PB GFI Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 What direction are the storms moving on that map? East. Maybe a bit ESE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 various guidance has been signaling this for the last few days. The period 8/1 - 8/6 looks warm and very humid. It would probably be a recipe for more storms rather than extreme heat as long as the GL trough is still there. Also it seems that the so called "heat" like today is the best we can really do with temps from upper 80s to low 90s though with very high dews. Will things honestly get hotter than this moving forward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Today seems like the worst of the summer so far...very humid and steamy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Storms a buildin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 HRRR Seems way overdone based on current radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 HRRR Seems way overdone based on current radar. That was for 11pm tonight. The storms are still out in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Every single model has activity for NNJ and NYC after 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Storms a buildin' Yes sir! You can see the line moving east from C.PA now, HRRR looks on point thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Latest RAP continues the theme. That means the next HRRR will also continue, since it's run off the previous RAP: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 That was for 11pm tonight. The storms are still out in PA ah. I was deducting 4 hrs like we have to on the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 ah. I was deducting 4 hrs like we have to on the other models. Nope they already deduct it for you...03z Thursday is 23:00 Wed. so 11pm or 10 depending on DST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 23, 2014 Author Share Posted July 23, 2014 It would probably be a recipe for more storms rather than extreme heat as long as the GL trough is still there. Also it seems that the so called "heat" like today is the best we can really do with temps from upper 80s to low 90s though with very high dews. Will things honestly get hotter than this moving forward? Yes the main theme if some of the recent and latest guidance is right will be warm and humid with increased rain 8/1 - 8/6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 These are the dog days...enjoy them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Thunderstorm where I am in the Poconos. Heavy rain, gusty winds and cgs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Looks to be another long night in the Bronx. Terrible timing as well with rain coming in around the second or third inning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 He explains his reasoning. Again, not the only met saying this. One trick pony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Line started to weaken but trying to fill back in..2nd line behind it but guessing it won't make it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Looks meh...1st line falling apart over eastern PA. Second line too far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Sorry kinda off topic, but planning a trip to Allentown Pa on Sunday for Dorney park and wanted to know if I'll hit rain? Forecasts are calling for a 60% chance rain. Thanks in advanced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Looks meh...1st line falling apart over eastern PA. Second line too far north. Line looks fine and is miles away from the area. Eastern PA??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 23, 2014 Share Posted July 23, 2014 Models have the line making it to NYC and then rapidly falling apart. Just a FYI for those further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Line looks fine and is miles away from the area. Eastern PA??? Its really intensified over NC nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Its really intensified over NC nj And right now, the best part looks like it will come right over the NYC boroughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24, 2014 Author Share Posted July 24, 2014 Todays highs TEB: 96PHL: 93EWR: 92New Brnswick: 90TTN: 90LGA: 89NYC: 88ISP: 84JFK: 83ACY: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Nice storm..nothing crazy but torrential downpours and lots of thunder and lightning... Not too much wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Nice storm..nothing crazy but torrential downpours and lots of thunder and lightning... Not too much wind Yeah. Line now weakening, as per modeling, as they approach the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 And right now, the best part looks like it will come right over the NYC boroughs. Southern parts yes not Manhattan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 Yeah. Line now weakening, as per modeling, as they approach the coast. Maybe overall but this part of the line definitely strengthened just to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 827 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... HUDSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... SOUTHERN ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 915 PM EDT * AT 823 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR GARWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... LINDEN AND UNION AROUND 830 PM EDT... ELIZABETH AROUND 835 PM EDT... NEWARK AROUND 840 PM EDT... BAYONNE AND PORT RICHMOND AROUND 845 PM EDT... TOMPKINSVILLE AROUND 850 PM EDT... BAY RIDGE AND VERRAZANO-NARROWS BRIDGE AROUND 855 PM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...WHICH COULD FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS QUICKLY AND COVER ROADS WITH WATER. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. WHEN THUNDER ROARS...MOVE INDOORS! REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGE. MOVE INSIDE A PERMANENT BUILDING NOW TO BE SAFE FROM STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA FACEBOOK OR TWEET US @NWSNEWYORKNY OR E MAIL US AT [email protected] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 24, 2014 Share Posted July 24, 2014 I was about to post that the little cell near Elizabeth has strengthened and has a decent hail core. NYC and it's boroughs now warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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