doncat Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Todays Highs- PHL: 91 LDJ: 91 TEB: 89 TTN: 89 New Brnswck: 88 EWR: 86 NYC: 83 JFK: 82 ACY: 82 LGA: 81 ISP: 79 85 here today.... LDJ seems to run high usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 T storm here now... had 0.80" since 11:30 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 The most comfortable July temperature pattern around the region from 2010 on continues. You can see how much cooler this July has been for a place like LGA. LGA ....July departure...monthly high temperature.. 2014....+1.4.....93........so far... 2013....+3.8.....100 2012....+3.0.....101 2011....+3.3.....104 2010....+5.7.....103 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Todays Highs- PHL: 91 LDJ: 91 TEB: 89 TTN: 89 New Brnswck: 88 EWR: 86 NYC: 83 JFK: 82 ACY: 82 LGA: 81 ISP: 79 thank you for including ACY even though it isn't technically part of this forum, you still have viewership Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2014 Author Share Posted July 14, 2014 thank you for including ACY even though it isn't technically part of this forum, you still have viewership No problem - figure there are plenty of folks vacationing along the beches in NJ. Its also a bit inherited from eastern when we were combined with philly/-snj forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2014 Author Share Posted July 14, 2014 The most comfortable July temperature pattern around the region from 2010 on continues. You can see how much cooler this July has been for a place like LGA. LGA ....July departure...monthly high temperature.. 2014....+1.4.....93........so far... 2013....+3.8.....100 2012....+3.0.....101 2011....+3.3.....104 2010....+5.7.....103 Yeah this July has so far not included the strong heat and positive departures of 10-13. I think weve been running similar to 2006 but certainly not '09. Longer range looks similar with a burst of heat then some moderation/cooling and back again. it will be interesting if we can lock in some longer duration heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2014 Author Share Posted July 14, 2014 Made it to 86 in the last hour with breaks of sun. td at 72 and feeling quite tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Yeah this July has so far not included the strong heat and positive departures of 10-13. I think weve been running similar to 2006 but certainly not '09. Longer range looks similar with a burst of heat then some moderation/cooling and back again. it will be interesting if we can lock in some longer duration heat. I guess 5 hot Julys in a row was just too much to pull off. 4 in a row was quite a feat since that pushed beyond the previous record three hot Julys in a row during 93, 94, and 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2014 Author Share Posted July 15, 2014 Made it up to a steamy 88 here. 3 straight days with just missing 90 in parts of NJ. Todays Highs PHL: 90TEB: 89TTN: 89New Brnswck: 88ACY: 87LGA: 85EWR: 85NYC: 84JFK: 83ISP: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2014 Author Share Posted July 15, 2014 Highs through 2PM. Some more sun between these storms could heat things back up TEB: 87 NYC: 86 EWR: 88 LGA: 87 JFK: 84 New Brunswick: 88 TTN: 87 ACY: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2014 Author Share Posted July 16, 2014 Today's Highs; PHL: 91ACY: 89EWR: 88TEB: 88LGA: 88New Brnswick: 88TTN: 88NYC: 86JFK: 82ISP: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2014 Author Share Posted July 16, 2014 Through the first half of the month July departures NYC: +1.6 EWR: +1.7 LGA: +1.4 JFK: +0.8 TTN: +2.0 PH: +2.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 The big ridge this July will set up over the Rockies instead of the Great Lakes to the Northeast like last July. Notice how the weakness in the ridge theme continues over the Great Lakes sparing us the extreme 100 degree heat of recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 I think Saturday afternoon could trend wetter/stormier on future runs. The 12z GFS although still lacking a surface reflection trended a bit stronger with a vort max that is forecasted to round the base of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 GFS and Euro both basically have 0 rainfall for the next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 GFS and Euro both basically have 0 rainfall for the next week Sweet... Yanks will still find a way to pull a deluge out of a hat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 GFS and Euro both basically have 0 rainfall for the next week While that may be true, Saturday and Sunday might feature isolated storms given the vort max that will pass overhead on Saturday evening. Prior runs did have more activity. The Euro had several inches of rain days 7-10 so it would appear that after another rather dry few days things should moisten up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 GFS and Euro both basically have 0 rainfall for the next week Good. After 3+ inches, most areas should be good for a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Good. After 3+ inches, most areas should be good for a week Basically no heat or rain the rest of the month on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 GFS and Euro both basically have 0 rainfall for the next week Time to wash my car... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Basically no heat or rain the rest of the month on the GFS And we all know the models are only wrong when they show a lot of rain, never when they are dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Sweet... Yanks will still find a way to pull a deluge out of a hat. #makinitrain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 And we all know the models are only wrong when they show a lot of rain, never when they are dry. Just telling what it shows...no agenda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Just telling what it shows...no agenda Fair enough, this time of year all you need is a little bit of moisture and a sea gull farting and you can get convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Fair enough, this time of year all you need is a little bit of moisture and a sea gull farting and you can get convection. Yeah I'm not saying that won't change..just not often you see the models that dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Yeah I'm not saying that won't change..just not often you see the models that dry Just southwest of here actually remains very active. It wouldn't take that much of a change to bring the action closer to the region. That's one thing about blocking patterns, they can be very active or a bore fest depending on what end you're on. You only have to go back a couple of days to find the GFS runs that were dumping as much as 10" of rain along the coast the next two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Hey guys. I'm coming up to Brooklyn for the day Saturday - how is the forecast looking? I've seen various wording by the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Hey guys. I'm coming up to Brooklyn for the day Saturday - how is the forecast looking? I've seen various wording by the NWS. Looks dandy...low 80s, partly sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 Looks dandy...low 80s, partly sunny Looks reasonable, I'd add in about a 20% chance of an isolated shower or storm during the afternoon as a shortwave is going to be passing overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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