Cold Rain Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 So, you're saying WRAL is overhyping things? The answer is NO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 Hi res rapid scan looks pretty cool right now... (Give it a few runs to load completely) http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/templates/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=dev%2Flindsey%2Floops%2Fgoes14_vis3&image_width=1020&image_height=720&number_of_images_to_display=50&loop_speed_ms=80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 Warning here. Getting whacked. My Davis just reported a rain rate of 8.5" per hour. Thankfully it only stayed there for about 3 minutes before falling back to a still heavy 4". A lot of wind and lightning as well. Best storm of the year here. Whew. Took a lightning strike here. CLICK,BOOM. I have major lightning rods on my house with thick cables to ground. Power flashed and then came right back on. No damage but it confused my network and conflicts popped up everywhere. Rebooted everything and I think all is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 Warning here. Getting whacked. My Davis just reported a rain rate of 8.5" per hour. Thankfully it only stayed there for about 3 minutes before falling back to a still heavy 4". A lot of wind and lightning as well. Best storm of the year here.Dry and semi cool here at 84 degrees.And as far as getting whacked, I could think of alot of worse things!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 Hearing some rumbles of thunder now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 Whew. Took a lightning strike here. CLICK,BOOM. I have major lightning rods on my house with thick cables to ground. Power flashed and then came right back on. No damage but it confused my network and conflicts popped up everywhere. Rebooted everything and I think all is good. Man I hope nothing is damaged! I wonder why they don't put lightening rods on new homes now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 Man I hope nothing is damaged! I wonder why they don't put lightening rods on new homes now? These were on when I bought the house. Four thick rods sticking up along the roof ridge. The heavy cables down into the ground from each are over an inch thick. The guy I bought the house from had it built to his specs. He was into all sorts of things. I have propane lines running all over the damn place. He heated with it. I nixed that when the price went up. So I have a 500 gallon in ground tank for my grill, fireplace, water heater and stove. I could barbecue a blue whale and not run out of gas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 WWUS82 KRAH 182301 SPSRAH SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 701 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014 NCZ024-025-040-041-190015- WAKE-ORANGE-CHATHAM-DURHAM- 701 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014 ...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF WAKE...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE...NORTHEASTERN CHATHAM AND SOUTHERN DURHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT... AT 700 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR CARRBORO...OR NEAR CHAPEL HILL...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RALEIGH...DURHAM...CARY...CHAPEL HILL...WAKE FOREST...GARNER... CARRBORO...RDU INTERNATIONAL...APEX AND MORRISVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 You ought to be happy, Brick. Looks like you got unloaded on. Bout to start up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Sky is really lighting up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 You ought to be happy, Brick. Looks like you got unloaded on. Bout to start up here.How do you live east of Brick? I thought Wilkesboro was west? I got my fan and block of ice ready for the phenomenal heatwave about to start! #eyeroll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Lows in the 70s and highs in the mid 90s will feel pretty brutal. Some areas may not get below 75 at night. By this weekend, it will be late August, and that kind of weather is more typical in July or early August. We are about 13 days away from meteorological fall !Pssht, temps in the 100s here with lows around 78-80 here and humid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Here's a different summer. Check this out. So much for summer: Snow set to blast Scotland as forecasters warn of 'coldest August spell in a century' http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2727734/Wet-cold-bank-holiday-way-forecasters-warn-two-weeks-bad-weather-ahead.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 These were on when I bought the house. Four thick rods sticking up along the roof ridge. The heavy cables down into the ground from each are over an inch thick. The guy I bought the house from had it built to his specs. He was into all sorts of things. I have propane lines running all over the damn place. He heated with it. I nixed that when the price went up. So I have a 500 gallon in ground tank for my grill, fireplace, water heater and stove. I could barbecue a blue whale and not run out of gas. Mmmm...blue whale! The storms yesterday had a ton of lightening. What are the conditions that favor excessive/continuous lightening? It's not really ML/SBcape, because we've had many days with those parameters similar to yesterday and storms on those days did not produce that amount of lightening. I thought it was Cape in the -10 - -30C zone. I don't know what values were there yesterday, but I was under the impression that 500+J/Kg was a pretty healthy amount and would result in a lot of lightening with strong storms. However, I've seen days this year with that much Cape in that zone that also did not produce much lightening. So what's the magic number there? Or what parameter is the most important to lightening production? Anyway, looks like a lesser chance of storms today, with the highest chances in NC toward in the southern counties. Not as much shear should contribute to less overall severe weather. The RAP radar simulation does show some activity crossing central NC, but the HRRR doesn't really show much. We'll see how they change over the course