Brick Tamland Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Atleaat somebody is getting rain today. Dry and humid here, more sun than clouds and up to 85. I'm calling today's forecast a bust, what wedge?? I'll trade with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Certainly looking like I'm going to be right in this being a nonevent for a large part of the area, namely from the GSP metro area and Asheville through Hickory and Charlotte over to Statesville. and up into the Triad. . The west and northwest flow aloft is too much to overcome. Long range looks dry too and the first signs of BIG HEAT are showing up. Some of us may see 100+ in about 10 days. QPF looking pretty paltry on the 18z NAM and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Nary a drop today after 1.25 yesty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Rain is here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Rain is here now. Washout or shower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Is this sarcastic? See my post in banter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 The only washout over here is the washout of rain chances in my forecast! If you read our AFD, you would think a wintry threat was in the way!! There are so many: what ifs, could bes, high bust potential, so on, etc! Quite a hilarious write up to me, pretty much has every possibility covered, just like winter! Yep...a big part of our job is to relay uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 The only washout over here is the washout of rain chances in my forecast! If you read our AFD, you would think a wintry threat was in the way!! There are so many: what ifs, could bes, high bust potential, so on, etc! Quite a hilarious write up to me, pretty much has every possibility covered, just like winter! That's the kind of forecast I like. Especially if they detail the uncertainties to the point where I can tell, as the event begins to unfold, which scenario is taking place. At that point, I can feel pretty sure what will happen next. If there is a high degree of uncertainty it certainly should expressed in both the discussion and the the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Yep...a big part of our job is to relay uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 The bottom dropped out along the eastern slopes of the Apps a few hours ago and it poured for about 2-3 hours and its still raining lightly...A lot of 2-3 inch rainfall totals have been recorded...some nasty convection currently over GSP... You could see the lowest clouds rapidly moving north around 6 pm, I would assume we have some kind of LLJ bump up against the mountains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Storms and showers all around now, but not 1 drop here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 Significant urban flooding in Greenville and Spartanburg County SC...WYFF TV doing a live stream of the event...http://www.wyff4.com/live/25861236#!bAgz2z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 3-4 inches in parts of Downtown Greenville...in 1 hour!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 Interstate 85 closed in Greenville...parts of it under water... Roads everywhere downtown Greenville closed, Cleveland Park under water... Water rescues and evacuations all over the city... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Interstate 85 closed in Greenville...parts of it under water... Roads everywhere downtown Greenville closed, Cleveland Park under water... Water rescues and evacuations all over the city... Bridge collapse reported as well. Memorial dr. near Tryon St. I-385 also closed in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 Falls Park in downtown Greenville looks more like Niagara Falls... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Radar looks like another heavy round could be in the offing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Still barely enough to get roads wet here and not looking for anything today or tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 So far RDU has received a little over 1.5". This is the best thing for us. We've had plenty of rain and anything more would have gone to flooding. The temps have been great; they've held in the 60s most of yesterday. Looks like more CAD for today. The extended should make a lot of us happy. (for RDU area) Highs for mid to late week look to be in the low to mid 80s with lows in the low to mid 60s; and DRY weather! We cannot beat this weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 Ended up getting 2.63 last night...The US 221 corridor from Marion to Spartanburg along with I-85 in the Upstate took it on the chin last night. I would think today will be more light rain and mist if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Ended up only getting about .5" in Spartanburg. 95% of that came in a 5-10 minute period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Falls Park in downtown Greenville looks more like Niagara Falls... I'm going to Falls Park this morning (live 5 minutes south of downtown) - will try to take some pics - rec'd 4 inches of rain overnight. I've rec'd over 10 inches of rain in the past 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 CoCoRaHS 24 hour totals...that 6"+ seems off obviously, 4"+ near Fay... impressive... I think WRAL did great around the triangle. For those near Wake Forest or Durham obviously it could have been 0.1" or 1.0" a few miles away. I think we still have more on the way until 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Atleaat somebody is getting rain today. Dry and humid here, more sun than clouds and up to 85. I'm calling today's forecast a bust, what wedge?? Funny reading this, after we received our 4-5" of rain a few hours after you typed this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Weather is fickle for sure! I wonder how rare it is to have back to back 5-7 inch rainfalls about 7 days apart for GSP? Need our statitition (GaWx) to check on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Looks like after a cool week, a more typical summertime pattern might set in for a time. Longer range guidance indicates the jet stream will retreat to the north and the anomalous troughing that we've been experiencing may not return for the foreseeable future. The latest CFS forecast for September shows above normal temps and below normal precip in the SE. I haven't been following it this summer, so I don't know how well it has done from 20+ days out. Anyway, it doesn't look like anything too exciting on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Looks like after a cool week, a more typical summertime pattern might set in for a time. Longer range guidance indicates the jet stream will retreat to the north and the anomalous troughing that we've been experiencing may not return for the foreseeable future. First off, a cold front sweeps through and we finally get out of the clouds for Wed and Thursday, with slightly below normal temps. The Pacific pattern begins to evolve with a ridge developing off the west coast / troughing in the western U.S....but we also have a healthy -NAO block developing which should keep us out of big ridging in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 First off, a cold front sweeps through and we finally get out of the clouds for Wed and Thursday, with slightly below normal temps. The Pacific pattern begins to evolve with a ridge developing off the west coast / troughing in the western U.S....but we also have a healthy -NAO block developing which should keep us out of big ridging in the east. what time period are you talking about specifically here? Next week I assume? I'm confused with a ridge on the west coast and troughing on the west coast in the same sentence haha I think the period at the 20th and on we can definitely see a ridge develop...I agree I don't think it will be a mega ridge of death but we're definitely going to flip script mid month with a trough out west and a ridge somewhere along the east, probably weak. During this time period, 20-22nd+, the NAO will move towards neutral and it won't make a difference in holding any kind of pattern we have. During this time period the PNA is nose diving as well. Looks like we'll finally see some heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 what time period are you talking about specifically here? Next week I assume? I'm confused with a ridge on the west coast and troughing on the west coast in the same sentence haha I think the period at the 20th and on we can definitely see a ridge develop...I agree I don't think it will be a mega ridge of death but we're definitely going to flip script mid month with a trough out west and a ridge somewhere along the east, probably weak. During this time period, 20-22nd+, the NAO will move towards neutral and it won't make a difference in holding any kind of pattern we have. During this time period the PNA is nose diving as well. Looks like we'll finally see some heat. Ridging off the west coast (in eastern Pacific) and troughing in the western states. I was just speculating that with the healthy looking NAO block that it may not break down as fast next week as shown on the 12z Euro, keeping the heights more neutral in the eastern U.S. Regardless, it's going to feel like Equador compared to the way it's been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 WRAL Nate Johnson 2 mins · Were it to end today, August 2014 would go down as the coldest August on record at RDU, at least in terms of high temperatures. Through the 10th, we're averaging a high of 81.1°, which is exactly the average high temperature at RDU for the month of September since 1945. Of course, there's still three more weeks of August to go - but this September temperature preview has had its benefits! Another interesting observation: January, February, and March were all below average; April was right at average, and both May and June were above average. It was the latter half of July that saw temperatures tank, and we haven't recovered since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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