Sickman Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 What's this? A line of storms weakening as it approaches LI in early June? Why, I've never heard of such a thing! No one should have been surprised/disappointed. It's too early in the season for these lines to hold together near the coast. I am, however, looking forward to Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 What's this? A line of storms weakening as it approaches LI in early June? Why, I've never heard of such a thing! No one should have been surprised/disappointed. It's too early in the season for these lines to hold together near the coast. I am, however, looking forward to Thursday morning. Oh yeah for sure. The strange thing is the wind was light south east all day so maritime influence was less then it usually is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 .80" in springfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 3, 2014 Author Share Posted June 3, 2014 impressive water vapor loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Picked up 0.46" at home in under fifteen minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Just some drizzle here in southern Brooklyn. Ground barely wet in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 turn out to be one of the best days of early summer here…..brushed 90 and had 3 rain drops…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 turn out to be one of the best days of early summer here…..brushed 90 and had 3 rain drops…. Really? I had a good half inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Really? I had a good half inch not even enough to wet the pavement here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Close but no cigar for most of the major reporting station but some spots in C-NJ into N-NJ touched 90 TEB: 90 New Brunswick: 90 PHL: 89 EWR: 88 ACY: 88 TTN: 88 NYC: 87 LGA: 85 ISP: 81 JFK: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 impressive water vapor loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif interesting feature in the atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 stagnant patterns are the new norm You aren't kidding especially the last 5 or so years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 interesting feature in the atlantic it Has been producing consistent ground swell for area beaches. Also some nice rip currents as I am a life gaurd at jones beach. Any waves this time of year are a blessing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwarn Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 0.87" here in Wood Ridge, NJ for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Trace for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 not even enough to wet the pavement here... Same here. Need a nice soaking rain at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Same here. Need a nice soaking rain at this point. You'll get your wish tonight/tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Dont think they're will be anything more than heavy rain with some embedded thunderstorms with the MCS tonight into tommorow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 4, 2014 Author Share Posted June 4, 2014 You'll get your wish tonight/tomorrow. 6Z GFS has backed off on the heaviest rain for tomorrow . Also there is no clear indication if and when the major reporting stations will reach 90 this month for the 1st time. Yesterday Linden NJ reached 90 maybe a couple other smaller stations in the metro. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr the 0Z GFS has a tropical system making landfall on the central FLA gulf coast then moving north along the eastern seaboard with heavy rain making it here later in the period http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850®ion=us&t=l Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 6Z GFS has backed off on the heaviest rain for tomorrow . Also there is no clear indication if and when the major reporting stations will reach 90 this month for the 1st time. Yesterday Linden NJ reached 90 maybe a couple other smaller stations in the metro. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr the 0Z GFS has a tropical system making landfall on the central FLA gulf coast then moving north along the eastern seaboard with heavy rain making it here later in the period http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850®ion=us&t=l GFS has had that feature for a few weeks-it's always 6-7 days away so I'd say convective feedback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 GFS has had that feature for a few weeks-it's always 6-7 days away so I'd say convective feedback But its been much drier the past couple days..showing .25-.5".. Doesn't mean much since the gfs has been way off lately anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 GFS has had that feature for a few weeks-it's always 6-7 days away so I'd say convective feedback It's not convective feedback. The feature exists on several of the ECMWF ensemble members and GEFS members for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 It's not convective feedback. The feature exists on several of the ECMWF ensemble members and GEFS members for that matter. Still ain't buying it. Both models have had a wet pattern for their runs the last 7-10 days which has not even come close to verifying. Outside of tomorrow (and even that's iffy) it looks dry for the next week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Still ain't buying it. Both models have had a wet pattern for their runs the last 7-10 days which has not even come close to verifying. Outside of tomorrow (and even that's iffy) it looks dry for the next week or so. You don't need to buy it but it's a real feature. Check out the Atlantic Tropical discussion in the main forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 The concentration of the best convection these past 7-14 days has been west of NYC. East of there ive seen not much rain, last night not one drop. Tonight into tommorow morning looks like one of the first legit shots of notable rainfall the first time in a week plus for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 You don't need to buy it but it's a real feature. Check out the Atlantic Tropical discussion in the main forum. What's a real feature? And does that mean its going to be a widespread heavy rainfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 What's a real feature? And does that mean its going to be a widespread heavy rainfall? What it means is that it's not convective feedback. It's an actual tropical cyclone. It may never form and may never track even remotely close to this area but that's not the same as convective feedback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Timing out the rain, per NWS storms are moving east at 45MPH. From Cinnci to NY is about 640 miles. That puts the storms into this area in about 13-15 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 4, 2014 Author Share Posted June 4, 2014 What it means is that it's not convective feedback. It's an actual tropical cyclone. It may never form and may never track even remotely close to this area but that's not the same as convective feedback. you are correct - the NHC has had the Bay of Campeche near southern GOM as a possible location for formation for days now - these systems are very difficult to pinpoint when and if they will develop http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 4, 2014 Share Posted June 4, 2014 Could be on a Derecho alert from the midwest and points east today . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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