NEG NAO Posted June 3, 2014 Author Share Posted June 3, 2014 0Z GFS has mainly close to normal temps here the next couple of weeks with the trough/blocking still stuck off the east coast and the blocking high off the west coast meaning this pattern continues until further notice - also means a low chance of it reaching 90 in the metro through through mid month - we should see more precip and possible severe storms also . http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850®ion=us&t=l http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 I hope that happens blue, these warm front setup always seem to go more south as we get closer the last few years The 0Z euro continues with the warm front stalling over the area with the low tracking right along it and the heaviest rains just north of the front where the best overrunning occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 The 0Z euro continues with the warm front stalling over the area with the low tracking right along it and the heaviest rains just north of the front where the best overrunning occurs. ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f60.png The 0z Euro ensembles are also in agreement with the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Best action Thursday looks to be from the city and points N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 79F already imby... definitely looks to be a warmer day than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Best action Thursday looks to be from the city and points N as usual my friend. sadly we live in an area that is VERY hostile for severe weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 as usual my friend. sadly we live in an area that is VERY hostile for severe weather Think you will see some action between today and Thrs - hang in there . The bulk looks N for now . You don`t want severe do you ? ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 as usual my friend. sadly we live in an area that is VERY hostile for severe weatherThe best shot for severe weather is actually well south of us. What the Euro is showing is nothing more than an area of moderate rain and maybe some embedded thunder with some elevated storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Think you will see some action between today and Thrs - hang in there . The bulk looks N for now . You don`t want severe do you ? ha touche , gets kind of frustrating looking at my radar scope with me getting zilch and other areas keep getting action. that said the NAM does show some storms tomorrow coming through the area but we will see about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 The main show is going to be across the mid-west from Nebraska then through Iowa and into southern Illinois and the southern Lakes/Ohio Valley regions. Severe parameters are forecasted to support initial supercell development in Nebraska that will spread eastward and congeal into a powerful MCS complex. Models are indicating that at least part of this complex holds together and affects our region late tomorrow night or early Thursday morning. Differences still remain regarding the exact track of this convective system and the extent of how much it holds together. Certainly timing is not favorable for our region to receive much other than heavy rain. Several model runs have shown the potential for over an inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Back to our region, some pretty impressive towers starting to go up to my northwest. Probably the storms that are currently popping in extreme NE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 For tomorrow, the 12z GFS is fairly meh with two convective areas mostly missing to the north and south of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 For tomorrow, the 12z GFS is fairly meh with two convective areas mostly missing to the north and south of NYC. Yup and the zzzz weather will continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Yup and the zzzz weather will continue. I'm not buying the 12z GFS, The Euro would bring a fairly significant event our way and the 12z RGEM still hammers the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 I'm not buying the 12z GFS, The Euro would bring a fairly significant event our way and the 12z RGEM still hammers the area. The past few events (or rather non events) the gfs was mostly alone in giving 1"+ amounts. so if it is too dry that's fine with me since its probably wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Up to 85 here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Low 70s here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 For tomorrow, the 12z GFS is fairly meh with two convective areas mostly missing to the north and south of NYC. You mean for Thursday. Tomorrow is a dry and gorgeous day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 You mean for Thursday. Tomorrow is a dry and gorgeous day. Technically the timing is late tomorrow night into early Thursday with the bulk of rain falling before 12z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 The 12z GGEM nails the area with > 1.75" of rain between today's event and the convective system for late tomorrow night into Thursday. Heaviest rains fall right over northern NJ and SE NY. Mostly before 12z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Very warm day, currently 88. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Very warm day, currently 88. Yeah definitely overperformed today. Alot more sun than expected I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Just beautiful today..making a run at 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 HRRR brings a nice line all the way through the city later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Some really beautiful looking storm towers off to my northwest. Starting to see some anvils. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 "Only" 83 here in Suffolk. Feels great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Mt. Holly radar down again. Buy that damn thing a thunder shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Mt. Holly radar down again. Buy that damn thing a thunder shirt. Seems like it's only down when we have something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 I have officially hit 90 for a high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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