IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 18z RAP keeps this as the main line and brings in the stuff to our SW at around 5pm. Then it shuts off pretty fast once it gets towards dark. 18z HRRR will follow the RAP. This is by far the biggest let down that I've had this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Have not even had a storm yet, but the ones near BWI/DC should deliver. Sun is still out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 18z RAP keeps this as the main line and brings in the stuff to our SW at around 5pm. Then it shuts off pretty fast once it gets towards dark. 18z HRRR will follow the RAP. Sounds very reasonable based on the current radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 This is by far the biggest let down that I've had this year. Everything suggested NYC as the epicenter today so the fact its been areas south and east of there for the most part isn't a shock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Everything suggested NYC as the epicenter today so the fact its been areas south and east of there for the most part isn't a shock. Long Island needs the rain, as we haven't had the heavy rain and storms the interior has had. Before yesterday, every lawn in my town was drying up. So this is the start of playing catch-up. Like I said, sometimes these synoptic type heavy rain and T-storm events work out for the immediate coast in the summer. It's the usual frontal passages and daytime heating T-storms that never work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Everything suggested NYC as the epicenter today so the fact its been areas south and east of there for the most part isn't a shock. The globlas and the NAM had the heaviest over interior NNJ. The 12z RGEM agreed, the GFS was a tick east but still gave a good walloping region wide. I see no reason to believe that the activity near DC won't make it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The globlas and the NAM had the heaviest over interior NNJ. The 12z RGEM agreed, the GFS was a tick east but still gave a good walloping region wide. I see no reason to believe that the activity near DC won't make it here. It probably will but doubt it is severe in nature. I don't think I've ever seen us get severe storms come up from DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Just continues to pour here... up to 1.55" for the day and event total of 4.20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The storm over NW Suffolk has a hook on radar. Velocities currently look weak though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 It does appear that the stuff forming in south Jersey is mostly moving NNE now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Just continues to pour here... up to 1.55" for the day and event total of 4.20" Similar here. 1.45" on the day and almost 4" for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Continued constant cgs and heavy rain sitting on the southern state parkway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Just continues to pour here... up to 1.55" for the day and event total of 4.20" Same here just shy of 4.20. Id gladly send this to isentropic/yanksfan. He can have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Ok we had a serious storm at jones beach. Winds in excess of 50mph sent the sand flying. Nice lighting over the ocean. Overall best storm here in years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Nice downpour here in Astoria, some rumbles of thunder, but nothing too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Just 4 radar links for yall.. to keep an eye on the storm LWX: http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/N0R/LWX_loop.gif DIX: http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/N0R/DIX_loop.gif OKX: http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/N0R/OKX_loop.gif BGM: http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/N0R/BGM_loop.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 It's been mainly cloudy here all afternoon thanks to convective debris from the storms to our south. I think the severe threat is pretty much shot for NE NJ and NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Driving through that storm in southern Bergen county was probably not my best idea. Began to absolutely open up once I hit the road and didn't let up for a half hour. Must have been a few inches of water on most the roads near North Bergen. Merged onto US-46w and immediately hydroplaned, lost all control of my car, and was inches from smacking into the divider. Got an ounce of control back at the last second and somehow managed to come away completely unscathed. Nearly wrecking myself was my "fun" for the day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 It's been mainly cloudy here all afternoon thanks to convective debris from the storms to our south. I think the severe threat is pretty much shot for NE NJ and NYC. It was mainly cloudy on LI most the day and that didn't stop what's going on right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 sun is back out here now, after about a inch of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 2.86" event total in springfield so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 After the 1,2,3 punch that just passed through there is now training ongoing in Eastern Monmouth Co and just south of Nassau... looks pretty intense. http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ny/new-york-city/okx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The new HRRR has basically a firehouse of convection coming up from the south and nailing the area region wide. I'd take that in heart beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 It's been mainly cloudy here all afternoon thanks to convective debris from the storms to our south. I think the severe threat is pretty much shot for NE NJ and NYC.Why? Clouds are breaking and the sun is coming back out in New Brunswick, and CAPE is still over 2000 J/kg across much of the region. It's not over yet, and the activity in MD, DE, and south Jersey looks quite potent. At the very least, flash flooding will still remain an issue into tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 looks like that's it for today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Ok we had a serious storm at jones beach. Winds in excess of 50mph sent the sand flying. Nice lighting over the ocean. Overall best storm here in years Good call. 59 to be exact at jones beach coast guard station. Sorry having issues linking to the NOAA report from my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 looks like that's it for today! Look at the radar, not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Why? Clouds are breaking and the sun is coming back out in New Brunswick, and CAPE is still over 2000 J/kg across much of the region. It's not over yet, and the activity in MD, DE, and south Jersey looks quite potent. At the very least, flash flooding will still remain an issue into tonight. Looking at Satellite, any sunshine is very temporary. http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-vis-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Some damage here to signs and some outdoor furniture was thrown airborne into a fence so it had to be 50 maybe 60 plus mph tons of lightning still. It had to be long islands day eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The new HRRR has basically a firehouse of convection coming up from the south and nailing the area region wide. I'd take that in heart beat. hrrr_ref_nyc_9.png yea - its your favorite model - hope the results are better then what it was forecasting for 3 PM http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=131269 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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