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June Obs


mackerel_sky

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We finally got it really good here and it's still pouring outside now from a shower that is only very slowly moving through. And based on radar it may rain hard here for another 15 minutes or more. This is by far the most rain we have had in over a month.

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Yeah the radar looks nice for you. Rain is over at least for now down here but we ended up with 1.50 today so no more complaints for a while. 

 

 

I wouldn't be surprised to pick up at least 1-2" the way it's raining now and the looks of the radar.  For once we look to be in a pretty good position.  No lightning or wind at all, just heavy rain.

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I tried to edit my post but I accidentally deleted it.

The warning said we were expecting destructive winds in excess of 70mph, that happened on the north side of town. We had winds up to 50mph here. Also there was a huge fire on the N side of town. I'm guessing it was from a lightning strike.

2135 UNK WAYCROSS WARE GA 3121 8236 WIDESPREAD EXTENSIVE WIND DAMAGE ACROSS NORTHERN WARE COUNTY FROM MANOR TO WAYCROSS. TREES DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN. (JAX)

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0.00". Dry

 

Hazy hot and humid. High around 90f.  Chance of storms around 0%

The rain has been as close as a half mile away, but mby has not seen a drop  :(  

 

72 and rain.

1.13 so far. I guess we get a big storm every 2 weeks on a Tuesday. :rolleyes:

Must be nice   <_<

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

:hug:

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Picked up 0.14 inch of rainfall from various small showers.  Here's GSP's outlook for today.  Sorry, upstate SC, you continue to get downsloped in this W/NW flow (just as Hickory often is):

 

 

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 320 AM EDT WED...THE MAIN UPPER SHORT WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH A
LINE OF VORT MAX SHOULD REACH THE WESTERN MTNS AROUND 12Z TODAY.
AHEAD OF THIS UPPER FEATURE...LATEST CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS
SUGGEST THAT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SW
MTNS AND NE GEORGIA AROUND DAYBREAK AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE NC
MTNS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE MAIN UPPER WAVE SHOULD PROGRESS
EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPSTATE SC THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS THE NC PIEDMONT. THEREFORE...DIURNALLY
DRIVEN BUOYANCY WILL BE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER SUPPORT TO TRIGGER
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION MAINLY OVER THE MTNS...NC PIEDMONT
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SC PIEDMONT. MODELS AGREE THAT UPSTATE
SC WILL REMAIN RATHER DRY DUE TO INCREASING H85 W/NW DOWNSLOPE WINDS
AND NEGATIVE VORT ADVECTION BEHIND THE DEPARTING AXIS OF UPPER WAVE.
HENCE...POPS REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE OVER THE SC PIEDMONT WITH SOLID
CHANCE RANGE OF 40/50S ELSEWHERE.
STORMS SHOULD MOVE ALONG QUICKER
TODAY GIVEN A BIT STRONGER MEAN WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...LOWERING THE
FLASH FLOOD THREAT. HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
EXISTS MAINLY EAST OF THE NC BLUE RIDGE AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
SC PIEDMONT AS NEARLY 2000J/KG OF SBCAPE WILL BE PRESENT DURING THE
PASSAGE OF THE UPPER SHORTWAVE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS FROM BETTER ORGANIZED STORMS.

TONIGHT...EXPECT CONVECTION TO DIMINISH CONSIDERABLY DUE TO THE LOSS
OF HEATING...NVA AND NW DOWNSLOPE WINDS. HOWEVER...SOME UPSLOPE
INDUCED SHOWERS CAN BE SEEN OVER THE NORTHERN NC MTNS. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

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Ended up with 1.44" yesterday and 0.66" the day before.  Very much needed rain and everything is looking green again.  GFS has been hinting at an active period coming up the next couple weeks although it hasn't been doing a great job for my area the last couple months.

 

Today, GSP is saying there could be a band of convection somewhere in the upstate where llc sets up downwind of the balsams.  HRRR does show some qpf response later this afternoon and current radar shows some popcorn showers developing.

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Picked up .13 today. First measurable in about 12 days. Enough to settle the dust :)

<Didn't get the bounty-of-plenty you received yesterday.  A few stray drops.  Witnessed

a very nice rainbow to the east.

 

Mowed the lawn 5 days ago.  It hasn't grown at all.  Some of the trees are dropping

a lot of yellow and brown leaves.  Looking like autumn... just a bit.

 

<Curious to see how dry it might actually become.

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Sunny and 82. We picked up 1.51 yesterday.

We should watch off the SE coast for possible tropical development this weekend.

If the GFS is showing it, I wouldn't count on it! Although , I could see a storm blowing up off of the coast and putting me in the super-sinking air to the west ( my area) and causing even more drought! :)

86 and dry

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If the GFS is showing it, I wouldn't count on it! Although , I could see a storm blowing up off of the coast and putting me in the super-sinking air to the west ( my area) and causing even more drought! :)

86 and dry

Lol look at this. Hmm..

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

800 PM EDT WED JUN 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area could form off of the southeastern coast of

the United States by early next week. Some development of this

system is possible if it remains over water while it drifts

southward or southwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$

Forecaster Stewart

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