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July 2014


SACRUS

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Yesterdays (7/26) highs - clouds and showers in the way kept it cooler than forecast, but overall most of the areas was mainly rain free and had late PM sun.

 

TEB: 81

NYC: 81

EWR: 82

LGA: 82

JFK:  81

ISP: 80

New Brnswk: 81

TTN: 79

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if you line up the last 56 July's average temperatures from top to bottom 2014 would be right in the middle...

 

And we have had a July 76 degree drought since the late 90's.

 

 

2014.....76.6....so far

1998.....76.5

1990.....76.8

1986.....76.0

1985.....76.2

1979.....76.9

1963.....76.4

1959.....76.3

1958.....76.1

1954.....76.7

1951.....76.8

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And we have had a July 76 degree drought since the late 90's....

max/min added...

 

year.....ave temp...max min

2014.....76.6..........92 63

1998.....76.5..........93 62

1990.....76.8..........95 57

1986.....76.0..........98 55...

1985.....76.2..........92 61

1979.....76.9..........95 53

1963.....76.4..........98 54

1959.....76.3..........90 62

1958.....76.1..........93 63

1954.....76.7........100 60...100 on 7/14 and 7/31

1951.....76.8..........94 61

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Not happening. Seasonal trend and as we get past 8/10 or so, gets tough for big/sustained heat historically

 

Gets tough but its not that uncommon.  Assuming big (95+) sustained (3 or more days) heat is what you guys are talking about.  Agreed though nothing to show this occurring in the next 10 days.  Still believe we ride the warm side of normal once past the 31st between 8/1 and 8/6. Still looks like we may see less troughing into the GL/MW and a bit flatter flow towards 8/8 but we'll have to see how things progress.

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Also interesting is what will become of 93L that's forecast to become a tropical system that might threaten the east coast. Will we see enough of a WAR to shove the storm toward the coast?

 

The 12z GFS today has this feature north of Puerto Rico by Sunday.  Could be an interesting one to track. 

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the euro ens mean brings a slug of rain into the area friday night. i almost always lean west with these atlantic ridge setups

Hopefully the ridge can build a little further west so the axis of rain is further west. Otherwise I think we're looking at a soggy weekend if things stay as progged now.
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Guest Pamela

How does a 83-84 degree day feel like spring?

That's a summer day and it might even be a little above average.

 

It is the drop of the dew points into the 50's that does it.

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