Stebo Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Trying not to be homer but I'd lean LAF. We blew the doors off our previous high snowfall season (like 60"). Detroit didn't beat its old record by nearly the same amount IIRC? I believe it was around 2" that we beat our record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Trying not to be homer but I'd lean LAF. We blew the doors off our previous high snowfall season (like 60"). Detroit didn't beat its old record by nearly the same amount IIRC?no Detroit only beat the record by 1.3" and it wasnt done until April 15th. However they beat the old 2nd place by 16.9" and moved into 2nd place way back on Feb. 20th.Back to the present....managed just 0.12" of rain here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Rain avoided this area yesterday and also today so far. Good news as we definitely don't need any rain here for quite awhile. Dews are down almost 10 degrees compared to yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 not holding my breath for a redux of 2013-14 lol. But the resiliency is amazing. Im not so sure the el nino is dead, but it is kinda funny how almost everyone was hyping a super nino (many said it could put 1982-83 and 1997-98 to shame) and now its looking weaker. It might not be dead, but the priest is on the way to give last rites. It might still end up being a weak el Nino, which isn't always bad for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Weak Nino? Could be a good winter. 2013-'14 redux? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Glad I have a hot tub this summer, the second half of July looks frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Glad I have a hot tub this summer, the second half of July looks frigid. Just like every long range cool down or warm up, it will come in moderated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Haven't been keeping up on the wx...el nino dead? Wow...that could be ugly for this coming winter. A redux? ahhhh! cut firewood now! I'm not sure i could mentally handle another 45+ days that drop below 0F, although last winter was amazingly sunny (which always make it more manageable. Nice day here...been dry all day. All the rain storms been staying just north of the area and skimming east...some crazy clouds to the north and east this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Just like every long range cool down or warm up, it will come in moderated. Frigid is all relative anyway, frigid for July is 70s, which I'm sure for Jonger (as well as myself) makes it far from frigid and quite pleasant in reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 I dont know whats more impressive...75" at LAF or 95" at DTW. Weak el ninos tend to favor colder, snowier winters here anyway, so thats not a bad thing. It was the hyping of a record strong nino and the fact that karma owes us that I was already preparing for a super crappy 2014-15 . Toledo at 87" was the most impressive of the season considering the average was 37" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 woke up to thunder again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Love morning thunderstorms. This morning's was pretty run of the mill, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 izzi hints at one of my favorite patterns towards the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Tacked on 0.40" this morning. Now up to 23.09" year to date! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Frigid is all relative anyway, frigid for July is 70s, which I'm sure for Jonger (as well as myself) makes it far from frigid and quite pleasant in reality. I'll take 70's over 80's any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Ring of fire? Jeez man, been mowing twice a week since late May. Was thinking maybe I might get the usual mid summer respite while we bake for a while. my early guess is that the train axis sets up west of our area but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Last year I was running around 73% above normal on yearly precip, this year only 25% above normal. Two really wet years in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 my early guess is that the train axis sets up west of our area but who knows Looks fairly brief before the deep trough/ULL sets up over the Lakes region early next week. 00z Euro showed 850s of +3 over northeast IL with dews in the 40s next Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Brett Anderson says there is persistent troughing for the GLOV in the long range Euro through the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 So it looks like a recurving pacific typhoon will lead to an amplified pattern. Sounds like last Nov/Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 Need some ice-water in the GOA stat... A pattern this amplified is definitely notable in July. 12Z Euro ensemble keeps the cool air in the subforum through the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 0.60" of rain earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 8, 2014 Share Posted July 8, 2014 A pattern this amplified is definitely notable in July. 610temp.new.gif 12Z Euro ensemble keeps the cool air in the subforum through the end of the run. nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Just noticed a bunch of smoke over the Dakotas. I guess it's from Canadian wildfires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 A pattern this amplified is definitely notable in July. 610temp.new.gif 12Z Euro ensemble keeps the cool air in the subforum through the end of the run. crazy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 A pattern this amplified is definitely notable in July. 610temp.new.gif 12Z Euro ensemble keeps the cool air in the subforum through the end of the run. That will be refreshing! Hit 80° for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 crazy!! Not too crazy - any sort of notable trough amplification this time of year that the models agree on will lead to high confidence on negative departures given the warmest climo of the year in most of the midwest is in the mid-July period (some areas adjacent to lakes are a little bit later). Question will be how transient it will be or if the general pattern will stick around for the rest of the month. The most unusual part of this is likely that GL temps (Michigan and Superior) are way below normal and this trough will continue to suppress those temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 A pattern this amplified is definitely notable in July. 12Z Euro ensemble keeps the cool air in the subforum through the end of the run. That is the worst image of that product I've seen. Unbelievably horrid. Got a lot of rain yesterday with a good surprise storm that was brief, mixed in. The earwigs are everywhere right now. Today the forecast around many parts of mid-western Ontario is a high of 17ºC and cloudy/overcast which is similar to 6 days ago...very disgusting. Without any good thunderstorms this upcoming period is setting up to be among the worst of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW Storm Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 The TV weather people on some South Bend channels are really sensationalising these temperature departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 should see a decent MCS or two in the region this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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