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June 2014


NEG NAO

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The 0z GFS showing 850mb temps near 20C with west winds, middle of next week. MOS now 95 for Newark and 94 for LGA by Thursday.

 KEWR   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   6/15/2014  0000 UTC                        FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192       SUN  15| MON 16| TUE 17| WED 18| THU 19| FRI 20| SAT 21| SUN 22 CLIMO X/N  83| 61  84| 68  90| 70  91| 73  95| 73  90| 68  84| 64  80 62 82 TMP  76| 68  77| 73  84| 76  84| 79  86| 77  82| 73  77| 69  73       DPT  48| 50  57| 64  62| 65  67| 67  66| 63  60| 58  58| 54  57       CLD  CL| CL  CL| OV  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| OV  OV  
KLGA   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   6/15/2014  0000 UTC                        FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192       SUN  15| MON 16| TUE 17| WED 18| THU 19| FRI 20| SAT 21| SUN 22 CLIMO X/N  81| 65  84| 69  86| 72  92| 75  94| 74  88| 70  83| 67  80 64 81 TMP  74| 68  76| 72  82| 76  84| 79  85| 77  81| 73  77| 69  74       DPT  51| 51  55| 64  64| 64  66| 66  65| 63  61| 59  60| 57  57       CLD  CL| CL  CL| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| OV  OV      
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Happy Fathers Day to you dads out there.

 

Just a splendid day for time with the famiglia.

 

Our first true taste of summer (heat) this week with widespread 90s.  Not sure of the park but I believe all major stations reach 90.  Only caveat will be clouds but I think we're good.

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The heat is coming

 

Looks like we have a few das mon - wed/thu (pending on timing with the front).  Beyond there looks like we are back to a weakness into the northeast Jun 18 - 22nd or so.  I think like other years July will feature the peak of any summer heat (against the mean and temps-wise).  Im enjoying these weekends when home.  Mostly on the road west coat during the week for next month or so.

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Looks like the front the end of this week may pass Thursday morning and could potentially stall around the Mason-Dixon Line. If that were the case it would spark showers and t-storms mainly for areas south of NYC. Considering its Old Timers Day on Sunday next week, I'm hoping that is the case.

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Only a brief window of opportunity for 90's this week as the +EPO will quickly fade again.

As June heat goes, the next few days will come up short of the 95-100 heat waves that

we have seen in June during recent years.

 

June highs at Newark since 2005:

 

2013....96

2012....99

2011....102

2010.....98

2009.....89

2008.....99

2007.....96

2006.....95

2005.....97

 

 

 

 

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