RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 A little sticky but not bad. Should be some good isolated heavy rains this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Just got socked with a 3 minute pulser... brief heavy rain and a 37mph gust at the wx station which is pretty darn solid historically speaking for this anemometer. Sun is back out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 7:07 PM, CT Rain said: Embrace days and days of low dews on the op Euro for next week after Monday.Just need to get the ens on board with dumping the cold further east like the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 This is how I like my climo peak... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 At 6 days out..I'd temper expectations on any op run lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 7:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: At 6 days out..I'd temper expectations on any op run lol. Of course... unless it shows high dews and heat and then we lock it in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 7:42 PM, CT Rain said: Of course... unless it shows high dews and heat and then we lock it in! I wouldn't lock that in either at 6 days out. In the winter you guys tell us not to take anything verbatim even 3 days out..yet in summer..we're locking in an op Euro/GFS run of 82/52 for 5 straight days at day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 An odd temp day up here today. A slow rise, then a spike to 83.0. Now back to 80.9. Muggy. 80.9/72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 7:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I wouldn't lock that in either at 6 days out. In the winter you guys tell us not to take anything verbatim even 3 days out..yet in summer..we're locking in an op Euro/GFS run of 82/52 for 5 straight days at day 6.Well we're talking H5 here...not a d6 coastal storm or QPF. There's plenty of ens support for a high amplitude trough in the eastern 2/3 of the US/Can next week. The intensity and location of the heart of the cold dump is TBD. It looks fairly anomalous for mid July though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Sorta underperforming heat up here too. MOS had 90+ for CON and it was 86F there at 3p. Hit 84F here. BKN skies have done a good job of keeping the temp down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 7:47 PM, dendrite said: Well we're talking H5 here...not a d6 coastal storm or QPF. There's plenty of ens support for a high amplitude trough in the eastern 2/3 of the US/Can next week. The intensity and location of the heart of the cold dump is TBD. It looks fairly anomalous for mid July though.Hopefully it sets up to our west so we have predominately humid/stormy conditions. A week of 80's and dry air in July would just be terribly boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 7:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Hopefully it sets up to our west so we have predominately humid/stormy conditions. A week of 80's and dry air in July would just be terribly boring That's how our summers are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 8:01 PM, CoastalWx said: That's how our summers are. Salt in the wound. 79.5/71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 8:01 PM, CoastalWx said: That's how our summers are.just keep the recurves going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/8/2014 at 8:01 PM, CoastalWx said: That's how our summers are.Our climate is humid continental. Hot humid summers are part of that.https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CAsQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fen.m.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FHumid_continental_climate&ei=QRm9U6SjHIyQyATP8IGgCw&usg=AFQjCNG8BNZrAvpUXiLDt3DGDQuKDY0zew&sig2=VWU_WsczrFqkRNmlJOHEUg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/9/2014 at 10:30 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Our climate is humid continental. Hot humid summers are part of that. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CAsQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fen.m.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FHumid_continental_climate&ei=QRm9U6SjHIyQyATP8IGgCw&usg=AFQjCNG8BNZrAvpUXiLDt3DGDQuKDY0zew&sig2=VWU_WsczrFqkRNmlJOHEUg Our climate is not 90/70. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/9/2014 at 10:34 AM, CoastalWx said: Our climate is not 90/70. Sorry. Who said that? The fact is..we live in a humid continental climate. I'm sorry, but there's no way anyone can debate that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/9/2014 at 10:56 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Who said that? The fact is..we live in a humid continental climate. I'm sorry, but there's no way anyone can debate that. You have no clue how they define that. None. Nice try though. It has nothing to do with what you want summer to be. It has to do with precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 hu·mid ˈ(h)yo͞omid/ adjective marked by a relatively high level of water vapor in the atmosphere. "a hot and humid day" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Recurves FTW. The first image shows the WPAC TC near SW Japan and the response already starting in terms of the ridge building out ahead of it. Look how by 12/12z we have the ridge really build in amplitude out by the Kamchatka Peninsula and extreme NE Asia and then a response of a digging GOA low with big ridging into NW Canada. This helps lead to colder air moving into the US by the 13th. All this probably would not happen as dramatically if we didn't have a Rossby Wave train already in place. In other words, if we didn't have a ridge-rough-ridge-trough setup. The recurve basically acts to enhance the features already in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/9/2014 at 10:30 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Our climate is humid continental. Hot humid summers are part of that. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CAsQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fen.m.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FHumid_continental_climate&ei=QRm9U6SjHIyQyATP8IGgCw&usg=AFQjCNG8BNZrAvpUXiLDt3DGDQuKDY0zew&sig2=VWU_WsczrFqkRNmlJOHEUg Digging a little deeper on the updated Koppen-Geiger classification scheme and you get this description of the Dfb climate: Precipitation is relatively well distributed year-round in many areas with this climate, while others may see a marked reduction in wintry precipitation and even a wintertime drought. Snowfall, regardless of average seasonal totals, occurs in all areas with a humid continental climate and in many such places is more common than rain during the height of winter. In places with sufficient wintertime precipitation, the snow cover is often deep. Most summer rainfall occurs during thunderstorms and a very occasional tropical system. Though humidity levels are often high in locations with humid continental climates, the "humid" designation does not mean that the humidity levels are necessarily high, only that the climate is not dry enough to be classified as semi-arid or arid. Very few areas with a humid continental climate fall in the Dsa or Dsb categories; generally these are adjacent to Mediterranean climates where the elevation precludes such classification due to colder winters. and further down the page you get this: The warm summer subtype is marked by mild summers, long cold winters and less precipitation than the hot summer subtype, however, short periods of extreme heat are not uncommon. I've placed in bold what I think is the key point here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Busted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Humid was designated in this area for a reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/9/2014 at 11:56 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Humid was designated in this area for a reason Exactly. It was designated for the reason quoted above: the "humid" designation does not mean that the humidity levels are necessarily high, only that the climate is not dry enough to be classified as semi-arid or arid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Better off not to engage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/9/2014 at 12:02 PM, CoastalWx said: Better off not to engage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 On 7/9/2014 at 10:30 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Our climate is humid continental. Hot humid summers are part of that. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CAsQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fen.m.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FHumid_continental_climate&ei=QRm9U6SjHIyQyATP8IGgCw&usg=AFQjCNG8BNZrAvpUXiLDt3DGDQuKDY0zew&sig2=VWU_WsczrFqkRNmlJOHEUg Dfb (thus all of New England) is humid continental WARM (or mild) summer. MA gets to Dfa, hot summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 And around and around we go It's like playing Whack-a-mole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 So can a met or a more knowledgeable novice tell me if the upcoming deep trough is nao driven, say like July 2009? Or are we still dealing with the EPO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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