Shane M. Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Damaging winds approaching Centreville, MD with hail possible as well. Definitely was a decent storm. Here's to hoping that tomorrow is better for all of you further west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Winds are being shown as close to 80 mph on the BWI radar in Queen Anne's county. A good thing not much is out there beyond the Centreville area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Never seen this before... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1204 AM EDT THU JUL 3 2014 ...THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN DELAWARE... NORTHEASTERN KENT COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND... NORTHWESTERN KENT COUNTY IN CENTRAL DELAWARE... NORTHERN CAROLINE COUNTY IN EASTERN MARYLAND... EASTERN QUEEN ANNE'S COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND... * UNTIL 100 AM EDT * AT MIDNIGHT EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR CENTREVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... HOPE AND CHURCH HILL AROUND 1210 AM EDT... CHURCH HILL AROUND 1215 AM EDT... GOLDSBORO AROUND 1220 AM EDT... SUDLERSVILLE AND CRUMPTON AROUND 1225 AM EDT... MILLINGTON AROUND 1230 AM EDT... HARTLY AND MASSEY AROUND 1235 AM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THIS IS AN UNUSUALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Winds are being shown as close to 80 mph on the BWI radar in Queen Anne's county. A good thing not much is out there beyond the Centreville area. Yeah you're right, both of the warnings on the storm have enhanced wording as well. Here is one of the warnings: SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1208 AM EDT THU JUL 3 2014 MDC035-041-030430- /O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-140703T0430Z/ QUEEN ANNE`S MD-TALBOT MD- 1208 AM EDT THU JUL 3 2014 ...THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION... ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN TALBOT AND CENTRAL QUEEN ANNE`S COUNTIES... AT 1203 AM EDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF CENTERVILLE TO CENTREVILLE TO 6 MILES WEST OF WYE MILLS TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WYE MILLS TO 14 MILES SOUTH OF WYE MILLS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF CENTERVILLE TO CENTERVILLE TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CENTERVILLE TO 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CENTERVILLE TO 12 MILES NORTH OF CAMBRIDGE... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Never seen this before... Here is a line from the other warning: A WIDE SWATH OF 70 MPH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS IT MOVES EASTWARD FROM GRASONVILLE TOWARDS STARR MARYLAND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Tomorrow def should be more widespread tho today ended up meeting potential generally I think.. DC got kinda screwed but that always happens. If you take Arthur away the 500mb pattern is pretty solid tomorrow. Arthur should add some oomph to the front but not sure if it will be big storms or just big rain. Damaging winds look like primary threat.. don't see any tor risk, esp with hodos being straight lines and no real SRH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Just caught the southern edge of that storm. Probably had wind gusts to 45 mph and a tree branch fell on my roof. Much worse a few miles to my NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Day 1 0600z OTLK is out.. 15% hail/15% wind/2% tor ..MID-ATLANTIC INTO NEW ENGLAND RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WITH SFC DEW POINTS FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S ALONG MUCH OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE RATHER POOR /LESS THAN 6.5 DEG C PER KM/...POCKETS OF STRONG SFC HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY BY MIDDAY GIVEN THE DEGREE OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. THE COLD FRONT AND NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PROFILES WILL TEND TO FAVOR STORM CLUSTERS OR BROKEN LINES...BUT 30-40 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR MAY ALLOW FOR BRIEF SUPERCELL STRUCTURES EARLY IN STORM EVOLUTION. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...AS AFOREMENTIONED POOR LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT LARGE-HAIL POTENTIAL...BUT SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 With todays storms you either got totally annihilated or you got meh. Woodbridge VA got meh. Generally speaking Maryland is a major winnah, both in terms of winter snows and in terms of big storms and rainfall in summer. I need to move to maryland pronto. Otherwise I'll learn to embrace a meh life. Overall, I expect northern Virginia to be drier than normal through late September with an overall warmer than normal July and August and at or 1 degree above normal September. After that, all depends on the Nino - if it develops at all. Get used to walkin on crackly grass with dust. We will be doing it for the next 11 weeks at least. Ugh! I hate summer with a vengeance. This weather really sucks huge hairy goat balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 FFW up for all of LWX CWA... mentions that 2"+ per hour rainfall rates possible this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 the little bit of thunder and lightning was nice last nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Were we supposed to have clear sunny skies this morning with a few clouds? I wasn't expecting it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Were we supposed to have clear sunny skies this morning with a few clouds? I wasn't expecting it We could easily go mid-90s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 We could easily go mid-90s today. LWX forecast is low 90s and the zone say partly sunny till noon or so... I could see 95-96 with low 70s DP's again before the clouds open up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Looks decent for sun through noon at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Will today be another bust? Feels like it to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Based on what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 1500-2000 SBCAPE already this morning as of 13z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2014 Author Share Posted July 3, 2014 Will today be another bust? Feels like it to me.Yesterday wasn't really a bust. Convection hit and miss more often then not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Yesterday wasn't really a bust. Convection hit and miss more often then not. Local models seem to want a train of storms this afternoon... looks good to me. Severe will be a bonus IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2014 Author Share Posted July 3, 2014 Local models seem to want a train of storms this afternoon... looks good to me. Severe will be a bonus IMO Yeah, slow movement etc been a signal for today a while. Could be a good lightning day if there's not 1/8 mi vis rain in the bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Yeah, slow movement etc been a signal for today a while. Could be a good lightning day if there's not 1/8 mi vis rain in the bands. I could see a damaging wind threat with the hodos... but I don't see a TOR risk. SRH doesn't really support it... though I guess its non-zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Yesterday wasn't really a bust. Convection hit and miss more often then not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2014 Author Share Posted July 3, 2014 I could see a damaging wind threat with the hodos... but I don't see a TOR risk. SRH doesn't really support it... though I guess its non-zero.Prob not widespread risk but we have the bulk shear today at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Prob not widespread risk but we have the bulk shear today at least. For winds or tor? Just wanted to be sure which one we are talking about. The sun should help destabilize us a bit more than previously thought IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 LOL, did I hear that corretly on CNN just now? DC moved their fireworks up to tonight? WHY the hell would they do that, weather will be worse tonigh than tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 2000 SBCAPE on 14z SPC meso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 LOL, did I hear that corretly on CNN just now? DC moved their fireworks up to tonight? WHY the hell would they do that, weather will be worse tonigh than tomorrow. There is a story up on WTOP that they are worried about the stuff that is already set up being blown down, but nothing about moving the whole thing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Ocean City moved their fireworks to Saturday. Which makes more sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Storms starting to fire up in C VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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