BlizzardWarning Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 NWS MIAMI: WPC EXCESSIVE RNFL OUTLOOK FOR TODAY MENTIONS SOUTH FLORIDA...WHICH IS AN UNUSUAL OCCURRENCE AND HIGHLIGHTS THE ENHANCED FLOOD RISK THIS AFTERNOON. STEERING WINDS BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY WITH JUST A SLIGHT DECREASE IN MOISTURE SE FLORIDA. THIS WIND FLOW REGIME WILL FOCUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND TOWARDS THE GULF COAST. FRIDAY MAY BE A SLIGHT RESPITE FROM STORMINESS FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS BEFORE MORE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS RETURN THIS WEEKEND. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND WITH AXIS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA SAT NIGHT-EARLY SUN. THIS LOOKS TO SET THE STAGE FOR A STORMY WEEKEND...WITH LIKELY MORE ACTIVITY THAN NORMAL AT NIGHT ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WHERE DECENT CONVERGENCE COULD OCCUR. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IF A TRAINING CELL PATTERN WERE TO DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND ATLANTIC COAST...AS THOSE PATTERN SCAN LEAD TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS. SOMETHING TO MONITOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 8, 2014 Author Share Posted August 8, 2014 On the heels of 10.08 in June here was MBY's July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Rains have been close but mostly to the north, south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Hey guys.Thought I would pop in to see what's happening.After a very wet June and July August has been a bust, so far.After yesterdays flood ravaging .01 I'm at 1.77 for the month. The pattern really shifted up here. All the action seems to near the coasts.I think the downward trend of rainfall has begun in my area, unless we get some tropical activity. The latter part of August the precip begins to wane and by mid September it really drops off.Still some time left to add to the years total of 40.96. For comparison sake last years total was 41.26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 16, 2014 Author Share Posted August 16, 2014 ocala in the house! FL may be saved after all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 16, 2014 Author Share Posted August 16, 2014 Hey guys. Thought I would pop in to see what's happening. After a very wet June and July August has been a bust, so far. After yesterdays flood ravaging .01 I'm at 1.77 for the month. The pattern really shifted up here. All the action seems to near the coasts. I think the downward trend of rainfall has begun in my area, unless we get some tropical activity. The latter part of August the precip begins to wane and by mid September it really drops off. Still some time left to add to the years total of 40.96. For comparison sake last years total was 41.26. IMBY 10.08 - June 10.59 - July 3.17 - So far in August January was over 9.00 as well which was crazy. I will have to go get my yearly numbers to see where I shake out. Awesome that you will pass all of 2013 soon O. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Same pattern again today. With a westerly flow they come in off the gulf and grow bigger as they move inland. East coast going to get pounded again.What happened to the toad? Or, are you leaving that chapter behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 16, 2014 Author Share Posted August 16, 2014 Same pattern again today. With a westerly flow they come in off the gulf and grow bigger as they move inland. East coast going to get pounded again. What happened to the toad? Or, are you leaving that chapter behind. toad got strangled and is gone forever. Yes, same day four times in a row now. Convection popping up on the Gulf side early and marching all the way and off the Atlantic side and in fast action too. I'm heading to a concert tonight in WPB (thankfully under the roof) although big rains will be well gone by showtime! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Might have to watch that tropical wave at 40W as the models have been interesting especially for south Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 20, 2014 Author Share Posted August 20, 2014 Might have to watch that tropical wave at 40W as the models have been interesting especially for south Florida Yes, but fantasy for now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 GFS brings it to the Cab as a TS.Damn I wish something would happen out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 GFS now riding it up to Pt st Lucie.Pretty dam hot out to day. It was 97 today with the forcast to be 97 to 100 the next couple days. But of course it's a dry heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 21, 2014 Author Share Posted August 21, 2014 GFS now riding it up to Pt st Lucie. Pretty dam hot out to day. It was 97 today with the forcast to be 97 to 100 the next couple days. But of course it's a dry heat. Ha! Don't goad ME bro! Hot for so long but by me it is a soupy mess. Of course. Endless gaudy dew points. Def. the wettest first half of rainy season since I have been here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 If 96L becomes a stronger system which seems to be the case then everyone in Florida most definitely need to keep an eye on this since now there seems to be a model consensus of landfall in Florida and this is one of those cases where a stronger system would get left behind as the ridge builds back in so it could be some interesting days to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 99.2 today. That's the hottest I ever recorded in 11 years a record keeping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 22, 2014 Author Share Posted August 22, 2014 99.2 today. That's the hottest I ever recorded in 11 years a record keeping. woah, I've never seen that kind of raw number on the TC. Of course the high DP takes care of it feeling tlike that and worse! Was it dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 woah, I've never seen that kind of raw number on the TC. Of course the high DP takes care of it feeling tlike that and worse! Was it dry? You know it was a tad bit drier. Still though at work I drank 5 jugs of water and still only pissed once. Also beat Thursday's 99.2 with a 99.4 on Friday. The storms that did pop yesterday were pretty nasty ijn regards to wind and rain. Still nothing at the house as I'm going on 3 weeks without cutting the grass. No rain no growth. Some of the models, not all, shifted a bit west with a TS making landfall on the SE coast of Florida. Of course several still have it fishing. Either way doesn't look like it will amount to much but maybe I could get some much needed rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 23, 2014 Author Share Posted August 23, 2014 Dave, I am drying out here as well after nearly every day rain for two months. Grass has a hint of dry brown now for the first time since spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 26, 2014 Share Posted August 26, 2014 101 on Sunday afternoon. Just amazing. Finally got some rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 27, 2014 Share Posted August 27, 2014 It was beautiful today with slightly lower humidity and slightly lower temps, will take that any time in August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 27, 2014 Author Share Posted August 27, 2014 First break in humidity in a long time. Last night got down to 74 and amazing how cool that felt. Was waking up to low and mid 80's for some time beforehand. Stiff breeze for two days has dried out everything. At 3.5" or so for August after 10 plus in June and July. Dry season kickoff is likely less than 30 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted August 30, 2014 Author Share Posted August 30, 2014 .72 today and the scape sucked it all up like nothing happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 30, 2014 Share Posted August 30, 2014 Some huge rain producers roaming around the area yesterday. As usual they didn't meander over my way but did get .26. At 3.04 for the month with one day to go. Hopefully one of those rare 5 inch toads stops by today. With the peak of tropical season approaching lets hope we get something going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted September 1, 2014 Author Share Posted September 1, 2014 August IMBY - Far cry from June + July but to be expected. June - 10.08 July - 10.59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 100% chance of rain today. Guess that means I get about .18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted September 6, 2014 Author Share Posted September 6, 2014 100% chance of rain today. Guess that means I get about .18. Big storms here already. .40 yesterday but look to blow past that today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted September 6, 2014 Author Share Posted September 6, 2014 Intense CTG, most impressive in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 Big storms here already. .40 yesterday but look to blow past that today. Good for you. My 100% has now been changed to 40%. Why even bother looking at the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted September 6, 2014 Share Posted September 6, 2014 I wouldn't be so hard on forecasters if they would just say, "We don't know what the **** is gonna happen". Reading todays AFD reminds me of listening to politicians during election time. A whole lot of hot air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted September 7, 2014 Author Share Posted September 7, 2014 Good for you. My 100% has now been changed to 40%. Why even bother looking at the forecast. .66 yesterday. Thought I had a shot at 1.00 plus but rest of day underperformed. Another good shot today and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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