDOWNSTREAM OF A MID-LEVEL IMPULSE CROSSING THE ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDERPER WATER VAPOR LOOPS...INSOLATION IS SUPPORTING A CORRIDOR OF7-8-C/KM SFC-3-KM LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE REGION. DIFFERENTIALHEATING OVER THE WRN FRINGES OF THIS CORRIDOR AND ASCENT ALONG ADIFFUSE/ILL-DEFINED BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS THE AREA...HAVESUPPORTED RECENT ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMDEVELOPMENT FROM CNTRL PA TO SERN NY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAYDEVELOP ACROSS THE MCD AREA...AS VIS IMAGERY INDICATES PATCHY CUDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE AFOREMENTIONED CORRIDOR OF STEEPER LAPSERATES. DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE/UPPER 60S ARE SUPPORTING MLCAPE ONTHE ORDER OF 1000-1500 J/KG...WHICH MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONGERTHUNDERSTORMS. WITH DCAPE REACHING AROUND 800-1000 J/KG ACROSSPORTIONS OF THE REGION...SPORADIC DMGG WIND GUSTS CANNOT BE RULEDOUT. HOWEVER...WITH ONLY 15-25 KT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW SAMPLED BY AREAVWPS...AND WITHOUT STRONGER DEEP-LAYER ASCENT...A MORE SUBSTANTIALSVR-TSTM RISK IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR...COHEN/MEAD.. 08/27/2014ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LAT...LON 40247817 40907761 41677586 42627249 42647099 4195711840897382 39967691 40247817 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 27, 2014 Author Share Posted August 27, 2014 The hires have really backed off from what they were showing this morning. Large doses of meh now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Congrats everyone Eric Fisher @ericfisher 12m Any storms that get going this evening could have some gusty winds/brief downpour. http://1.usa.gov/VNXbUC pic.twitter.com/lsjlJ2PpBI Reply 3Retweet Favorite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Stronger jet dynamics lagging the front and better instability. Instability is decent, being helped by higher dews as Mlvl lapse rates blow. Poor shear and meh lifting...won't see much widespread activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 We bang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Banging just to my south. Can hear it but not overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 We bang We don't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Banging just to my south. Can hear it but not overheadawt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 We don'tnot everyone in this subforum lives in Tolland, myopically you maybe correct but as a group no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 not everyone in this subforum lives in Tolland, myopically you maybe correct but as a group noWhen you say we you mean me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Lots of thunder and CG lightning here in Sharon, CT. Non severe level winds. Storm appears to have some rotation to the south of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Big hit within a mile of here as per Spark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Man look at the storms just fizzle..It's been like this most of the summer with late firing lines and they die at the Pike and I-91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Man look at the storms just fizzle..It's been like this most of the summer with late firing lines and they die at the Pike and I-91 Make your pick and stop worrying about the storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Had a quick downpour and alot of thunder with gust to 15 mph lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KartAnimal29 Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Here in Bristol I can hear some rumbles and on the edges of the front, but looking towards Southington it's clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Getting decent gusts with the gust front here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KartAnimal29 Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Wind just picked up big time. Nice clouds overhead and the rumbles are even louder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 In Farmington/Unionville area at Tunxis and getting dark...strongest part won't pass too far from here...heard thunder now. I'm actually across the street at 5-guys waiting for ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KartAnimal29 Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Noting over hear yet. Right on the line. Nice lightening to the NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 Noting over hear yet. Right on the line. Nice lightening to the NW Congrats and post pics Dave Epstein @growingwisdom 7m Closer look at CT storm MT @BradNBCCT MT Severe t-storm warning (6:55 PM); main concern damaging wind gust to Bristol pic.twitter.com/bdnQijTW7S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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