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July Discussion


HimoorWx

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Actually BTV referenced it in their morning AFD:

 

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1023 AM EDT FRIDAY...GOING FORECAST IS IN EXCELLENT SHAPE
AND THE LATE MORNING UPDATE FEATURES NOTHING MORE THAN NUDGING THE
HOURLY TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINTS/SKY COVER BASED ON LATEST OBS.

MOST INTERESTING FEATURE IS THE SMOKE LAYER THAT IS ALOFT (I`M
GUESSING SOMEWHERE AROUND 15,000FT) THAT IS RESULTING IN THE HAZY
LOOK TO THE SKIES.


OTHERWISE, 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM ALBANY AND MANAWAKI SHOW A
RELATIVELY DRY ATMOSPHERE. SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE NORTH OF THE
BORDER AS EVIDENCED BY THE CLOUDS ON SATELLITE. 850MB/925MB BOTH
INDICATE SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND
80F THIS AFTERNOON.

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Its a fun time in winter catching them in a smelt camp on the incoming tide up here with a bunch of buddies and a case of beer............ :)

 

Unfortunately, this winter when the Kennebec smelt camp proprietors finally had early and lasting ice, they had late and very sparse fish and many closed down a month or more before ice conditions forced their hand.  No smelt, no customers.  :cry:

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Euro persists with eerie snow event for N. James Bay region and up, which even for 60/65N latitude in late July that's relatively rare.

 

Meanwhile we are puzzled by unrelenting meridianal amplitude in highly anomlous July on-going.  There is likely to be a climate correcting pattern change -- question is when.  Is it intra-seasonal in which August and perhaps September flips the anomaly distribution, or does the curve find it's way to normalcy making up for things in the cold season. Things don't find "normal" altogether in a neat and tidy temporal range...it could be cold for 3 years then warm for 5... 

 

The "planet" Earth is not experiencing what N/A is ...particularly eastern N/A, a persistence that's really lingered since late autumn last year.  I am even still seeing subsume phases taking place in mid range Euro solutions, which by and large are overproduced but while amplitude may be overstated somewhat in those time ranges, we are still dealing with repeating negative departures and unusually strong summer +PNAP.   

 

Very interesting...  

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