Cold Rain Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Yepp me too. Reading Roberts thoughts this am, there are too many variables to nail down a bullseye for this one. I'll have my Radar scope on the porch with me. I need to get me some radar scope. Looks like Mack is about to get back in on some better rains. Also looks like t-storms popping up in Snowstorm's neighborhood. With all the storms firing in GA, I'm wondering if they'll have any bearing on how the precip shield evoloves? Doesn't look like anything organized right now but perhaps they are playing a role in the formation of a wave of low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I need to get me some radar scope. Looks like Mack is about to get back in on some better rains. Also looks like t-storms popping up in Snowstorm's neighborhood. With all the storms firing in GA, I'm wondering if they'll have any bearing on how the precip shield evoloves? Doesn't look like anything organized right now but perhaps they are playing a role in the formation of a wave of low pressure. I like the locator feature. Overlays my location on the map and is very accurate. Makes the incoming cells fun to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 lol 12z NAM rain hole for central NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 12z CMC still looks pretty robust with its QPF. I have no idea what the Euro is showing wrt amounts, but the RH fields at 700 and 850 look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 D to the T call map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 From Raleigh... AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG WARM SEASON HYBRID CAD EVENT WILL RESULT INCOOL AND SOGGY CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.SERIES OF VORT DISTURBANCES...SOME CONVECTIVELY INDUCED(SIMILAR TOTHE ONE OVER UPSTATE SC ATTM)...WILL MOVE ATOP A LOW-LEVEL FRONTALZONE FORECAST TO RETREAT NORTHWARD TO NEAR THE NC/SC BORDER. WHILENORMALLY RESERVED FOR WINTER STORM SYSTEMS...RESULTANT CONVECTIONWILL BREED A COMPLEX MILLER TYPE-B STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL SUPPORTMODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL NORTH OF THISFRONT...AMIDST A BELT OF HIGH 1.9-2.10" PWAT AIR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 18z GFS looking good! Several inches for central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Looks like CAE is about to score some rain and or storms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Looks like CAE is about to score some rain and or storms! There are Severe thunderstorm warnings for the Columbia metro area. Stuff looks to be headed my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Nothing here at all and anything that gets close just dries up. Going to be a non event I'm afraid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Nothing here at all and anything that gets close just dries up. Going to be a non event I'm afraid. jshetley getting in winter mode already? Better hope Bevo doesn't see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 More forming near Atlanta! I love being in the right front quadrant of the upper level divergence of a jet streak! Or whatever is causing this episode of precip, I'm lovin it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 More forming near Atlanta! I love being in the right front quadrant of the upper level divergence of a jet streak! Or whatever is causing this episode of precip, I'm lovin it!! Stuff near Atlanta now goes south of us though going where the other batch went. We need southwest flow aloft, not west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 The Saturday washout idea is gone unless you are in Virginia or northeast of Raleigh in NC and GSP is hinting that today could be almost COMPLETELY dry over their CWA after a few showers early. Based on radar I think that will be right. Right now the models are useless and need to be ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Where's the HEAVY RAIN that RNK had in forecast for about 36 hours? 100% HEAVY at times??? I've had about 0.15 so far. lol Now they have taken HEAVY totally out of the forecast, by the looks of radar may be nothing more than sprinkles/drizzle!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 US National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC Just now · Hazardous Weather Outlook for today and tonight. Details: http://go.usa.gov/DHbz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Pouring here, under light green returns. Washout in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 So far we have been mostly missed and that rocks, current radar trends are keeping us right on the line between scattered showers and the heavier stuff hopefully it holds up and we stay out of the heavy stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 The only washout over here is the washout of rain chances in my forecast! If you read our AFD, you would think a wintry threat was in the way!! There are so many: what ifs, could bes, high bust potential, so on, etc! Quite a hilarious write up to me, pretty much has every possibility covered, just like winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 The only washout over here is the washout of rain chances in my forecast! If you read our AFD, you would think a wintry threat was in the way!! There are so many: what ifs, could bes, high bust potential, so on, etc! Quite a hilarious write up to me, pretty much has every possibility covered, just like winter! Yep our NWS office has as much as admitted they don't know what will happen. Maybe they need to only forecast for 24 hours instead of 7 days and use radar trends, not the useless models. Seems to me they'd be smart enough to know that west to northwest flow aloft usually means dry here despite what models are showing. Seems to me that we are back to the late 80's as far as forecasting goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 US National Weather Service Raleigh NC 14 mins · The WPC rainfall total for days 1-3 as of 12z Saturday shifts the maximum expected rainfall "bullseye" southeast into South Carolina. The highest amounts in North Carolina are now expected across the southeast corner of the state. One to three inches are still expected across the state through 12z Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Flash Flood Watch in effect for portions of the piedmont and Sandhills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Certainly looking like I'm going to be right in this being a nonevent for a large part of the area, namely from the GSP metro area and Asheville through Hickory and Charlotte over to Statesville. and up into the Triad. . The west and northwest flow aloft is too much to overcome. Long range looks dry too and the first signs of BIG HEAT are showing up. Some of us may see 100+ in about 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Rained pretty good earlier this morning, but looks like the amounts for the Triangle have been less than forecasted, which is fine by me. It's wet and cool, but I wouldn't call this an all-day washout here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 The only washout over here is the washout of rain chances in my forecast! If you read our AFD, you would think a wintry threat was in the way!! There are so many: what ifs, could bes, high bust potential, so on, etc! Quite a hilarious write up to me, pretty much has every possibility covered, just like winter! That has been the way it has been all summer. I don't recall one where there has been so much uncertainty and busted forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 What a washout this has been! Been raining all day and have probably picked up an inch and a half or so so far, with more to come. They've really nailed this one. Looks like more rain is on the way for tomorrow and Monday as well. Weekend washout in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 What a washout this has been! Been raining all day and have probably picked up an inch and a half or so so far, with more to come. They've really nailed this one. Looks like more rain is on the way for tomorrow and Monday as well. Weekend washout in progress. Is this sarcastic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Is this sarcastic? Haha, nope! Still raining too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 What a washout this has been! Been raining all day and have probably picked up an inch and a half or so so far, with more to come. They've really nailed this one. Looks like more rain is on the way for tomorrow and Monday as well. Weekend washout in progress.Atleaat somebody is getting rain today. Dry and humid here, more sun than clouds and up to 85. I'm calling today's forecast a bust, what wedge?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Haha, nope! Still raining too. This must be a very localized event like most of the others this summer. I have not had any since 10 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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