weathafella Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 At least there's no heat if it plays like you're saying. Isn't low 80's in July somewhat below normal for you? My guess is 82 is close to normal and 70 is above by a good margin. I think BOS peaks at 83/66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 My guess is 82 is close to normal and 70 is above by a good margin. I think BOS peaks at 83/66. I agree 70 is above--don't think we'll see much of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 My guess is 82 is close to normal and 70 is above by a good margin. I think BOS peaks at 83/66. Average dailies: BDL: 85+, BOS: 82+ ORH: 79+ So, I guess near normal. No high heat in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 My guess is 82 is close to normal and 70 is above by a good margin. I think BOS peaks at 83/66. 70 would be above average but since we're entering peak climo times for many location it wouldn't be that unusual. Hopefully we don't have a repeat of last year with nearly average max's and mins way above making it for the "hottest" July ever. FWIW, my NE CT 29 year normals at peak climo is 81/59 on the 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 euro ens are pretty funny in the long range. that's a massive west coast ridge / GL trough for this time of year. you can actually track the core of the cold getting dislodged from NW Canada and dropping right down into the heart of the U.S. too like you would in the dead of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 euro ens are pretty funny in the long range. that's a massive west coast ridge / GL trough for this time of year. you can actually track the core of the cold getting dislodged from NW Canada and dropping right down into the heart of the U.S. too like you would in the dead of winter.yeah. I thought that too. The amplitude is cold season like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 That is a real amplified pattern for July...wow. That probably means two things. Could be active for our area and blizz is right in that it could be an overall warmer and more humid pattern....but with a trough like that..it also probably means will get some fropa action too with maybe some brief interludes of nicer weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 That is a real amplified pattern for July...wow. That probably means two things. Could be active for our area and blizz is right in that it could be an overall warmer and more humid pattern....but with a trough like that..it also probably means will get some fropa action too with maybe some brief interludes of nicer weather. yeah it could be swamp central if it ends up west and we are locked in with SSW flow. that - or we end up with dominant NW flow and unusually cool / dry air for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 euro ens are pretty funny in the long range. that's a massive west coast ridge / GL trough for this time of year. you can actually track the core of the cold getting dislodged from NW Canada and dropping right down into the heart of the U.S. too like you would in the dead of winter. Yup... I could see it going either way too. All depends on trough axis location. Probably active for thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Well I hope for cooler air, but at least verbatim it doesn't seem terribly boring. Who knows though..it could change one way or the other. Not a bad pattern to have later August and September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 You can also get a lot of ugly E flow murk days too with a deep GL trough as low pressure develop to the east of it but have trouble cutting to our west....this happened in July 2009 quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Reasonably uncomfortable late afternoons in the interior the next three days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Is this nao driven like July 2009? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Radar at this point suggests just a clipping in northwestern most MA. Hopefully, things will expand a little further south. 78.8/69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Radar at this point suggests just a clipping in northwestern most MA. Hopefully, things will expand a little further south. 78.8/69 Uh oh...if you've got dews near 70F that's moving northward...still a Td of 58 here but on the rise from 53F this morning. Trying to avoid the swamp as long as possible haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 You can also get a lot of ugly E flow murk days too with a deep GL trough as low pressure develop to the east of it but have trouble cutting to our west....this happened in July 2009 quite a bit. Now and then you could see that represented on the op runs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Is this line of showers/tstorms coming into NH at 2pm it, or will another line form in NYS later this PM?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Is this line of showers/tstorms coming into NH at 2pm it, or will another line form in NYS later this PM?? I think that will be it of the potentially damaging type. As I feared, it's going to pass just to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Well it looks like the heaviest part of the line is going to come through my area in an hour. Doesn't look very impressive at the moment but you can watch it on my webcam and weather station as it comes through. http://www.metrocast.net/~wxeye/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Well it looks like the heaviest part of the line is going to come through my area in an hour. Doesn't look very impressive at the moment but you can watch it on my webcam and weather station as it comes through. http://www.metrocast.net/~wxeye/ Enjoy. It's going to my north, but I can hear the thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Looks to be a direct hit here. .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Doesn't look like a big deal. Looks like Im going to go through one of the heaviest parts of the line. Sky not dark, no thunder. Will report rain total as soon as it passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Looks to be a direct hit here. .. I was about to post that about your locale. I'm warned, but unless it shifts south 5 miles, I'll be on the sidelines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 A Ginxy pants tent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 A Ginxy pants tent. I can see how deaths can occur. Your up at the camp site and the kids are down in the stream playing on a sandbar in the middle of it. Doesn't take long before they could be swept away without the parents even realizing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 I can see how deaths can occur. Your up at the camp site and the kids are down in the stream playing on a sandbar in the middle of it. Doesn't take long before they could be swept away without the parents even realizing it. That's the first time I've actually seen video like that. I remember back when Weirs Beach had that flooding...there was a kid iirc who was killed in that. They were camping nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 I can see how deaths can occur. Your up at the camp site and the kids are down in the stream playing on a sandbar in the middle of it. Doesn't take long before they could be swept away without the parents even realizing it. I saw something similar (though not quite as dramatic of an onset) in Arizona several years back...we were in the foothills about 4 hours NE of Phoenix up around 7,000ft on like a bench in the terrain. There were a bunch of mountain peaks in the area and a thunderstorm like 5 miles away just sat for hours and we watched the nearby drainage go from an empty 15-foot deep channel to whitewater over the course of an hour or two. You could see old cars that had gotten caught in previous torrents, were buried up to their windshields in sand and dirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Euro has plenty of high dews after the dry down late this weewith multiple storm threats in the extended as the midwest trough promotes sw flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 To see this kind of organized gradient/R-Wave structure at this time of year is rare... I'm wondering if the gradient its self is above normal (geopotential, equatorward to polar regions...). Whatever the cause, that just is not summer ...period. All the models are insisting this curiously...I'd be more willing to dismiss this that makes it hard to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Looks like the ensembles are a bit more insistent on getting the trough east nect week. After, we may see things retro before another reinforcement, but looks like some humid weather mixed with some more comfortable temps and dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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