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July Discussion


HimoorWx

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We really got a treat today with these mid 60's dews. Came in early. No business being done today

Enjoy that AC at home.

Had to close the screen doors this morning when it was 47/46...now wide open again at 77/57. Dews have risen pretty quickly this morning but still holding in the comfort zone up here.

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We really got a treat today with these mid 60's dews. Came in early. No business being done today

 

 

Lots of business being done here.  Cut two trees, two more to go.  Then, time to relax.

 

I just saw this post on FB from one of my work colleagues.  Just for you, Kevin:

 

Rumor has it there is some humidity out there today. Finally, July in Iowa arrives

 

75.7/64 at the Pit.

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Enjoy that AC at home.

Had to close the screen doors this morning when it was 47/46...now wide open again at 77/57. Dews have risen pretty quickly this morning but still holding in the comfort zone up here.

Yeah...all mid 50s dews up here too and temps in the U70s/L80s. Perfect.

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Man Brian is killing it lately...lol

Midwest record lows will fail AIT.

you might want to visit Duluth some day,dress warm in July

ABOUT BY

THE PROGRESSION OF AN INTENSE MID LVL LOW ACROSS THE CWA. FCST 85H

TEMPS WITHIN GFS/EC/GEM ALL SUPPORT VALUES LOWERING TO ABOUT 2C TO

4C MONDAY. LOWERED MAX TEMPS MONDAY ANOTHER COUPLE DEGREES BASED ON

EXTENSIVE CLOUD CANOPY...PRECIP AND DEEP LAYERED COLD ADVECTION. IF

PRECIP IS FALLING MOST OF THE DAY...ACTUAL MAX TEMPS MAY APPROXIMATE

THE 925 VALUES...CLOSER TO LOW/MID 50S...IN MANY LOCATIONS OVER THE

EASTERN CWA... BUT WILL NOT STOOP QUITE THAT LOW AT THIS TIME. THE

RECORD LOW MAX FOR KDLH MONDAY IS 54 AND KINL 61.

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you might want to visit Duluth some day,dress warm in July

ABOUT BY

THE PROGRESSION OF AN INTENSE MID LVL LOW ACROSS THE CWA. FCST 85H

TEMPS WITHIN GFS/EC/GEM ALL SUPPORT VALUES LOWERING TO ABOUT 2C TO

4C MONDAY. LOWERED MAX TEMPS MONDAY ANOTHER COUPLE DEGREES BASED ON

EXTENSIVE CLOUD CANOPY...PRECIP AND DEEP LAYERED COLD ADVECTION. IF

PRECIP IS FALLING MOST OF THE DAY...ACTUAL MAX TEMPS MAY APPROXIMATE

THE 925 VALUES...CLOSER TO LOW/MID 50S...IN MANY LOCATIONS OVER THE

EASTERN CWA... BUT WILL NOT STOOP QUITE THAT LOW AT THIS TIME. THE

RECORD LOW MAX FOR KDLH MONDAY IS 54 AND KINL 61.

Been to Duluth. It's way north so while those temps are cool they occur many summers.

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record low maxes,in July are as rare as it comes.

7/1 51 in 1992 52 in 1895 54 in 1935

7/2 49 in 1992 54 in 1902 55 in 1935

7/3 52 in 1896 53 in 1903 55 in 1972

7/4 52 in 1893 55 in 1901 56 in 1898

7/5 52 in 1958 55 in 2004 57 in 1900

7/6 54 in 1890 55 in 1949 56 in 1899

7/7 57 in 1956 59 in 1884 60 in 1949+

7/8 53 in 1922 56 in 1928 56 in 1882

7/9 52 in 1926 54 in 1889 58 in 1958+

7/10 58 in 1982 61 in 1890 62 in 2003+

7/11 52 in 1913 58 in 1986 60 in 1912+

7/12 52 in 1891 54 in 1893 55 in 1986

7/13 52 in 1883 58 in 1920 59 in 1993

7/14 54 in 1950 60 in 1937 60 in 1913+

7/15 58 in 1915 58 in 1913 59 in 1951+

7/16 57 in 1956 59 in 1897 60 in 2009+

7/17 59 in 1884 60 in 1886 61 in 1939

7/18 51 in 1895 55 in 1939 58 in 1886

7/19 55 in 1928 57 in 1899 58 in 1909+

7/20 57 in 1891 58 in 1917 59 in 1942+

7/21 56 in 1891 57 in 1899 59 in 1974

7/22 57 in 1962 58 in 1912 59 in 1948

7/23 58 in 1908 60 in 1922 60 in 1905

7/24 56 in 1908 59 in 1915 60 in 1883

7/25 57 in 1884 58 in 1901 62 in 1916+

7/26 58 in 1901 59 in 1887 60 in 1916

7/27 56 in 2013 56 in 1888 57 in 1945+

7/28 57 in 1996 60 in 1905 61 in 1887

7/29 59 in 1904 60 in 1989 62 in 2001+

7/30 58 in 2004 60 in 1924 60 in 1891

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Records will fall all across the MW

Temperatures on Tuesday look like they will be 15 degrees below average across southern Wisconsin. Normal highs are around 80 degrees for mid July. The last time we had a cold snap across Wisconsin like this one was July 2009, 5 years ago when it was in the mid 60s across the state. Tuesday's forecast high temperature may break or tie the record low maximum temperature for July 15th, which is 68 degrees at Madison and 64 degrees at Milwaukee.

