Brian5671 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Mt holly morning disco says no rain and hints at heat infiltration due to the setup...boo hoo gloom and doomers definitely looks like we warm up Sun-Wed, the question is how quick does the trough come back in and how does the building blocking play into that. Nonetheless, looks like a great week of weather coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 0z euro is dry through the whole weekend and took away that phantom rain it had on it's 12z run for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 0z euro is dry through the whole weekend and took away that phantom rain it had on it's 12z run for Monday. Quick question, have you looked at the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Quick question, have you looked at the GFS? Will be gone by 12z. Only model which shows rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 agree bluewave but so far the warmer anomalies have been stronger overall. Especially from out southern sections in CNJ on south towards philly where departures were close to +2 or greater halfway through july. Closer to +1 - 1.5 in NYC and east, True. While the pattern has been cooler than July 2010-2013, there is still enough of a WAR to keep us a little above normal. But the trough in the Lakes and Midwest limits the heat potential so we don't see the 100 degree readings of recent Julys. LGA ....July departure...monthly high temperature.. 2014....+1.1.....93........so far... 2013....+3.8.....100 2012....+3.0.....101 2011....+3.3.....104 2010....+5.7.....103 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Will be gone by 12z. Only model which shows rain. We shall see, there is going to be a storm there. Differences in how far offshore it stays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 I'm fine with a less brutal July than in the past few years. I can't wait until the heat is over though I can't complain about the current and upcoming few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Here were the 06z GEFS ensembles. I have an outdoor BBQ on Sunday afternoon. The last thing I want is rain, so you can put aside my typical wet bias with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 It's overcast here, didn't expect that. If I didn't know better I would be expecting rain soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 The 12z 4k NAM has some shower activity around the area on Saturday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Beautiful sunny day warm day here..enjoy haters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Great feeling out there! Comfy night followed by temps in the upper 70's to around 80 this afternoon with low humidity, a breeze with clouds and sun during what's typically the hottest time of the year with no real heat in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Great feeling out there! Comfy night followed by temps in the upper 70's to around 80 this afternoon with low humidity, a breeze with clouds and sun during what's typically the hottest time of the year with no real heat in sight. Fair (and cool) weather poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Fair (and cool) weather poster.like clockwork every time there's a cooldown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Beautiful sunny day warm day here..enjoy haters A bit cold for your kind no? only 78 at noon...no heat waves in sight..i'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Im ok with it as long as its sunny and heat is coming back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Looks like EWR so far has topped out at 79 at 11am..clouds have kept temps below 80 for the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Clouds and even few showers are popping up with the cold pool aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 So where is the big heat that's supposedly coming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 I'm driving through a pretty decent rain shower in Westwood, NJ. Certainly wasn't expecting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 17, 2014 Author Share Posted July 17, 2014 A bit cold for your kind no? only 78 at noon...no heat waves in sight..i'll take it Tue - Thu next week could see 3 days of 90 degrees before the next cooldown. Nothing prolonged cool or hot, but overall warmer continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 So where is the big heat that's supposedly coming? I'm still looking for the big cooldown. Today may register a -4 or so. Not very impressive at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 I'm still looking for the big cooldown. Today may register a -4 or so. Not very impressive at all. Its a shivering 82 now...Polar Vortex FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Austinwx Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 I'm still looking for the big cooldown. Today may register a -4 or so. Not very impressive at all. Since June 1, there has been 1 day at Central Park with a 5 or greater negative departure (July 4th with Arthur). 9 days with a 5 or greater positive departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Since June 1, there has been 1 day at Central Park with a 5 or greater negative departure (July 4th with Arthur). 9 days with 5 or greater positive departures. And this is supposed to be a cool summer so far. Central Park also records muted highs because of the overgrowth so the numbers you listed are even more meaningful. Thanks for the stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Its a shivering 82 now...Polar Vortex FTW! Even my wife that doesn't care about weather that much thought all the polar vortex talk was hilarious and ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Today's a gem of a day. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 Next week looks like your typical mid-summer pattern where we stay on the western periphery of the Bermuda ridge with daily chances of diurnal activity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 No sign of any big warm up or heat ridge in the northeast at least through the end of July. Today's 12z GEFS ensembles keep a mean trough in the east. Wash, rinse, repeat of what we've been seeing all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted July 17, 2014 Share Posted July 17, 2014 No sign of any big warm up or heat ridge in the northeast at least through the end of July. Today's 12z GEFS ensembles keep a mean trough in the east. Wash, rinse, repeat of what we've been seeing all season. I'll buy that. Not a big fan of the last few Julys, so hoping that the real heat will be kept in abeyance, at least into August, when the sun gets lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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