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July Discussion


HimoorWx

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Euro really struggles to clear the area with the front thru Thursday. Never really gets the true dry air in here until next weekend for a day

 

Even the GFS to a degree.  We are now approaching the time of year where it can become quite difficult to fully clear fronts through the area.  Makes sense b/c fronts begin to become much more weak in nature with smaller temperature gradients.  Add in the fact that you can have strong ridging in the western/central Atlantic and the fronts aren't strong enough to move through.  Typically these fronts become "dew point" fronts where we usually see drier air work in as opposed to drier/cooler air.  This is also why we see a decrease in severe wx typically as we move through the middle half of July towards August.  

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Even the GFS to a degree. We are now approaching the time of year where it can become quite difficult to fully clear fronts through the area. Makes sense b/c fronts begin to become much more weak in nature with smaller temperature gradients. Add in the fact that you can have strong ridging in the western/central Atlantic and the fronts aren't strong enough to move through. Typically these fronts become "dew point" fronts where we usually see drier air work in as opposed to drier/cooler air. This is also why we see a decrease in severe wx typically as we move through the middle half of July towards August.

They have a name, dry lines. And they can stil deliver.
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Let's lock that run in for Thu-Sat. I'll even take the crappy, cool Sunday too.

 

 

That would be pretty amazing to get yet another great weekend (at least Fri/Sat) of low dewpoint wx.

 

Hopefully that murk on Sunday is just model fantasy in clown range...though the ensembles aren't the greatest look either.

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I hate to call what we get as dry lines. I feel like most of the time they're just pressure troughs and with the wind shift we get downsloping and mix out the dews.

 

Yeah I don't think dry line is the correct term either.  I guess if you're using it loosely it's fine but I wouldn't want anyone to mistake what we get as dry lines b/c they are nowhere near what true dry lines actually are.  Pressure troughs, wind shifts, dewpoint front...all much better and more correct terms to use.  Even cold front isn't entirely correct IMO

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won't be close to 60 this week either...that's b/c it will be close to 70

All week? Highly doubtful. What a great COC weekend don't you agree, someone said we would only briefly tickle mid 50s dew before back over 60 on Sunday afternoon, reality was upper 40s and low 50s, just perfect.
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All week? Highly doubtful. What a great COC weekend don't you agree, someone said we would only briefly tickle mid 50s dew before back over 60 on Sunday afternoon, reality was upper 40s and low 50s, just perfect.

Low 50s today?
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All week? Highly doubtful. What a great COC weekend don't you agree, someone said we would only briefly tickle mid 50s dew before back over 60 on Sunday afternoon, reality was upper 40s and low 50s, just perfect.

I thought too we would see higher dews trickle in this afternoon, however, I think the breezy conditions worked to keep drier air mixing down. No suspect through the evening and overnight we see an increase and we see fog in the AM.

We won't see high dews all week though...at the worst sustaining until Wednesday but he boundary will slide through or at least come close enough to usher in some drier air.

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