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I was 200 miles north of Duluth 16 summers ago canoeing in Quetico. Started out with rain and days inthe low 50s for highs and ended with 75-80 days, 50 nights, northern lights every evening. We were in the deep wilderness for a solid week. Among the highlights.

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I was 200 miles north of Duluth 16 summers ago canoeing in Quetico. Started out with rain and days inthe low 50s for highs and ended with 75-80 days, 50 nights, northern lights every evening. We were in the deep wilderness for a solid week. Among the highlights.

sounds awesome, man looking forward already to next adventure. What a great week,one nighttime Tstorm in 8 days.LOL Jerry they have a wiffle ball park here designed after Fenway. I have been Thurman Munsoning it all week
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sounds awesome, man looking forward already to next adventure. What a great week,one nighttime Tstorm in 8 days.LOL Jerry they have a wiffle ball park here designed after Fenway. I have been Thurman Munsoning it all week

Lol...I remember being at opening day 1970 at Fenway. Thurman's first game in the majors I think.

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Don't see many records falling anywhere in the US..a few here and there..but nothing out of the ordinary as the coolness has modified greatly on the models

Just looked at INL and the MEX min of 38 for Wed breaks their record (using threadex mins) of 40. Other stations are close too as it appears 7/16 is a vulnerable date for record low mins.
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Just looked at INL and the MEX min of 38 for Wed breaks their record (using threadex mins) of 40. Other stations are close too as it appears 7/16 is a vulnerable date for record low mins.

Yeah some close calls,,but in the end we most likely won'y see very many. Just kind an average cool shot..Just happens to be timed at hottest clime time of year..so some folks getting hot and bothered over it

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I'm wondering if this whole thing is being over booked ...  Yeah, it's interesting looking at 500mb levels, but that sucker fills as fast as it deepens and by the end of the week the flow is flat again -- the whole story told in 3.5 days really, Moderation of what gets advected through the UMW/Lakes region is well underway before even next weekend.     

 

The operational Euro has moderated the 850mb temperatures in the core of that CAA to +6 ...up from +2, two days ago... 

1) that's normal for the Euro to over sell in the late middle range, so seeing it do so should be expected.  Not sure why this very real bias of this model is routinely ignored ...by everyone really.  From NCEP to Tolland Hill, this just ignored.  Not sure why. Granted ...it's a subtle bias.  Either way, that moderation in recent runs clearly demos the same thing.  Would not surprise me if this is just a "seasonal cool down", and one really welcome in a region that's had like 3 torrid summers in a row.  

 

2) Though the BL mean may not get a mixing depth to 850mb, so using a shallower depth may mean something cooler... However, solar insolation would annihilate a shallow cool air mass at this time of year.

 

We'll see on all this, but it seems to me this all more about violating a meme in ...society for lack of better word, engendered for having been warmer than normal 20 out of the last 27 months, or whatever it is, such that no one thinks any more that it can be 74F on July 15...  I just looked at several NWS MOS products for sites in the MW and they all have only 1 day interestingly below normal. Else, nothing out of hand.  Granted the DPs are low, but ... it's like, "yeah, but the DPs are so low" is somehow supportive of this bent to spin summer away? Okay.  I can recall plenty of 74F dry days in July as a child in the Great Lakes.

 

One thing I have discovered about the difference between weather and Meteorology over the years, is that one is hugely more subjective than the other.   

 

To me this summer has so far just been temperate.  Nothing too warm, or too cool... Just temperature.  Gee whiz, we live in the "temperate mid-latitudes" go figure.  Not that anyone asked, by my own druthers are psyched.  More days like today then otherwise?  Come on... 

 

And by the way, I wouldn't go so far as to say there are "no" signs for heat. The mere fact that the PNA is considered too weakly correlated in the summer is all that is stopping the tele's from flagging a heat wave in the last 10 or so days of the month. In fact, it is not uncommon to see rebounds in the geopotential medium post this sort of thing, as R-wave roll-out takes place.  

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Met's.. What's up with this?, if you can..

 

Just got this from JetBlue regarding out 1pm flight tomorrow :

Travel Alert Fee Waiver

 

Travel Agents Waiver Code: Click Here 

Due to inclement weather we will waive change/cancel fees and fare differences for customers traveling on  Sunday, July 13, 2014 through Tueday, July 15, 2014 to/from the following cities:

 

-  Baltimore (BWI) 
-  Boston (BOS)
-  Hartford, CT (BDL)
-  Newark, NJ (EWR)
-  Newburgh, NY (SWF)
-  New York City (JFK)
-  New York City (LGA)
-  Philadelphia (PHL)
-  Portland, ME (PWM)
-  Providence, RI (PVD)
-  Washington, DC (DCA)
-  Washington, DC (IAD)
-  Westchester County, NY (HPN)
-  Worcester, MA (ORH)

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