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Significant SVR risk 7/14 or 7/15


Mikehobbyst

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 344 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0332 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S POINT LOOKOUT 40.58N 73.58W 07/15/2014 M60 MPH ANZ355 NY MESONET

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Why? Clouds are breaking and the sun is coming back out in New Brunswick, and CAPE is still over 2000 J/kg across much of the region. It's not over yet, and the activity in MD, DE, and south Jersey looks quite potent. At the very least, flash flooding will still remain an issue into tonight.

Still no real sign of any sun here. I don't doubt there'll be some storms around, I just think the atmosphere has been worked over now, so getting anything remotely severe is gonna be tough.
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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 344 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0332 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S POINT LOOKOUT 40.58N 73.58W 07/15/2014 M60 MPH ANZ355 NY MESONET

I'm not a trained spotter but I would love to submit my report of large outdoor furniture thrown into a fence I'm talking big heavy stuff. 60 mph fits perfect here a couple miles east

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I'm not a trained spotter but I would love to submit my report of large outdoor furniture thrown into a fence I'm talking big heavy stuff. 60 mph fits perfect here a couple miles east

I wonder how it was in Long Beach-the max winds may have gone just south but it was still a nasty cell overhead.

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To me, if you extrapolate the radar it looks like Southern NJ and LI will get hit with the DC stuff later on.

 

Latest 19z RAP has it all missing south now. 19z HRRR wont be pretty for those looking for severe:

 

http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=19&mod=rap&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=19&mod2=rap&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=004&fixhh=1&hh=005

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This board is disgusting me right now. Were just getting started here...

 

http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/nj/clifton/dix/?lat=40.87929916&lon=-74.14389801&label=Clifton%2c%20NJ

 

These pre-cells were all forecasted , which is the ironic part. Many people here need self meditation with all the mood swings , which lead to words like "bust". And these same people call themselves forecasters?

 

If you cant handle the science, spectate and learn a thing or two.

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I see all of the storms down south congeling into a giant convective complex. It may not be severe, but it's going to drop some prolific rainfall.

got theses gutter cleaners for the downspouts on my house...can test why they fail miserably...for 6$ a pop i guess i understand....

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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NJC005-019-021-023-035-PAC017-152130-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0138.140715T2026Z-140715T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
426 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
SOUTHWESTERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT

* AT 423 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR LEVITTOWN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH
DIAMETER HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.


* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
NEWTOWN AND BORDENTOWN AROUND 435 PM EDT...
WOODSIDE AROUND 440 PM EDT...
TRENTON AND YARDLEY AROUND 445 PM EDT...
EWING AND WASHINGTON CROSSING AROUND 455 PM EDT...
LAWRENCEVILLE AND PENNINGTON AROUND 505 PM EDT...
PRINCETON AND HOPEWELL AROUND 520 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...MOVE INDOORS TO A
STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO
SO...REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM. WHEN THUNDER ROARS...MOVE INDOORS! REMEMBER...IF YOU
CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

 

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