Jon Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 They might need to reverse the colors in that map for NC. All the heavy rain is out in the western part of the state. Are you sure? Here's today's 12 hour forecast from the WPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 it has been pooring here all morning... not sure how much is in the rain gage since I'm at work but it has been coming down in buckets for the last 2-3 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 That's the last 24 hours, what CR and I posted is from 12z today forward, it's the precipitation forecast from today forward. If you look at CR's graphic from yesterday, you can see the purples near Gastonia and CTL and heavier rains out west which is what I think you're referring to. We're talking about two different time periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 For: Brick, Burns (polyped again...sorry man), Snowstorm, Mack, and Metal From: HPC (7 day precip accums) Off the complaint list: Brick and Mack. Everyone else, fire away. Getting some rain, so all is not lost. You made me look hot on the map. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 For: Brick, Burns (polyped again...sorry man), Snowstorm, Mack, and Metal From: HPC (7 day precip accums) Off the complaint list: Brick and Mack. Everyone else, fire away. Boy, that map just keeps getting worse and worse. It won't be long before I'm in the green area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 So, when was the rain supposed to start in the Triangle? There's nothing here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Getting some rain, so all is not lost. You made me look hot on the map. Thanks. You're on fire, sir! Boy, that map just keeps getting worse and worse. It won't be long before I'm in the green area Yeah, the pattern isn't looking great for west GA for a little while. Sorry man. So, when was the rain supposed to start in the Triangle? There's nothing here yet. You'll get some rain before the afternoon is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 After a trip to Greensboro I did some catching up and was expecting a deluge when I returned home here in the mountains...Not a drop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 The 12z GGEM has a max of 14" over the next three days in coastal NC, pretty wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 The 12z GGEM has a max of 14" over the next three days in coastal NC, pretty wild. The GEM is full of it. But there will definitely be a lot of rain there. The 12z NAM keeps unsettled weather for the central and eastern Carolinas through 84. The 12z GFS keep it unsettled through 384, with a few short breaks here and there. Both of those models are full of it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 The 12z GGEM has a max of 14" over the next three days in coastal NC, pretty wild. Forecasting huge amounts happens fairly often there on the GGEM. Reality is something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Matthew East 1 min · 1:17pm: Intense line of rain/ storms in eastern Montgomery/ Moore counties, lifting NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Matthew East 1 min · 1:17pm: Intense line of rain/ storms in eastern Montgomery/ Moore counties, lifting NE erma gerd. Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 The rain has finally made it here. Heavy, small-drop, high density rainfall occurring in downtown. Brick, you should be receiving rain too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Forecasting huge amounts happens fairly often there on the GGEM. Reality is something else. Quite obvious that it's overdone but amounts still look to be more than forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 The rain has finally made it here. Heavy, small-drop, high density rainfall occurring in downtown. Brick, you should be receiving rain too. Yes, it came down heavy at first, but it's pretty light now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Yes, it came down heavy at first, but it's pretty light now. So, when was the rain supposed to start in the Triangle? There's nothing here yet. You'll get some rain before the afternoon is over. Swish! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 The 12z GGEM has a max of 14" over the next three days in coastal NC, pretty wild. Is that before or after the 30" of snow I was pegged for in March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Swish!Is it going to rain here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 I'd rather have a light rain for a few days than heavy downpours that end up running off. It's been a light thing pretty much the whole time around these parts, other than this morning when the clouds unleashed the gates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Is it going to rain here? I guarantee it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Some numbers below that I put together for Charlotte. Over the 136 years of records back to 1878, the 2003 summer (May to Sept in this case) was the #6 coolest, and #3 wettest...and 2010 was the #1 warmest. Also check out August 2007...all days 90+ during the drought. For 2014, we are tracking close to normal on the 90+ days, but below normal on the 95+ days (normal in this case is a short comparison back to 2000) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 GSP forecast discussion says another deep trough, backdoor front stalling regime is in the cards torwards next Friday! Sound great and like the repeating pattern! Says temps should be 2 to 3 categories below normal and precip chances ramping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 I'd rather have a light rain for a few days than heavy downpours that end up running off. It's been a light thing pretty much the whole time around these parts, other than this morning when the clouds unleashed the gates. Not a drop of rain has fallen imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Not a drop of rain has fallen imby Wow. Ive had over 2 inches of rain since yesterday. Was hoping you were getting it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 2, 2014 Author Share Posted August 2, 2014 Must say, I am a little disappointed in that the southeast flow broke down a bit faster than the models were showing a couple days ago...for Western North Carolina today was supposed to be the big rain day, instead it occured on Thursday. Anyway, I'm sure the folks along I-85 from around Anderson to around the Charlotte Metro area are prob happy the rain moved out. Anything in the light shade of blue or darker is more than 1 inch storm total, the darker greens (2-plus inches) and the oranges and reds are in excess of 4 inches. Now...that said, we still have a good flow at 500mb along with surface instability will allow convective chances to go up for Western North Carolina this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 Tired of this rain already. Looks like we are in a pattern of it clearing for the week and a chance of more rain next weekend. So much for enjoying the end of summer on the weekends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 2, 2014 Share Posted August 2, 2014 The cool wet summer just will not let up. RAH talking about another damming event next weekend. FOR WED-SAT: MID LEVEL FLOW WEAKENS AND FLATTENS THROUGH THE PERIODBUT REMAINS GENTLY CYCLONIC THROUGH FRI WITH THE UPPER LOW HOLDINGOVER ERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST STATES. WE SHOULD SEE ANOTHERROUND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WED... MAINLY SE... BUT WITH LOWERCOVERAGE THAN EARLIER IN THE WEEK DUE TO THE WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEARAND MODERATING PW. THE STRONGEST WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OFTHE MEAN TROUGH WED NIGHT (GFS) OR THU (ECMWF) IS EXPECTED TO PUSH AWEAK COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST THROUGH NC... BRINGING A TREND BACK DOWNTO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS LATE IN THE WEEK. WITH THE GFS ANDECMWF ABOUT 12 HRS APART ON FRONTAL PASSAGE... IT`S TOUGH TO TELLWHEN THE BEST FRONT-ASSOCIATED RAIN CHANCES WILL BE... SO WILL CARRYCHANCE POPS WED NIGHT THROUGH THU... FOLLOWED BY LOWER CHANCESFRI/SAT FIGURING THAT HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE PUSHING IN FROM THE NNW.THE 00Z/02 ECMWF TAKES THIS HIGH OFF THE MIDATLANTIC COAST SAT WHILEWEDGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL/WRN NC WITH INCREASING OVERRUNNINGAND SUGGESTIONS OF ANOTHER DAMMING EVENT NEXT WEEKEND... AND THE GFSIS HINTING AT THIS AS WELL. WILL NOT DEPART TOO MUCH FROMCLIMATOLOGY THIS FAR OUT... BUT STAY TUNED... AS WE COULD SEECOOLER/WETTER WEATHER NEXT WEEKEND. -GIH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted August 3, 2014 Share Posted August 3, 2014 Haven't had an above normal day in temps since July 14. This is based on an interpolation of historical data for two airports which are equidistant from me (Statesville and Concord) and comparing it to my PWS data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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