FINAL 2014 SEA ICE MIN PREDICTION THREAD

[frosty]

Jaxa min of 5.2million km2 is well within the realms of reality at this stage I think.

Not long till we find out now.

[Jonger]

Looks like almost everyone busted low.

[ORH_wxman]

Looks like almost everyone busted low.

 

 

Epic failure for just about everyone.

 

Wow looks to have the best prediction right now...even being issued on 7/14 it's a very good call.

 

Going with 5.0/3.6

[tacoman25]

Two years in a row for 90%+ of the voters going too low.

 

Despite some arguments otherwise, I'd say that proves the ice has clearly exceeded the expectations of this forum the past couple years.

[frosty]

I very much doubt that we will see more than 75,000km2 loss in extent if that

before the minimum is reached.

[Jonger]

Congrats to illinois, CAD_Wedge_NC, LakeEffectKing, SVT450R, evaporativecooler, MariettaWx

 

The book has been written on this season. ~4.99 km2 will be the final Extent Min.

[ORH_wxman]

Congrats to illinois, CAD_Wedge_NC, LakeEffectKing, SVT450R, evaporativecooler, MariettaWx

 

The book has been written on this season. ~4.99 km2 will be the final Extent Min.

 

How do you know? We could drop further over the next couple days.

[Jonger]

How do you know? We could drop further over the next couple days.

 

That's why I added the tilde. We won't move outside the range that those posters marked in the pre-season poll.

[LithiaWx]

That's why I added the tilde. We won't move outside the range that those posters marked in the pre-season poll.

My vote came late, sometime in July.

[Jonger]

My vote came late, sometime in July.

 

There is still 130k worth of wiggle room left... Yesterdays loss surprised me a bit, but its probably a result of ice in the ESS being pushed inward. The total ice isn't dropping, just the placement of it in extent.

[Mallow]

We're talking about JAXA extent v.2, right?

~4.4 for JAXA, ~3.45 for CT.

 

Definitely didn't get as low as I was expecting.

[StudentOfClimatology]

I'm sorry to hear that, man. That's rough.

Debating climate change can be a good way to keep your mind off things like that, haha.

[FPizz]

Best of luck.  That all totally stinks.  Sometime writing about it helps a bit. Always like your posts.

[AvantHiatus]

Serious post there, thanks for sharing. It's not a illness you just gotta work on priority management and having kids is a serious ordeal. I realize that I have more freedom if my plate is less full.

 

Remove yourself from stressful/toxic people.

[PhillipS]

LEK - sorry to hear about the rotten hand you've been dealt.  I hope that you get through this rough period as well as you can and that things begin improving for you.

[chrisf97212]

Thanks all....my wife is trapped....she "admits" to "helping" a male friend from HS and "may have" been something that she should have told me about....but I'm sure it's MUCH more than that....last night she told me he is a coke head and has "girl problems".....nice person to steal emotions from a marriage.  Actually had a "decent" talk last night with her...but I know it is pretty much just to feed a few crumbs to me.....Back home with kids and a "roommate"....Feel a bit better, but know this way of life can't last forever.

 

OT - The first few months after a split are hell.  Remember things will get better, slowly.

[Jonger]

Wow.....I need to have more undiagnosed illnesses and having my wife cheating on me more often.....Very rough time of my life right now....may not post much for quite sometime....my wife is gaslighting my kids as she is leading an online affair....she's "done" with me.  F'n 20 years of being with her, and I discover she's a sociopath/narccisist.....OUCH!  Gonna lose my home, dreams and much time with my kids.....been one unreal last 30 days....and for that matter, the worst year of my life (health wise).

 

Wow, sucks to hear that man. The internet has been a boon to the unfaithful, I went through a similar ordeal about 11 years ago.

[CAD_Wedge_NC]

Congrats to illinois, CAD_Wedge_NC, LakeEffectKing, SVT450R, evaporativecooler, MariettaWx

 

The book has been written on this season. ~4.99 km2 will be the final Extent Min.

 

Part skill.....part luck. I was betting against another 2012 pattern and it paid off.