REDMK6GLI Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 This year has been impressive already...compared to the one flash of lightning I saw all of last year It was impressive for many away from the coastal areas. Those where me and jm1220 are we are still trying to get a good thunderstorm here but likely will not happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 These clouds seem to be hurting the inability (there all the way from he storm south of DC) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 It was impressive for many away from the coastal areas. Those where me and jm1220 are we are still trying to get a good thunderstorm here but likely will not happen The only impressive severe days the last few years with an ENE to NE storm motion were the 2 tornado days. But that happened when the SST's were running in the mid to upper 70's. We need the storms to be moving due east or SE to have a shot at severe. We have had more ENE to NE to moving storms this year with the lack of a good ridge to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 These clouds seem to be hurting the inability (there all the way from he storm south of DC) Yeah it doesn't look promising outside of nw nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Instability still looks decent across the area. Shear is also increasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 that line traversing E.PA that is severe warned looks to be passing to the north of us around Westchester, so unless any other storms pop up south of that doubt any of us in this area will see much rain let alone a thunderstorm this evening, unless you are In Westchester county on N&W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Just got home from VA. Thunder here ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Natures air conditioning especially for the Great Lakes-Midwest as the polar vortex goes to work. The 96 at Newark last week may be the high for the month if temperatures can't rebound during the last week of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 They always rebound in the summet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Good storm here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Looks like a cell right over midtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Looks like a cell right over midtown "WHEN THUNDER ROARS...MOVE INDOORS!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2014 Author Share Posted July 10, 2014 Todays Highs- TEB: 94LDJ: 91EWR: 90PHL: 89New Brnswck: 89TTN: 89NYC: 88LGA: 88ACY: 87ISP: 87JFK: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 severe thunderstorm watch cancelled except for our northern most counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Natures air conditioning especially for the Great Lakes-Midwest as the polar vortex goes to work. The 96 at Newark last week may be the high for the month if temperatures can't rebound during the last week of July. D7.gif Wow... that's record chill for the Midwest and Great Lakes with very cool conditions around here. Rest of July looking really cool around here. Makes sense given overall pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Looks like you guys on the East End might get a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Storms/Showers staring to fire all over the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Yup thunder light rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 I got the faintest of thunder and some lightning. Storms look to be passing south of me, off to bed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Wow... that's record chill for the Midwest and Great Lakes with very cool conditions around here. Rest of July looking really cool around here. Makes sense given overall pattern. One of the strongest July cold shots into the nations midsection in a long time. MONDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...LATEST MEDIUM RANGE SOLUTIONS CONTINUE WITH THE IDEA...AND THE 00Z RUN GFS HAS COME ON BOARD BIG TIME...ABOUT LARGE COLD CORE VORTEX/COOL SEASON LOOKING PATTERN SET UP ACRS THE CENTRAL INTO EASTERN CONUS NEXT WEEK. SEVERAL SOLUTIONS ARE ADVERTISING A DEEP L/W UPPER TROF ACRS THE GRT LKS WITH MERIDIONAL FLOW DOWN THE UPPER MIDWEST OUT OF CANADA/NORTHWESTERN HUDSON BAY REGION. THE MAIN STORM TRACK COULD BE SHUNTED ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE GULF...WHILE THE UPPER MIDWEST/NORTHERN PLAINS GET INUNDATED WITH UNSEASONABLY STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND COLD AIR. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF NOW ADVERTISE SINGLE DIGIT H85 MB TEMPS INTO OR VERY CLOSE TO THE DVN CWA FROM MON NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WED. IF ENOUGH CLOUD COVER...SOME SIGNS THAT HIGH TEMPS DURING FROM TUE INTO WED/MID NEXT WEEK MAY STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 60S...AND RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IF SKIES CLEAR OUT AND SFC WINDS DECREASE ENOUGH. WILL TREND DOWN TEMPS AT THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD FOR NOW...AND AWAIT ANY FURTHER MODEL OR TELECONNECTION AGREEMENT IN THE RUNS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ..12.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2014 Author Share Posted July 10, 2014 Coolest temps in our area look to occur 7/17 - 7/20. It looks like we'll moderate by that weekend (7/21)and some hints the WAR builds in towards the 7/22. Warm/humid stormy days (7/14-15) ahead of the front and subsequent trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Interesting that we could end up in the ring of fire being outside the cool pool as well as attracting any tropical cyclone off the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 WPC mentioning Polar Vortex "IN THE EAST, A BONAFIDE POLAR VORTEX APPEARS DESTINED TO NESTLE INTO ONTARIO AND QUEBEC, DELIVERING REMARKABLY COOL, DRY AIR INTO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. SOME OF THE GREATEST NEGATIVE ANOMALIES ARE LIKELY TO BE JUST NORTH OF THE POLAR FRONT ONCE IT SETTLES INTO THE DEEP SOUTH--IN THE CLOUDY, RAINY ZONE WHERE THE PRECIPITATIONWILL SEND THE DRY-BULB READINGS TOWARD THE WET-BULB VALUES. SUCH A SYNOPTIC SET-UP IS THE VERY RECIPE FOR RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES DURING WHAT IT CLIMATOLOGICALLY THE HOTTEST TIME OF THE YEAR." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 I wish it was oriented a bit more to the east. I'd love to feel the full effects of the cool Canadian air. I went to Lake Placid in early August 2004. We had a similar cool air intrusion. The lows were in the upper 30s in the area and the high one of the days only reached the mid 50s. With the smell of burning wood and the Christmas store in town full of people it felt more like late November than early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 WOW SPC has us in a risk on day 6 - I dont think I have ever seen that here in the East. "DAY 6 /TUESDAY/ A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO THE NERN STATES AS A STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM ROTATES THROUGH BASE OF UPPER TROUGH ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND PROFILES AND INTERACTS WITH THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER LIKELY TO BE IN PLACE." Recent summers these have favored either the mid atlantic or NE/NNY, while we get scattered convection. Im holding off any excitement for this (away from the coast) until sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 I wish it was oriented a bit more to the east. I'd love to feel the full effects of the cool Canadian air. I went to Lake Placid in early August 2004. We had a similar cool air intrusion. The lows were in the upper 30s in the area and the high one of the days only reached the mid 50s. With the smell of burning wood and the Christmas store in town full of people it felt more like late November than early August. Yeah we'll probably get one or two days around 80 for our cool shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Recent summers these have favored either the mid atlantic or NE/NNY, while we get scattered convection. Im holding off any excitement for this (away from the coast) until sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 There's no doubting that when we were under that moderate hatched risk 2013 for that derecho and it fell apart soon as it entered NJ. Seems our best days were on scattered severe days not organized events. These long range SPC risks are like kisses of death especially around this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 a risk is not a guarantee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 WPC mentioning Polar Vortex Aren't they technically misusing the term? On more than one account? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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