Frank Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 Looks like some rain showers overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 850 temps are modeled to be close to 20c wednesday afternoon. that would easily support 95+ temps given good enough mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 The more coolish pattern over the past week has brought down the positive departures we had with a 0 degree temp departure here after yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 Bust on temps for folks within 15 miles of the water today due to light large scale winds and earlier sea breeze development. High here of only 78F with a forecast of 87. Actually slightly cooler than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 850 temps are modeled to be close to 20c wednesday afternoon. that would easily support 95+ temps given good enough mixing Might be a good deal of convective debris running WNW-ESE through the area though on Tuesday-Wednesday, which I think could cap temperatures to the lower 90s. Newark and LGA are probable locks for 90F+. Central Park, I could see putting up two 89's for Tues and Wed respectively. They should break 90F, but it's going to be very close IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 850 temps are modeled to be close to 20c wednesday afternoon. that would easily support 95+ temps given good enough mixing You couldn't be more wrong if you tried, weather.com shows 89 and 90 for those days not 95+. Weather.com does not lie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 You couldn't be more wrong if you tried, weather.com shows 89 and 90 for those days not 95+. Weather.com does not lie. This is not a serious post is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 You couldn't be more wrong if you tried, weather.com shows 89 and 90 for those days not 95+. Weather.com does not lie.lolwut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 Might be a good deal of convective debris running WNW-ESE through the area though on Tuesday-Wednesday, which I think could cap temperatures to the lower 90s. Newark and LGA are probable locks for 90F+. Central Park, I could see putting up two 89's for Tues and Wed respectively. They should break 90F, but it's going to be very close IMO. Upton's going upper 80s tomorrow. I'm sure Newark will hit 90 but may not be widespread 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 This is not a serious post is it? I'd still take the bet that it's 89 or 90 and not 95 anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 I'd still take the bet that it's 89 or 90 and not 95 anywhere We'd need a bunch of cloud debris and more of a SSW wind direction to max out in the upper 80s. Well see I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frank Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 With a 1020mb High off the coast of NC, I can see how temps surpass 90 degrees in some locations. Specifically Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frank Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Wednesday could be an interesting severe weather day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 It gone be hot today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 no debris today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 It gone be hot today Congrats on finally getting your wish. Full on A/C weather today FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Lots of debris around here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 The GFS MEX showing 95 for Newark tomorrow. But I'm concerned about convective debris or patchy clouds in afternoon keeping temps 2-3 degrees cooler. Thursday also is 93. KEWR GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/17/2014 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 TUE 17| WED 18| THU 19| FRI 20| SAT 21| SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24 CLIMO X/N 89| 73 95| 74 93| 64 83| 67 79| 65 80| 67 85| 65 83 63 83 TMP 83| 77 87| 78 83| 70 76| 71 73| 69 74| 71 77| 70 76 DPT 64| 68 64| 67 56| 52 53| 57 61| 60 63| 63 59| 56 55 CLD PC| PC PC| PC PC| CL CL| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| PC PC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Lots of debris around here this morning. check out visible-it's going fast-full sun for most by 9:30am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 It might be in the 90s all the way to the beaches tomorrow. The winds are expected to be WNW and little/no seabreeze, meaning downsloping and maximum warming potential for everyone. Today I think makes it to 88-89 for most. Tomorrow I could see a 95 here and there if the thunderstorms stay away until late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 It might be in the 90s all the way to the beaches tomorrow. The winds are expected to be WNW and little/no seabreeze, meaning downsloping and maximum warming potential for everyone. Today I think makes it to 88-89 for most. Tomorrow I could see a 95 here and there if the thunderstorms stay away until late afternoon. Yeah the key is keeping skies mostly clear until 1-2pm at least. If that occurs, mid 90s are definitely possible in some spots. Looks like a lock that virtually everyone will surpass 90F in this period. Today should be generally clear with 90F attainable in most spots. If we didn't have the front approaching Thursday, Newark would probably have an official heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Already 80/70 here. Using the 10am rule of thumb, that should give me a high of 90F today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Heat mongers finally getting their wish. Should be a quick but hot little stretch here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 78 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 10AM Roundup TEB: 82 NYC: 78 EWR: 82 LGA: 79 JFK: 75 ISP: 71 New Brunswick: 81 TTN: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Already 80/70 here. Using the 10am rule of thumb, that should give me a high of 90F today. I always wondered if 11AM (10AM ST) was the more meaningful rule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 I always wondered if 11AM (10AM ST) was the more meaningful rule? I've always remembered it by the 10 + 10 rule. Add 10 degrees to your 10am temperature for a rough estimation of the high. Doesn't always work though, obviously if we have clouds, convection, or a frontal passage (strong CAA). It's meant more for the stable / mostly sunny days like today. Most 10am temps were around 80 in the area so that should mean near 90 for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 I've always remembered it by the 10 + 10 rule. Add 10 degrees to your 10am temperature for a rough estimation of the high. Doesn't always work though, obviously if we have clouds, convection, or a frontal passage (strong CAA). It's meant more for the stable / mostly sunny days like today. Most 10am temps were around 80 in the area so that should mean near 90 for most. Ill have to research that and see if it came about before DST. First 90s for many today - more tomorrow then we may need to wait till the close of the month/early July for the next surge of heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 17, 2014 Author Share Posted June 17, 2014 just about every reporting station on this list in New Jersey should reach 90 today so June 17th will be the first day this year of widespread 90's http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.asus41.OKX.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 11AM Roundup TEB: 84 NYC: 81 KEWR: 85 LGA: 82 JFK: 78 ISP: 72 New Brunswick: 86 TTN: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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