SACRUS Posted July 20, 2014 Author Share Posted July 20, 2014 EWR makes a run at 90 on Wed. The park probably falls short.. We should see some places make a run at 90 on Tue with most of the area reaching the 90s wed ahead of the front which has sped up on the latest guidance to late Wed/early thu. Beyond there looks nice and near normal the end of this week into next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 Last 90 degree reading at ISP was July 20th 2013. http://www.newsday.com/long-island/li-temperatures-haven-t-hit-90-in-one-year-weather-service-says-1.8848000 Sunday -- July 20 -- marks the first anniversary of the last time Long Island MacArthur Airport had a temperature of 90 degrees or above, meteorologists say. On that date, the thermometer registered 90 on the nose, and it hasn't risen to that level since, according to National Weather Service records. This is the fifth-longest stretch of consecutive days with no 90s in the 30 years that the weather service has maintained records at the Ronkonkoma airport. The record for longest goes to the nearly two-year 90s-free period from July 6, 2003, to June 13, 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 73 and partly sunny here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2014 Author Share Posted July 20, 2014 7/17 Departures NYC: 81/67 (-3) EWR: 84/65 (-3) LGA: 83/68 (-2) JFK: 82/67 (-1) TTN: 82/62 (-4) 7/18 Departures NYC: 81/64 (-4) EWR: 83/64 (-4) LGA: 82/68 (-3) JFK: 84/65 (-1) TTN: 81/60 (-5) 7/19 Departures NYC: 78/68 (-5) EWR: 78/68 (-5) LGA: 77/68 (-5) JFK: 79/68 (-2) TTN: 77/64 (-5) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 Upton can't win-went party sunny yesterday we were cloudy, vice versa for today. Oh well. 73/64 with a nice breeze here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 Upton can't win-went party sunny yesterday we were cloudy, vice versa for today. Oh well. 73/64 with a nice breeze here.You can feel the gradual uptick in humidity today. Went and hit a 100 balls at the range this morning and had to take a second shower afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 Upton can't win-went party sunny yesterday we were cloudy, vice versa for today. Oh well. 73/64 with a nice breeze here. Almost windy at the beach straight out of the east . Much more September then July right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2014 Author Share Posted July 20, 2014 Interesting looking at July (so far) and its trended very similar to 2003 and 2008 temp departures with limited 90 degree heat. 2003 trended warmer in august and 2008 cooler. I think the influences of the WAR will ultimately determine how August turns out. Some hints that the WAR builds west towards the 8/1 - 8/3 period with a trough into the MW/GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2014 Author Share Posted July 20, 2014 EWR Departures 2003: Jul: -0.3 (2.59) Aug: +1.8 (8.00) 2008: Jul: +1.4 (3.14) Aug: -1.7 (2.80) 2002: Jul: +2.7 (1.19) Aug: +2.1 (4.45) 2009: Jul: -3.1 (6.90) Aug: +1.4 (4.15) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 You can feel the gradual uptick in humidity today. Went and hit a 100 balls at the range this morning and had to take a second shower afterwards. yes - you can see why it is relatively cool and more moist today just by observing this satellite loop http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-vis-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 EWR Departures 2003: Jul: -0.3 (2.59) Aug: +1.8 (8.00) 2008: Jul: +1.4 (3.14) Aug: -1.7 (2.80) 2002: Jul: +2.7 (1.19) Aug: +2.1 (4.45) 2009: Jul: -3.1 (6.90) Aug: +1.4 (4.15) Looks like 2008 will be more likely to happen. There are positive departures in July, followed by negative departures in August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 Looks like 2008 will be more likely to happen. There are positive departures in July, followed by negative departures in August. anything to back that up with ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 Fantastic day today. Didn't even reach 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 20, 2014 Share Posted July 20, 2014 Random trivia..this is the first July weekend where both days failed to reach 80 degrees since July 5/6th 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2014 Author Share Posted July 21, 2014 Central park an unusual warm spot today PHL: 82 TEB: 81 NYC: 80 EWR: 79New Brnswick: 78 TTN: 78JFK: 78ISP: 78 LGA: 76ACY: 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Today was a gem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2014 Author Share Posted July 21, 2014 Today was a gem. Continuing the trend and streak of great weekend weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2014 Author Share Posted July 21, 2014 12z and 18z guidance continues to hint that the western atlantic ridge will flex its muscle as we open August. Huge western ridge with trough into the MW/GL with WAR expanding west over the northeast coast. Looks like potential southerly flow with deep tropical/humid pattern. Also suspect should this evolve storms and rain chances increase. Timing looks between 7/31 into the opening of August. Still over a week away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Only 76 here today after just 73 yesterday... have eaten away at the positive departures and am now down to 0 for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 anything to back that up with ? http://www.climatestations.com/images/stories/new-york/NY2008.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 12z and 18z guidance continues to hint that the western atlantic ridge will flex its muscle as we open August. Huge western ridge with trough into the MW/GL with WAR expanding west over the northeast coast. Looks like potential southerly flow with deep tropical/humid pattern. Also suspect should this evolve storms and rain chances increase. Timing looks between 7/31 into the opening of August. Still over a week away... All I'm seeing a huge ridge into canada with a cutoff low / deep trough in the eastern conus... The WAR doesn't really have any direct influence over the eastern conus IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Right at normal for LGA through July 20th. LGA ....July departure...monthly high temperature.. 2014......0.0.....93........so far... 2013....+3.8.....100 2012....+3.0.....101 2011....+3.3.....104 2010....+5.7.....103 2009....-2.6......89 2008...+2.9......97 2007...+0.7......97 2006...+3.6.....100 2005...+1.5.....100 2004...+0.3......94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2014 Author Share Posted July 21, 2014 Right at normal for LGA through July 20th. LGA ....July departure...monthly high temperature.. 2014......0.0.....93........so far... 2013....+3.8.....100 2012....+3.0.....101 2011....+3.3.....104 2010....+5.7.....103 2009....-2.6......89 2008...+2.9......97 2007...+0.7......97 2006...+3.6.....100 2005...+1.5.....100 2004...+0.3......94 Funny how the cooldown was more impacted by the weekend clouds and SE flow. We'll see how much the positives we tack on this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2014 Author Share Posted July 21, 2014 All I'm seeing a huge ridge into canada with a cutoff low / deep trough in the eastern conus... The WAR doesn't really have any direct influence over the eastern conus IMHO. 00z has the trough more east compared to the 12z/18z guidance. Still looks like a warm humid flow to start August, likely means wet as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 The 00z ECMWF has a miller B next Sunday, how's that Summery look for ya? Its been showing up since last Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Funny how the cooldown was more impacted by the weekend clouds and SE flow. We'll see how much the positives we tack on this week. It looks like we'll see a few positives before we cool off again. LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY /84 70/86 73/89 73/82 66/82 66/83 70/83 70/86 normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2014 Author Share Posted July 21, 2014 The 00z ECMWF has a miller B next Sunday, how's that Summery look for ya? Its been showing up since last Friday. That reminds me of the end of Jul 2012 (7/20) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 The 00z ECMWF has a miller B next Sunday, how's that Summery look for ya? Its been showing up since last Friday. Preview of the winter to come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Well we did actually did have highs below 80 this weekend despite people saying we wouldn't. The so called heat for Tue/Wed is extremely tame for the hottest period of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Well we did actually did have highs below 80 this weekend despite people saying we wouldn't. The so called heat for Tue/Wed is extremely tame for the hottest period of the year. People said we wouldn't Wednesday thru Friday from the 'Polar vortex' This weekend was due to clouds and winds off the ocean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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