Eduardo Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Wind is gusty here on the south shore of LI. Snotty out there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Chill and raw out. .light right now. Had heavy rain at work for a large part of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 0.60" and counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Just got back from Moses and the surf, as I expected wasn't impressive at all. Wind is No worse than it was over the weekend. All in all, other than the east end rain nothing impressive at all considering a weakening Cat 1 is less than 175 miles to our SE. Looks like Montauk will take total rainfall win but I don't see any area with more than 2-2.5" of rain in the last 12 hours based on radar amounts. Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Eastern New England is getting pummeled. WPC has a Mesoscale Discussion out for rainfall rates of 3" per hour and widespread flash flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 The swells are picking up for the surfers in Long Beach now. It looks like the waves should peak around 5-8 feet tonight into early Saturday. http://www.nysea.com/live-cam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 JFK just had a wind gust to 41mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 JFK just had a wind gust to 41mph. Yeah, the low level lapse rates are steepening now as the colder and drier air wraps in behind the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Yeah, the low level lapse rates are steepening now as the colder and drier air wraps in behind the storm. It came from the band of showers moving east over LI now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 It came from the band of showers moving east over LI now. The stronger winds can mix down with the trailing LLJ coming in behind the storm and cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Eastern New England is getting pummeled. WPC has a Mesoscale Discussion out for rainfall rates of 3" per hour and widespread flash flooding. Areas just to my south and east are over 5" already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Winds died down and we're clearing nicely now. Nice waves on the beaches-some 7 and 8 foot breakers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Winds died down and we're clearing nicely now. Nice waves on the beaches-some 7 and 8 foot breakers. Drizzle just ended. Cool and breezy out still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 How about 30-50mph gusts tomorrow morning in heavy rain squalls. Beach erosion, coastal flooding and maybe a scrape by the western half of the core. Had a 5 mph wind and .25 qpf. So all in all pretty spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 Had a 5 mph wind and .25 qpf. So all in all pretty spot on. Luckily for us the water never came up past the beaches and we had maybe a half inch of rain. We had winds for a time that probably gusted 30-35 mph. All in all, pretty wimpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 How about 30-50mph gusts tomorrow morning in heavy rain squalls. Beach erosion, coastal flooding and maybe a scrape by the western half of the core. Luckily for us the water never came up past the beaches and we had maybe a half inch of rain. We had winds for a time that probably gusted 30-35 mph. All in all, pretty wimpy.The Euro ensembles had an obx to cc track at 156 hours Stellar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 The Euro ensembles had an obx to cc track at 156 hours Stellar EURO is absolutely amazing with tropical systems. Nailed sandy and this one to a T and hadnt wavered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 EURO is absolutely amazing with tropical systems. Nailed sandy and this one to a T and hadnt wavered. The RGEM wasn't bad with predicting the area of rain although it's track may have been too far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 The RGEM wasn't bad with predicting the area of rain although it's track may have been too far west Yea RGEM was almost spot on with the rain but the track wasnt as close as what the EURO had forecasted days in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 The RGEM wasn't bad with predicting the area of rain although it's track may have been too far west The rgem had way too much rain back here. We had a half inch or so when it had the main core of precip back into NJ for a time. The HWRF was also way too far west. Arthur went well SE of Nantucket when for a time it had it 75 miles south of the Hamptons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 Just to report, I noticed that the NHC is now using color-coded X's to represent disturbances instead of color-coded circles with lines through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 11, 2014 Share Posted July 11, 2014 All of the 12z globals today develop some sort of low or tropical low near the southeast coast in about 7-10 days. Something to watch. Looks similar to when Arthur first got sniffed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 I'm hard pressed to remember another season where the GFS wasn't routinly developing fantasy systems in the long range. Was un upgrade done to reduce this from happening or are conditions for development really that bad? There seems be a pocket of weaker shear currently running from about Puerto Rico to the northern Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 I'm hard pressed to remember another season where the GFS wasn't routinly developing fantasy systems in the long range. Was un upgrade done to reduce this from happening or are conditions for development really that bad? There seems be a pocket of weaker shear currently running from about Puerto Rico to the northern Gulf. It's the dreaded El Nino rearing its ugly head. Shear city, folks. Don't despair though. I got a hunch that come winter, we'll be praising El Nino! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 16, 2014 Share Posted July 16, 2014 It's the dreaded El Nino rearing its ugly head. Shear city, folks. Don't despair though. I got a hunch that come winter, we'll be praising El Nino! The El Nino is pretty much nonexistent. There's almost as much chance now it devolves into a neutral SST pattern than any kind of a Nino. I wouldn't hang your hat on the El Nino being any help next winter. Of course that's bad news for the Southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 000ABNT20 KNHC 211507TWOATSPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL1110 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:Special outlook issued to update discussion of system in thecentral tropical Atlantic.Updated: Shower activity associated with a small area of lowpressure located about midway between the Cape Verde Islands and theLesser Antilles has increased a little during the past few hours.Although this activity remains limited, it continues to show signsof organization. Satellite data also indicate that a closedcirculation could be forming and that the system is producing asmall area of winds near tropical storm force. A tropical depressioncould develop during the next couple of days while the system moveswestward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. After that timehowever, environmental conditions are expected to become lessconducive for development. Interests in the Lesser Antilles shouldmonitor the progress of this system.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 21, 2014 Share Posted July 21, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.