NEG NAO Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 I don't think the same areas will get the severe weather later today and tonight and that the focus of the most severe conditions will be a little further south and east towards the coast especially tonight - some areas will probably see the 2 inch plus downpours in a short period ( less then 2 hours ) as I experienced in north central NJ yesterday as PWATS suggesting this are in place . Have to just wait and see how this all plays out later watching the radar http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 I was seeing a certain poster saying today would be a washout...im going to get a full day of cutting in I thought for sure I would be lucky to get a half day in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 I was seeing a certain poster saying today would be a washout...im going to get a full day of cutting in I thought for sure I would be lucky to get a half day in You should know better than to listen to that certain person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 It will never be a wash out this time of year, are people that stupid. This isn't fall or winter or even early spring, everything is usually convective and gets going later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 I was seeing a certain poster saying today would be a washout...im going to get a full day of cutting in I thought for sure I would be lucky to get a half day in Getting all mine done....beautiful summer day. That one poster has lost all merit with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 I don't think the same areas will get the severe weather later today and tonight and that the focus of the most severe conditions will be a little further south and east towards the coast especially tonight - some areas will probably see the 2 inch plus downpours in a short period ( less then 2 hours ) as I experienced in north central NJ yesterday as PWATS suggesting this are in place . Have to just wait and see how this all plays out later watching the radar http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 We will see about the severe storms along the coast tonight my friend..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 We will see about the severe storms along the coast tonight my friend..... If you miss all of these over the next day or 2 , then you better pack it in . The area is in a "good " spot for T storms . There were some good shows last nite for many . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 The last time I remember an all-day washout in July was I think 2004 in the very cool summer in which we had a nor'easter come up the coast, temps stayed in the mid 60s during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 SPC upgraded the western portion of the CWA to a 30% probability for wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 We will see about the severe storms along the coast tonight my friend..... Severe? nobody had severe yesterday anyway. I don't think we saw any wind/hail reports, yet they were some of the best storms in years. I'd expect similar to yesterday, heavy rain, lots of lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1262NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1230 PM CDT THU JUL 03 2014AREAS AFFECTED...PA...NJ...NY...CT...MA...VT...NHCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELYVALID 031730Z - 032000ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENTSUMMARY...THE PROSPECTS FOR SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMSWITH DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH LATEAFTERNOON FROM THE DELAWARE AND HUDSON VALLEYS NORTH AND EAST ACROSSTHE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BELIKELY FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Very muggy today... dp of 75 with a temp here of 84 on a se wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 CAPE is quite high especially away from the immediate coast, almost as high as yesterday. The shear is also on the increase but it does look like any severe will be further west today. I am seeing some storms pop up nearby already so later on will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 89F/75 here now. Sauna. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Push push push...you can do it...gimme my heatwave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Tornado warning for waren county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 89F/75 here now. Sauna. Currently 90. Official heat wave here. 3rd consecutive day of 90+. 5th day on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Tornado warning for waren county Rotation appears to have weakened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 If you miss all of these over the next day or 2 , then you better pack it in . The area is in a "good " spot for T storms . There were some good shows last nite for many . I didnt miss them per say yesterday, just when they got to me the lightning, thunder and rainfall was sub par or atleast ALOT less dramatic then what others said they experienced. Like i said even today im more than skeptical even if SPC upgraded me to high risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Severe thunderstorm watch for everyone except Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 NJC041-031831-/O.CAN.KPHI.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140703T1830Z/WARREN NJ-221 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL WARREN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...NJC041-031831-/O.CAN.KPHI.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140703T1830Z/WARREN NJ-221 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL WARREN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDTTHURSDAY EVENING FOR DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND NEWJERSEY AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.LAT...LON 4085 7482 4081 7508 4085 7506 4086 75054090 7506 4092 7504 4098 7491TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 245DEG 21KT 4089 7496 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Severe thunderstorm watch for everyone except Suffolk. NWS has gotten smarter not to include suffolk in any watches, much lower chance of verifying over nassau on west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Currently 90. Official heat wave here. 3rd consecutive day of 90+. 5th day on the season. I don't want to downplay the current heat but 90 degrees just doesn't sound impressive for July. It's not even that hot. What's making it horrible are the sky high dew points and weaker winds. I really don't think they should use 90 as the bottom end of heatwave criteria. But it's been this way for so long so obviously this won't change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Currently 90. Official heat wave here. 3rd consecutive day of 90+. 5th day on the season. Made it to 84 here but seabreeze last couple of hours halted the rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Just hit 90 IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 the line of storms in central PA which is about to enter eastern PA looks vicious.... lets hope it holds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 90 in New Brunswick, making this an official heat wave here as well. I agree with others though who have said 90 is too low of a benchmark to define a heat wave. Our average high this time of year is 85 so we're only 5 degrees above normal. That's nothing significant at all. 95 would be a better cutoff. Really impressive SBCAPE now across the area...3000+ J/kg throughout with 4000+ in south Jersey. And 0-6 km bulk shear of 40-50 kt back in central and western PA. Fun night is ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 90 threshold is needed for Central Park or they wouldn't record many heat waves in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 the line of storms in central PA which is about to enter eastern PA looks vicious.... lets hope it holds! It likely will, CAPE and shear are more than sufficient all the way to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Please why should they change it...very hard to get 3 days over 95... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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