Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,880
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Cajax9
    Newest Member
    Cajax9
    Joined

Significant SVR risk 7/14 or 7/15


Mikehobbyst

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 964
  • Created
  • Last Reply
  On 7/15/2014 at 6:49 PM, REDMK6GLI said:

this current activity or the line for later on? be a bummer if that passed to the north of us :/

The models outside of the GFS and GGEM jackpot N NJ for the remainder of the event. Last night the heavy rain made it to parts of Long Island so we'll see what happens tonight.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/15/2014 at 6:51 PM, IsentropicLift said:

The line, it focues on interior northern NJ. This is where the Euro, GFS, NAM and RGEM all had it.

hoping when these storms clear I can get the instability and shear to actually work in tandem for once behind these current storms. sun will go a longggg way today that's for sure

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/15/2014 at 6:52 PM, REDMK6GLI said:

hoping when these storms clear I can get the instability and shear to actually work in tandem for once behind these current storms. sun will go a longggg way today that's for sure

The way these events normally work is that whomever gets the early stuff usually doesn't do as well later on. That sort of happened to me last night. The rain shut off by me early while points southeast poured into the night.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/15/2014 at 6:55 PM, jm1220 said:

Southern Nassau warned now for severe. The storms are bowing out a little, so there could be a zone of strong winds from the Five Towns to maybe Plainview/Melville.

this line is headed right for me as well! Grlevel3 showing 1" hail as well currently

Link to comment
Share on other sites

At work in Westbury and this is an impressive storm right now. Lots of lightening and very dark.

 

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Nassau County in southeast New York...

* until 315 PM EDT

* at 250 PM EDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm. The storm was near Rockville Centre...moving northeast at 30 mph. This storm is capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 60 mph.

* Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to Woodbury...Westbury...Wantagh...Valley Stream...Syosset... Plainview...Oceanside...Mineola...Massapequa...Lynbrook...Long Beach...Levittown...Hicksville...Hempstead...Garden City... Freeport...Farmingdale...Elmont...Brookville and Baldwin

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Nearly continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this severe thunderstorm. When thunder roars...move indoors! Remember...if you can hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

Please report hail...strong winds or wind damage when you can do so safely to the National Weather Service at 1-800-226-0217...or by E mail at okx.Spotters@noaa.Gov

 

Lat...Lon 4068 7373 4070 7373 4088 7348 4087 7347 4067 7343 4059 7367 time...Mot...loc 1851z 234deg 25kt 4067 7363

 

Forecaster: jcp

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/15/2014 at 1:14 PM, NEG NAO said:

ok - lets use this run as a reference and compare it to what the radar actually looks like at 3 PM today - my initial thoughts are that the model is once again rushing things along too fast with that squall line - but we will see

Here is this mornings HRRR for 3 PM

 

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=131269

 

here are the radars at 3 - HRRR is overdone as usual and too fast and missing the storms in central NJ

 

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true&location=USDC0001

 

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000&centerx=400&centery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...