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June 2014


NEG NAO

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The Euro has a few days in the mid-upper 80's early next week. Primarily southwest of NYC. Philly has a better chance of breaking 90, especially on Tuesday which looks to be the warmest day of the period. Then another backdoor arrives on Wednesday. Wash, rinse, repeat.

wash - rinse - repeat - where have I heard that before ? As for the 12Z GFS showing heat it is appearing once again later in the period around day 10 - GFS has showed the heat later in the period a few times this spring BUT it backs off as we approach it although as we get deeper into June reaching 90 is alot easier

 

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr

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wash - rinse - repeat - where have I heard that before ? As for the 12Z GFS showing heat it is appearing once again later in the period around day 10 - GFS has showed the heat later in the period a few times this spring BUT it backs off as we approach it although as we get deeper into June reaching 90 is alot easier

 

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr

Some people here have a heat fetish during the Summer months just like they have cold fetishes during the winter. We have plenty of time for oppressive heat in July and August and as long as we hang around normal (The 80's by this point) I doubt many will complain. And if they do, they should move to the southwest or Florida.

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Some people here have a heat fetish during the Summer months just like they have cold fetishes during the winter. We have plenty of time for oppressive heat in July and August and as long as we hang around normal (The 80's by this point) I doubt many will complain. And if they do, they should move to the southwest or Florida.

I hate heat but this is the first time it has really appeared on the GFS and managed to show up on a few consecutive runs. As you said its mid June so we're bound to heat up. Whether its closer to 90 or 100 remains to be seen.

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I hate heat but this is the first time it has really appeared on the GFS and managed to show up on a few consecutive runs. As you said its mid June so we're bound to heat up. Whether its closer to 90 or 100 remains to be seen.

If you notice the models are also brining in convection chances with heat. It's not going to be a dry ridge. So you have to factor clouds and rain into keeping temps down. Now if you can get an EML in here then that would really boost severe chances. The GFS is hinting at that.

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The gravy train should be slightly east today or just to the NW of the major cities. You can already see the light showers setting up shop. PWAT's are high and will only be increasing so any showers will be capable of localized downpours. Should be another feast or famine day.

 

pwtr_sf.gif?1402579647597

atmosphere is saturated with that east flow and this continuous drizzle just need a trigger wouldn't be surprised if flooding and watches/localized warnings  becomes an issue tomorrow you should consider creating another thread for this possibility and the possibility of severe storms being in the mix

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