of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Looks very spotty for this afternoon... US National Weather Service Raleigh NC 5 mins · What the radar may look like late this afternoon, with scattered showers and thunderstorms moving into central NC from the northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 80% chance of rain today. Barely a cloud in the sky. I think we all know how this will pan out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Anyway, looks like a lesser chance of storms today, with the highest chances in NC toward in the southern counties. Not as much shear should contribute to less overall severe weather. The RAP radar simulation does show some activity crossing central NC, but the HRRR doesn't really show much. We'll see how they change over the course of the day. And remember yesterday when they didn't show anything for central NC, and I wondered if WRAL was overhyping the storm threat? The storms are starting to become like forecasting snow here. You never know until it does or doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 And remember yesterday when they didn't show anything for central NC, and I wondered if WRAL was overhyping the storm threat? The storms are starting to become like forecasting snow here. You never know until it does or doesn't happen.indeed Nostradamus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 indeed Nostradamus. It's only Tuesday and I'm already tired of the heat. Only 34 days, 3 hrs, 3 minutes and 8 seconds before the start of fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Is there a "Cristobal" (currently Invest 96L) in our future?... 18z GFS - Next Wednesday (August 27th) Center located in the N/C GOM 12z GEM - Next Wednesday (August 27th) Center approaching S. FL Current Intensity Forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 It's only Tuesday and I'm already tired of the heat. Only 34 days, 3 hrs, 3 minutes and 8 seconds before the start of fall 12 days, 3 hours, 52 minutes until the start of meteorological fall. Once the calendar says September, it's fall to me. I mean, do you really think of spring when you think of June ? Technically June is mostly spring, but we all know it really isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 12 days, 3 hours, 52 minutes until the start of meteorological fall. Once the calendar says September, it's fall to me. I mean, do you really think of spring when you think of June ? Technically June is mostly spring, but we all know it really isn't. My original thought was it's 100 days until Thanksgiving, because to me that kicks off winter, but it was to far away Is there a "Cristobal" (currently Invest 96L) in our future?... 18z GFS - Next Wednesday (August 27th) Center located in the N/C GOM 12z GEM - Next Wednesday (August 27th) Center approaching S. FL Current Intensity Forecast It just might, possibly, maybe happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 Aleet: Tropical system may affect the SE/Gulf/Bermuda in 7-10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 GFS & Euro both have a low pressure moving onshore along the gulf states in the 9-10 day range. As of now, it looks like the system (whatever it becomes) could track over most of us so this is indeed something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 GFS & Euro both have a low pressure moving onshore along the gulf states in the 9-10 day range. As of now, it looks like the system (whatever it becomes) could track over most of us so this is indeed something to watch. We can only hope. It would be nice to get a widespread 5" of rain to end some of this drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 It's only Tuesday and I'm already tired of the heat. Only 34 days, 3 hrs, 3 minutes and 8 seconds before the start of fall Same here. I count down the days, hours and minutes to fall every year too. Although I have to say It's not been too bad this year but this coming week will be tough. What I like to do in the summer, especially during heat waves, is follow the weather in the arctic and in the southern hemisphere...or anywhere that is going to be cold. When it's 100 with a 150 degree heat index, it's nice to imagine being in one of those cold spots. Like scotland in the coming days where they are going to have a very cold few days coming up...so cold in fact there could be snow in their higher elevations. Many areas are not expected to get out of the 40s for highs this week. Here's a link about it http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2727734/Wet-cold-bank-holiday-way-forecasters-warn-two-weeks-bad-weather-ahead.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 Yeah, it's definitely going to start out warmer and more humid than it has been. Low/mid 90s with 60 plus DPs on the GFS That said if we start approaching 100 in Atlanta it is almost always a low humidity event with light west/nw winds. I have seen the GFS show this a few times over the last couple of days. Reality remains to be seen as we approach the middle of next week IMO. Well, it's the middle of next week now. Where are those 60 dp's ? Dp in Atlanta at noon is 75 !!!! It's going to be in the 90s with dp in the 70s today. That is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 Well, it's the middle of next week now. Where are those 60 dp's ? Dp in Atlanta at noon is 75 !!!! It's going to be in the 90s with dp in the 70s today. That is ridiculous. Well I said 60+ DP's and when we hit the mid 90's tomorrow and Friday they should mix out back into the 60's. This is definitely a dirty ridge not the more common massive 594/595 we see in the summer that are associated with heat waves. This imo is still a very mild heat wave, it will be short and has bust potential on the low side imo. Meanwhile the heavens have opened up here, incredible storm in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 Well GFS took landfall SE 300 miles to FL. Looks like its feeling pretty confident... 12z Euro looks pretty different also. Very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 I don't know how, but it seems like the atlanta airport gets hit by a heavy shower nearly every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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