bluewave Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 It's looking like this will be the first July since 2004 when JFK doesn't reach 90 degrees. This matches the trough in the GL and MW with strong onshore flow to the east over our area. July high temperature at JFK 2014....88 so far 2013...100 2012....99 2011...103 2010...101 2009....90 2008....92 2007....90 2006....95 2005....92 2004....86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 It's looking like this will be the first July since 2004 when JFK doesn't reach 90 degrees. This matches the trough in the GL and MW with strong onshore flow to the east over our area. July high temperature at JFK 2014....88 so far 2013...100 2012....99 2011...103 2010...101 2009....90 2008....92 2007....90 2006....95 2005....92 2004....86 500.gif Not for this section though but i know all of us come october/november will be praying this -EPO regime we've been in since last year wont be going anywhere this winter. This summer has been comfortable and not overwhelmingly hot and humid because of it. We wouldnt be having an early winter discussion thread if it was forecasted to be a raging la nina, +EPO and no blocking thats for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 A gun shot doesn't describe thunder. It was really loud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 so far July is averaging 76.8 in KNYC...It's 0.7 degrees above the long term average since 1869...The 1981-2010 average is 76.8...July will probably end up close to normal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 so far July is averaging 76.8 in KNYC...It's 0.7 degrees above the long term average since 1869...The 1981-2010 average is 76.8...July will probably end up close to normal... Literally no major heat the whole month and and all we can muster is near normal when compared to the warmest 30 year period...what has to happen around here to get a month below normal for crying out loud? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Literally no major heat the whole month and and all we can muster is near normal when compared to the warmest 30 year period...what has to happen around here to get a month below normal for crying out loud? warm minimums... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Too bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 July has averaged 76.8 since 1930... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 The Euro has dew points in the 40's and 50's from Monday night through at least Friday when the WAR starts creeping west. Some surface temps in the upper 40's are showing up about 100 miles NW of NYC during the early morning hours on Wednesday. Deep trough extends from Montana down to the gulf coast and then up to Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Today is just an awesome day! Doesnt feel like the dog days of summer at all and i have zero problems with it as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Too bad I love your posts. Keep up the good work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Today is just an awesome day! Doesnt feel like the dog days of summer at all and i have zero problems with it as well Yeah holding at 74 here even with some partial sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24, 2014 Author Share Posted July 24, 2014 Finally clearing up here and turning out to be a great day 3PM Roundup TEB: 83 NYC: 79 EWR: 79 LGA: 79 JFK: 81 ISP: 80 New brnswick: 81 TTN: 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 The Euro has dew points in the 40's and 50's from Monday night through at least Friday when the WAR starts creeping west. Some surface temps in the upper 40's are showing up about 100 miles NW of NYC during the early morning hours on Wednesday. Deep trough extends from Montana down to the gulf coast and then up to Nova Scotia. Wow, that's a late Sept look. Assuming warm/humid as we head into next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Wow, that's a late Sept look. Assuming warm/humid as we head into next weekend? Looks like towards next weekend we would get warmer and humid but there's definitely a cool shot in between next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 So to sum up the pattern, nice cool 2 days coming up, cold front with showers/storms then another cooldown and then WAR nudges west next Friday/Sat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 The WAR is going to be anchored closer to the Maritimes so the heat potential will be limited. The surface high will be centered pretty far north so there should be plenty of onshore flow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 So to sum up the pattern, nice cool 2 days coming up, cold front with showers/storms then another cooldown and then WAR nudges west next Friday/Sat? Deja vu? Oh and when the WAR nudges west again we can maybe expect a few 90F readings for like a day or two. It's really only a matter of time before even the chance of another 90F readings becomes obsolete. OT: First time this month I noticed the subtle change in the daylight hours when I woke up a few minutes after 5am and it was still dark out when a few weeks ago there was a good deal of light showing up by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24, 2014 Author Share Posted July 24, 2014 The WAR is going to be anchored closer to the Maritimes so the heat potential will be limited. The surface high will be centered pretty far north so there should be plenty of onshore flow here. get_legacy_plot-web248-20140724205530-9435-0647.gif B.gif Models have been building the WAR in further west post this timeframe (7/31) in the 8/1 - 8/6 period. But agreed overall, that its warm and humid and not prolonged or strong heat. EDIT - for some reason your image was showing 7/30 now its 8/3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24, 2014 Author Share Posted July 24, 2014 So to sum up the pattern, nice cool 2 days coming up, cold front with showers/storms then another cooldown and then WAR nudges west next Friday/Sat? 7/25 - 7/26 : Near normal 7/27 - 7/28 : Warmer/humid (+2 to +5) 7/29 - 8/1 : Cooler (-5 to -10) than normal peaking 7/30 8/1 - 8/6 : Warm/humid 8/7 : who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 At one point, I thought a gun shot went off near my house. That's how loud the thunder was. did you run outside to investigate ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 The WAR is going to be anchored closer to the Maritimes so the heat potential will be limited. The surface high will be centered pretty far north so there should be plenty of onshore flow here. get_legacy_plot-web248-20140724205530-9435-0647.gif B.gif Question, if the WAR is associated with the subtropical ridge and we have an easterly flow south of the high would would that be considered part of the trade winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 25, 2014 Author Share Posted July 25, 2014 today's highs TEB: 83 NYC: 80 EWR: 83 LGA: 81 JFK: 83 ISP: 82 New Brunswick: 84 TTN: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 Slight risk Sunday for CNJ. Likely extend into Monday too. Any severe wx will depend on timing. But these southerly flow convective events , tend to be more heavy rain producers for our area. Heading to Bwi for the conference now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 Slight risk Sunday for CNJ. Likely extend into Monday too. Any severe wx will depend on timing. But these southerly flow convective events , tend to be more heavy rain producers for our area. Heading to Bwi for the conference now. Have a good time weathergun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 25, 2014 Author Share Posted July 25, 2014 Just beautiful morning out there, very LA-ish feel today. Looks like another gem of a summer weekend coming up with temps in the mid to upper 80s (maybe some reach 90 sunday in the warmer spots of s/c/ne-nj) and storms holding off till late sunday or Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 25, 2014 Author Share Posted July 25, 2014 Departures through the 2/3 of July (7/24) with 1 week to go. NYC: +0.4 EWR: +0.4 LGA: +0.1 JFK: even steven TTN: +0.3 PHL: +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 This summer has been amazing. Just days and days and days of 80-85 and tolerable humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 This summer has been amazing. Just days and days and days of 80-85 and tolerable humidity. +1. This has been by far the most pleasant summer I've experienced since moving to NYC in 2009. Some of those stretches of triple digits in 2010-2012 were unbearable... if you take the subway to work, you especially know what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 pleasant is boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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