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June 2014


NEG NAO

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This seems to be a pa, snj and nj spring for rain. Im going to have to water the lawn this weekend.

You think? Trust me you don't want our weather out here the landscape is becoming a swamp after two years of endless deluge. I don't know what watering is anymore

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FFW

* FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT

* A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
  AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
  EVENING BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND
  PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY DURING THE EVENING
  COMMUTE...AND THEN WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST THIS EVENING.
  RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
  TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAINFALL DURING THIS TIME WILL RANGE
  FROM 1/2 INCH TO 1 INCH WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 INCHES OR MORE
  IN HEAVIER SHOWERS AND AREAS OF CONVECTION.

* WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING
  STORMS...THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT URBAN
  FLOODING ALONG WITH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE
  AREAS.
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FFW

* FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT

* A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
  AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
  EVENING BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND
  PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY DURING THE EVENING
  COMMUTE...AND THEN WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST THIS EVENING.
  RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
  TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAINFALL DURING THIS TIME WILL RANGE
  FROM 1/2 INCH TO 1 INCH WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 INCHES OR MORE
  IN HEAVIER SHOWERS AND AREAS OF CONVECTION.

* WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING
  STORMS...THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT URBAN
  FLOODING ALONG WITH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE
  AREAS.

Yup, the area looks primed

 

pwtr_sf.gif?1402679373932

 

One limiting factor could be that the storm motion should be fast enough that flash flooding would be limited to where training occurs.

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We have a bingo

 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
PAC011-077-131845-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0046.140613T1748Z-140613T1845Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
148 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN BERKS COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  LEHIGH COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 146 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR LAURELDALE...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
  WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FLEETWOOD AROUND 205 PM EDT...
  LYONS AROUND 215 PM EDT...
  KUTZTOWN AROUND 220 PM EDT...
  TOPTON AROUND 225 PM EDT...
  ANCIENT OAKS AROUND 240 PM EDT...
  CLAUSSVILLE AND EMMAUS AROUND 245 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...MOVE INDOORS TO A
STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO
SO...REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&
 

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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NJC019-021-023-025-027-035-041-PAC017-095-132030-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0049.140613T1938Z-140613T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
338 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
  HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
  MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  EASTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  EAST CENTRAL NORTHAMPTON COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  CENTRAL MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT

* AT 333 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CYCLING UPWARD TOWARD SEVERE
  LEVELS AGAIN. THIS LINE OF DEVELOPING SEVERE STORMS EXTENDED FROM
  ROXBURG TO BLOOMSBURY TO BYRAM...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THESE
  STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.
  WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH OCCURRED AS THIS LINE WENT
  THROUGH THE LEHIGH VALLEY.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  NEWTOWN AND LANGHORNE AROUND 340 PM EDT...
  OXFORD AND WASHINGTON AROUND 345 PM EDT...
  WOODSIDE AND LEVITTOWN AROUND 350 PM EDT...
  YARDLEY AND SAND BROOK AROUND 355 PM EDT...
  GREAT MEADOWS-VIENNA AND FLEMINGTON AROUND 400 PM EDT...
  HACKETTSTOWN AND LEBANON AROUND 405 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...MOVE INDOORS TO A
STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO
SO...REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR AND BE ON THE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 7469 4018 7471 4017 7472 4012 7495
      4085 7521 4093 7479 4091 7477 4090 7470
      4092 7465 4096 7463 4100 7447 4073 7438
      4068 7445 4067 7440 4060 7444 4061 7434
      4027 7422
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 255DEG 21KT 4078 7506 4064 7506
 

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We just experienced one of the more impressive severe thunderstorms that I have seen in 40 years of weather watching.  It was all about the CTG lightning.  We actually lost power about 20 minutes ago so I am accessing the internet through my hotspot.  I am guessing about 5 - 10 hits within 2 - 4 miles of my location.  Very impressive display of CTG lightning.  I actually tried to record it on my phone however I was not able to capture any strikes.  In any case some really vivid lightning during the past hour here

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