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June 28-July 1 Severe Threat


Thundersnow12

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New t-storm watch is a PDS.

 

 

 

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 375
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND EASTERN ILLINOIS
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
EASTERN WISCONSIN
LAKE MICHIGAN

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND SCATTERED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MILWAUKEE WISCONSIN TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF VALPARAISO
INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 373...WW 374...

DISCUSSION...FAR ERN IA DERECHO-PRODUCING MCS EXPECTED TO MOVE
MAINLY E THROUGH EARLY TNGT. THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WILL ENCOUNTER
SLIGHTLY LESS UNSTABLE LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT OVER NE IL/SE WI RELATIVE
TO THAT OVER ERN IA/WRN IL. BUT GIVEN EXISTING STRENGTH OF
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM...AND LIKELIHOOD FOR SOME INCREASE IN THE MEAN
FLOW OVER NRN IL AS NW MO UPR IMPULSE APPROACHES...EXPECTED AN
ORGANIZED BAND OF SVR STORMS TO CONTINUE E AT LEAST AS FAR AS LK MI.
BACKING OF DEEP FLOW AHEAD OF MO IMPULSE...AND CONTINUED NWD SPREAD
OF LOW-LVL MOISTURE...FURTHER SUGGEST THAT THE SQLN COULD BUILD A
BIT FARTHER N INTO WI WITH TIME.
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