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NNE Summer Thread

mreaves

By mreaves,
in New England

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J.Spin

J.Spin

Posted
Posted

Love these summaries, J.Spin...do you have them up on your site under one primary link yet?

 

I’m glad you’re enjoying the summaries – I’m posting them here by the month as I pick them off in my spare time, so what you see is the extent of what I’ve got so far (I also have a couple of the bigger March storms done because I referenced them in a post last week).  I won’t have the full page made until I get through the rest of the individual summaries, but if there are any events that you’re specifically looking for, I’ll be happy to get them together.  The good news is that December was the biggest month with those 16 storms, so in one sense it’s downhill from there.  January shouldn’t take too long, although unfortunately that’s because it was so meager with respect to snowfall – January 2014 is far and away the least snowy of any midwinter (DJF) month in my records.

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tamarack

tamarack

Posted
Posted

July 2014 is history...

(And thanks to dendrite for the format.)

Averages/Totals

Max 75.42°F (-1.08°F)

Min 55.23°F (+0.90°F)

Mean 65.32°F (-0.10°F)

Precip 7.91" Wettest July of 17, beating 7.29" in 2009, and not quite twice the avg.

Extremes

High Max 88°F (2nd)

Low Min 45°F (11th)

Low Max 62°F (30th)

High Min 64°F (3rd,16th)

Max Rain 1.45" (28th) Also 1.44" on the 5th.

Days with thunder: 8, most for July - 2001 and 2008 each had 7.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

61F and calm at home at 750ft, while it's 73F at BTV at 330ft with 10-15mph south wind. The mountain valley air conditioner (or Champlain Valley blow dryer) at work tonight. It's near 70F even at the 1200ft+ elevations around here, so low level inversion is pretty stout tonight.

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J.Spin

J.Spin

Posted
Posted

71F high  52F low, awfully cool .  We are just passing our yearly average maximum temps.  Downhill now. Sunsets are now 15-20 minutes earlier than June 21.

 

We’ve got an old butternut tree out back that responds very early to the seasonal change, and serves as the first obvious natural sign of the approaching autumn for us.  It begins to lose its leaves at some point in early August each year (presumably due to age/stress and response to shortening daylight).  Anyway, today marked that point.  I’d been looking, knowing that it was about that time, and while I didn’t see anything down yesterday, today there are several dozen yellow leaves down, and I’ll occasionally see one drift its way to the ground or onto the branches of one of the evergreens below.  Fortunately, it’s a pretty gradual process, so it provides a nice taste of early autumn through the month of August as one can hang out on the back patio and take in some falling leaves.

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tamarack

tamarack

Posted
Posted

Massive morning rains in Coos Cty into northern Oxford/Franklin.  Doppler estimates up to 5" in the upper Richardson Lake region near Rangeley.  I fear for the long hill on the road down to Upper Dam.

 

Another foggy 50s start to the day, now PC and 70s with dews low 60s.  Looks like more of same thru midweek.

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J.Spin

J.Spin

Posted
Posted

The storm summaries for January are now complete, and with respect to the eight seasons worth of snowfall data available for our location, three words describe January 2014:  Worst… January… Ever.  While December snowfall had been rather lean at -1.0 S.D., January snowfall was really meager and came in at -1.7 S.D.  Only 15.8” of snow fell all month, which was less than what fell in November, and also less than any individual December, January, or February in our records.  We hadn’t even recorded a midwinter month below 20” before this past January.  Not surprisingly, with such poor months back-to-back, it was also the worst December/January couplet in our records by far.  The 42.0” of snow that fell during the period was roughly half the normal amount.  It’s not too surprising based on the total amount of snowfall, but another black mark on the month was the lack of not just large, but even moderate snowstorms.  In a season bereft of big storms, the month of January took the cake, with its largest storm topping out at just 3.9” on the 25th of the month.  January 2014 was again the lowest of all midwinter months across our entire data set with respect to the size of its largest storm, and even extending the analysis out to March, only one March (March 2010) failed to best it in that category.  Long story short, this past January was one rough month for snowfall.  Some month has to occupy the bottom of the pile of midwinter months with respect to that category, and this past January was definitely it; the same thing can be said for the December/January couplet.  Details on the nine accumulating storms from January can be found via the links below:

 

  1. (3.0”) 1/2/2014-1/3/2014
  2. (0.3”) 1/5/2014-1/7/2014
  3. (0.2”) 1/10/2014
  4. (0.1”) 1/11/2014-1/12/2014
  5. (1.9”) 1/15/2014-1/16/2014
  6. (1.8”) 1/19/2014
  7. (2.9”) 1/19/2014-1/20/2014
  8. (3.9”) 1/25/2014-1/26/2014
  9. (0.5”) 1/27/2014
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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

58.4F this AM. Another comfy sleeping night.

Only 60F last night here...increasing humidity and some showers prior to midnight seemed to put just enough moisture down to cause an early fog out and stop the temp drop. Hit 60F at 1:30am and then held there through 6am.

Window fans FTW though as even 60F feels plenty cool getting circulated through the house.

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J.Spin

J.Spin

Posted
Posted

This past January was an utter abortion of a snow month. I hope to never see that again.

 

I... I kinda hope we do.

