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July 2014


SACRUS

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The most comfortable July temperature pattern around the region from 2010 on continues.

You can see how much cooler this July has been for a place like LGA.

 

LGA ....July departure...monthly high temperature..

 

2014....+1.4.....93........so far...

2013....+3.8.....100

2012....+3.0.....101

2011....+3.3.....104

2010....+5.7.....103

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thank you for including ACY even though it isn't technically part of this forum, you still have viewership

No problem - figure there are plenty of folks vacationing along the beches in NJ.  Its also a bit inherited from eastern when we were combined with philly/-snj forum. 

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The most comfortable July temperature pattern around the region from 2010 on continues.

You can see how much cooler this July has been for a place like LGA.

 

LGA ....July departure...monthly high temperature..

 

2014....+1.4.....93........so far...

2013....+3.8.....100

2012....+3.0.....101

2011....+3.3.....104

2010....+5.7.....103

 

Yeah this July has so far not included the strong heat and positive departures of 10-13.  I think weve been running similar to 2006 but certainly not '09.   Longer range looks similar with a burst of heat then some moderation/cooling and back again.  it will be interesting if we can lock in some longer duration heat.

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Yeah this July has so far not included the strong heat and positive departures of 10-13.  I think weve been running similar to 2006 but certainly not '09.   Longer range looks similar with a burst of heat then some moderation/cooling and back again.  it will be interesting if we can lock in some longer duration heat.

 

I guess 5 hot Julys in a row was just too much to pull off. 4 in a row was quite a feat since that pushed beyond the  previous record

three hot Julys in a row during 93, 94, and 95.

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The big ridge this July will set up over the Rockies instead of the Great Lakes to the

Northeast like last July. Notice how the weakness in the ridge theme continues

over the Great Lakes sparing us the extreme 100 degree heat of recent years.

 

 

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GFS and Euro both basically have 0 rainfall for the next week

While that may be true, Saturday and Sunday might feature isolated storms given the vort max that will pass overhead on Saturday evening. Prior runs did have more activity. The Euro had several inches of rain days 7-10 so it would appear that after another rather dry few days things should moisten up again.

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Yeah I'm not saying that won't change..just not often you see the models that dry

Just southwest of here actually remains very active. It wouldn't take that much of a change to bring the action closer to the region. That's one thing about blocking patterns, they can be very active or a bore fest depending on what end you're on. You only have to go back a couple of days to find the GFS runs that were dumping as much as 10" of rain along the coast the next two weeks.

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