REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 line is moving east slowly, time it gets here it should be pretty intense. just went outside and it is tropical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Manhattan just got very very dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwarn Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Only 0.14" here in Wood Ridge, NJ from this current line. Very dark to my east with loud thunder. Two day total now: 2.23" Have to wonder what impact, if any, this line will have for later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Sunny here at jones beach and just rain forest type feel. Lots of thunder to the west Line is about to overtake Long Beach. The rain last night caused flooding along with high tides, this could be a problem again tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The new HRRR shows the activity eventually lifiting northwest more towards Morristown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Loud thunder, gusty winds and heavy rain now here in Bayside, Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The new HRRR shows the activity eventually lifiting northwest more towards Morristown. this current activity or the line for later on? be a bummer if that passed to the north of us :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 this current activity or the line for later on? be a bummer if that passed to the north of us :/ pretty much all of NJ is 45+ DBZ at 8pm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 sunny in springfield. got a quick .54" earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 this current activity or the line for later on? be a bummer if that passed to the north of us :/ The line, it focues on interior northern NJ. This is where the Euro, GFS, NAM and RGEM all had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 this current activity or the line for later on? be a bummer if that passed to the north of us :/ The models outside of the GFS and GGEM jackpot N NJ for the remainder of the event. Last night the heavy rain made it to parts of Long Island so we'll see what happens tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The line, it focues on interior northern NJ. This is where the Euro, GFS, NAM and RGEM all had it. hoping when these storms clear I can get the instability and shear to actually work in tandem for once behind these current storms. sun will go a longggg way today that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Very impressive CTG lightning right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 hoping when these storms clear I can get the instability and shear to actually work in tandem for once behind these current storms. sun will go a longggg way today that's for sure The way these events normally work is that whomever gets the early stuff usually doesn't do as well later on. That sort of happened to me last night. The rain shut off by me early while points southeast poured into the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Southern Nassau warned now for severe. The storms are bowing out a little, so there could be a zone of strong winds from the Five Towns to maybe Plainview/Melville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Cell over Hempstead, LI just went severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Southern Nassau warned now for severe. The storms are bowing out a little, so there could be a zone of strong winds from the Five Towns to maybe Plainview/Melville. this line is headed right for me as well! Grlevel3 showing 1" hail as well currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 At work in Westbury and this is an impressive storm right now. Lots of lightening and very dark. The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Nassau County in southeast New York... * until 315 PM EDT * at 250 PM EDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm. The storm was near Rockville Centre...moving northeast at 30 mph. This storm is capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. * Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to Woodbury...Westbury...Wantagh...Valley Stream...Syosset... Plainview...Oceanside...Mineola...Massapequa...Lynbrook...Long Beach...Levittown...Hicksville...Hempstead...Garden City... Freeport...Farmingdale...Elmont...Brookville and Baldwin Precautionary/preparedness actions... Nearly continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this severe thunderstorm. When thunder roars...move indoors! Remember...if you can hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Please report hail...strong winds or wind damage when you can do so safely to the National Weather Service at 1-800-226-0217...or by E mail at [email protected] Lat...Lon 4068 7373 4070 7373 4088 7348 4087 7347 4067 7343 4059 7367 time...Mot...loc 1851z 234deg 25kt 4067 7363 Forecaster: jcp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The usual jackpot area around Freehold looks to get hammered again. Winter, summer....it is the place to be Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=DIX&loop=yes These want to train right up the TPKE from Central MC right through the City and into Nassau County . Looks to me like another round will roll into the 5 boroughs in a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I'm not going to bother posting the latest HRRR because it's clearly wrong. The 8.5" bullseye has been replaced with barely 2" this run. It has most of Monmouth County under 0.25". Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Very heavy rain with rumbles of thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 ok - lets use this run as a reference and compare it to what the radar actually looks like at 3 PM today - my initial thoughts are that the model is once again rushing things along too fast with that squall line - but we will see Here is this mornings HRRR for 3 PM http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=131269 here are the radars at 3 - HRRR is overdone as usual and too fast and missing the storms in central NJ http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true&location=USDC0001 http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Getting so screwed at jones beach as my hous 5 miles north gets slammed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I'm not going to bother posting the latest HRRR because it's clearly wrong. The 8.5" bullseye has been replaced with barely 2" this run. It has most of Monmouth County under 0.25". Toss. convection variability.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 these storms sure as taking forever to move east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Getting clocked here now. Heavy rain, frequent ltng, thunder. Looks like area near Englishtown/Manalapan and freehold flooding bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Big time street flooding going on..Not home to check the gauge but must be atleast 1"+.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Been getting on and off heavy downpours with thunder, though the worst has been JUST to the south and east of New Brunswick. Still picked up 0.63" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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