metalicwx366 Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Ooooo! Quick math fail! Haha! On another note, it looks like a decent pattern setting in Sundayish on, which would provide more opportunities for daily t-storms. Also, looks not as hot. If the GFS is showing it, then it will be dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Local NWS forecast has a chance of precip for the next 8 days. GFS, both the 00z and 06z have a chance of precip each day for the next 16 days! NAM shows over 1.5" in their 84 hour model. MeteoStar 'says' over 4.5" in that 16 day timespan. WPC map broadbrushes a lot of this area (Central NC) with 2.5"-3" in the next 7 days ~ CoolWx and Meteogram Generator show roughly the same. Let's see how it all plays out. Hopefully we'll get some rain, with enough breaks to mow the weeds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Didnt they only use womens names back when you witnessed this? Men's names were routinely used. TS Eliot was extremely well known. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 If the GFS is showing it, then it will be dry. It's going to be awfuly dry then, cause the 12Z GFS is knocking it out of the park with rain chances over the next 15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 It's going to be awfuly dry then, cause the 12Z GFS is knocking it out of the park with rain chances over the next 15 days.It's actually had that look all summer. Most of us have just been unlucky with these pop up storms. I'm not expecting any rain this month lol. It's hasn't rained yet. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/gfs_namer_192_precip_ptot.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 This year is also the 126th anniversary of TS Eliot. Men's names were routinely used. TS Eliot was extremely well known. “If you aren't in over your head, how do you know how tall you are?” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted July 9, 2014 Share Posted July 9, 2014 Men's names were routinely used. TS Eliot was extremely well known.I think I heard of him! No Tom Clancy, but who is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 They got deep on Weathernation this morning! The synopsis was, the super typhoon in the pacific, will eventually cause the mega-trough over the East next week ! Should bring temps and conditions around our area similar to July 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Robert alluded to that in a Facebook post this morning --- talking 50's in N Georgia, and too much Westerly flow to get much rain in SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 10, 2014 Author Share Posted July 10, 2014 Last year we couldn't turn off the faucet, this year we got Mega-trough's delivering a September type airmass for the second time in less than 2 weeks. If we don't get at least one tropical system inland, I'm asking for a refund! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Congrats Eastern North Carolina. They have always been in the jack ******* pot this year along with Jacksonville, Charlotte, Coastal GA, and Augusta, GA. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif They also got Arthur! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Robert alluded to that in a Facebook post this morning --- talking 50's in N Georgia, and too much Westerly flow to get much rain in SC. I wonder. Nah. Not even CNN will use, POLAR VORTEX in July. Would they? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 I wonder. Nah. Not even CNN will use, POLAR VORTEX in July. Would they? lolI think GSP used it this morning in their discussion! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 http://m.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/07/10/poor-mans-polar-vortex-to-make-shocking-summer-return-in-eastern-u-s-next-week/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Congrats to the Great Lakes and northeast on the upcoming cooler pattern. Looks like much of the south will remain near or above normal per the map from NOAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Canadian is the farthest south at this point with the trough next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 12z Euro and Canadian push the cold front into central Florida. GFS pushes it into southern Georgia before it hangs up (middle of next week) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 I wonder. Nah. Not even CNN will use, POLAR VORTEX in July. Would they? lol Looks like Accuweather beat them to the punch. LOL...... http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/polar-vortex-returns-midwest-storms/30180885 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 10, 2014 Share Posted July 10, 2014 Looks like Accuweather beat them to the punch. LOL...... http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/polar-vortex-returns-midwest-storms/30180885 So did, Capital Weather Gang. Just unbelievable. Poor man’s polar vortex to make shocking summer return in eastern U.S. next week BY JASON SAMENOW July 10 at 10:35 am http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/07/10/poor-mans-polar-vortex-to-make-shocking-summer-return-in-eastern-u-s-next-week/?utm_content=bufferf5c06&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 So did, Capital Weather Gang. Just unbelievable. Poor man’s polar vortex to make shocking summer return in eastern U.S. next weekBY JASON SAMENOW July 10 at 10:35 am http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/07/10/poor-mans-polar-vortex-to-make-shocking-summer-return-in-eastern-u-s-next-week/?utm_content=bufferf5c06&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer They also tweeted "Haunting similarities" between that and January....an hour after their original tweet of their article, assuming for more retweets and hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 To be fair, the upper air pattern depicted looks an awful lot like a winter pattern. But that being said, I wish people would just stop with the whole polar vortex thing. The term is only used to create drama. They just need to drop it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 To be fair, the upper air pattern depicted looks an awful lot like a winter pattern. But that being said, I wish people would just stop with the whole polar vortex thing. The term is only used to create drama. They just need to drop it. CR it is almost identical with the winter pattern. The EPO is going negative which is pumping up heights in the West as the PNA is going very positive and the AO and NAO are slightly negative which will help drive down the colder air mass. It is amazing we keep getting this pattern from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 To be fair, the upper air pattern depicted looks an awful lot like a winter pattern. But that being said, I wish people would just stop with the whole polar vortex thing. The term is only used to create drama. They just need to drop it. Christmas in July Hopefully the front will be as strong as the models are teasing me with, and will usher in some much needed rainfall with maybe some severe thrown in(Tues and Wed) for good measure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 Yahoo news is onto it, too! Polar vortex redux? Unseasonable summer lows coming to U.S. next weekhttp://news.yahoo.com/polar-vortex-summer-161653514.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 I have heard and seen the word Polar Vortex today more than any last winter. Hell even TWC said polar Vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 I don't recall hearing the words polar vortex ever being used in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 CR it is almost identical with the winter pattern. The EPO is going negative which is pumping up heights in the West as the PNA is going very positive and the AO and NAO are slightly negative which will help drive down the colder air mass. It is amazing we keep getting this pattern from time to time. Yes sir. Christmas in July Hopefully the front will be as strong as the models are teasing me with, and will usher in some much needed rainfall with maybe some severe thrown in(Tues and Wed) for good measure I hope so too. I would think we'd stand a pretty good chance for rain. But the jury is still out on how cool it will get. I feel like it won't be quite as "nice" as the models are indicating right now. We'll see. Either way, it won't be 98 with a dew point of 72, and that's good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 The NAO and AO are not going drastically negative, so cold air wont push that far south. Probably some average to slightly below average temperatures for the SE. Different story for the northern states... Hate to be in CA or AZ early next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 I just stuck an 18" twig into a 1/4" crack in my lawn and didnt hit bottom!! I am expecting magma to bubble to the surface by this weekend. So I dont care if the polar vortex is coming or not. As long as something changes this pattern now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 I just stuck an 18" twig into a 1/4" crack in my lawn and didnt hit bottom!! I am expecting magma to bubble to the surface by this weekend. So I dont care if the polar vortex is coming or not. As long as something changes this pattern now.Watch out! You may fall into that crack and come out in Waycross! The temps aren't that important, when it's mid July, I expect 80s! It's the low dewpoints ( 40s-50s) that will feel refreshing ! I don't think anyone was expecting full sun highs in the 60s!! Jeez, some people always got to be Debbie Downers! You should only have to hear about polarvortex in winter, and should only have to deal with certain posters in the winter! Suck me sideways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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