 

These statements represent rather opposing views on the subject, but based on the climate in the region of question, the former is more likely to be obtained in the short term, with more significant time required to realize the latter.

 

At -1.7 S.D., the statistics would argue that the chance of having a January with snowfall that low in this area is 4.5%, so less than 1 in 20, and assuming each year’s weather patterns are independent, the odds of it happening two years in a row are about 1 in 500.  The probability of it happening over a certain number of years can be calculated fairly simply with a predicted time of residence in the area.  For example, the odds of having a January like that at some point in the next decade are 36.9%.  To get to the 50/50 chance of having it happen, one would need to be in the area for 15 years.  So as long as one is willing to put in sufficient time, they can attain a reasonable chance of seeing another January with snowfall at or below this past January’s level.

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tamarack

tamarack

Posted
Posted

My snowfall for 16 Januarys is below.  Prior to 2013, January had been the most consistent of the four big snowfall months, with 9 of 14 years all falling within a 5" span, and the only real outliers being the frigid and dry 2004, and 2007 when a warm autumn lasted until about Jan 14.  The only thing keeping 2014 from standing alone for awfulness in snow is that 2013 was nearly as bad.  Of course, 2014 was more than 4F colder than 2013 and had nearly 3X the precip, so it had to work extra hard to break the futility record.

 

1999....23.1"

2000....22.9"

2001....14.3"

2002....22.6"

2003....17.5"

2004.....7.7"

2005....17.5"

2006....24.6"

2007....11.3"

2008....27.5"

2009....26.5"

2010....24.8"

2011....24.6"

2012....23.4"

2013.....5.7"

2014.....5.1"

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J.Spin

J.Spin

Posted
Posted

My snowfall for 16 Januarys is below.  Prior to 2013, January had been the most consistent of the four big snowfall months, with 9 of 14 years all falling within a 5" span, and the only real outliers being the frigid and dry 2004, and 2007 when a warm autumn lasted until about Jan 14.  The only thing keeping 2014 from standing alone for awfulness in snow is that 2013 was nearly as bad.  Of course, 2014 was more than 4F colder than 2013 and had nearly 3X the precip, so it had to work extra hard to break the futility record.

 

1999....23.1"

2000....22.9"

2001....14.3"

2002....22.6"

2003....17.5"

2004.....7.7"

2005....17.5"

2006....24.6"

2007....11.3"

2008....27.5"

2009....26.5"

2010....24.8"

2011....24.6"

2012....23.4"

2013.....5.7"

2014.....5.1"

 

Your data really speak to how poor January was for snowfall, even over in Maine – your data set goes back to 1999, and 2014 is still the lowest in there.

 

Heading westward, BTV’s data emphasize it yet again – January 2014 was the lowest in terms of snowfall since 1995:

 

1995     8.7”

1996     19.0”

1997     22.0”

1998     25.1”

1999     30.4”

2000     21.9”

2001     15.7”

2002     16.6”

2003     31.3”

2004     14.9

2005     19.1”

2006     20.0”

2007     19.5”

2008     15.8”

2009     27.8”

2010     48.4”

2011     26.9”

2012     13.4”

2013     14.6”

2014     12.5”

 

In a relative since for this area, BTV actually did reasonably well compared to the mountains because they were only 3.3” less than what was recorded here at our house along the spine of the Greens.  Typically this area picks up anywhere from 150-200% of what BTV does, but presumably without much upslope snow, the snowfall differential was much smaller.

 

Wow, I’d forgotten how good January 2010 was in BTV, they had almost 10” more than we even had out here in the mountains.

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tamarack

tamarack

Posted
Posted

Your data really speak to how poor January was for snowfall, even over in Maine – your data set goes back to 1999, and 2014 is still the lowest in there.

 

 

My records for Maine begin when we moved into the state (BGR) on Jan. 23, 1973, and only one January in that period brought less snow - 1992, with 3.6" in Gardiner, 9 miles south of Augusta.  Farmington measured 4.0" that month, lowest Jan snowfall in their 121-year dataset.  They had 4.3" in Jan 2014, now 2nd lowest on record.  Jan 2013's 5.8" is #4, with the 5.5" in Jan 1908 taking the bronze.  Thus the two most recent Januarys there rank 118th and 120th of 121.  Similar (though obviously less awful) in consecutive futility to the winters of 79-80 and 80-81 which rank 120th and 121st.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Looks like a giant's foot stepping on the ridge line there.  Great shot.

 

Thanks it was a fun little storm.  Every thunderstorm is fun up on top of the mountain.  The station at MMNV1 recorded a 48mph gust at 3,900ft, and we had 52mph at 3,625ft...not severe by any means, but with that you get a nice sideways rain and hail for a period. 

 

Pea sized hail and what really looked like a sleet or some very, very small ice fell for a minute or two during the height of it.  Nothing really out of the ordinary for t-storms up there...seeing as the wet bulb freezing levels where 8-9kft, and we were near 4kft, I'm not even sure that hail would've reached the ground at 750ft down in town, lol.  Might have melted by then.

 

Radar had a nice little pulse-up though as it hit the mountain with some very local higher reflectivities:

 

 

14188_702221019849802_429424057485370822

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