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June 2014


NEG NAO

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Idk looks like we were peaking color around then. Dying leaves...

http://www.travelchannel.com/interests/weather/fall-foliage

Edit: One of the worst maps of the US I've seen.

Those maps always seem to be a little off to me, but maybe it's just the species of trees that were in my area. They were nowhere near peak during Sandy. "Athena" actually took out more leaves, since they were weaker.

Either way, 2012 was the worst year for fall foliage.

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The wind damage was absolutely nothing like the water damage. Within 10 days it was like two different worlds between the surge areas and the higher elevations that just had tree/power line wind damage. My town had no rail service or power for up to a month and no useable water for nearly two weeks. Our infrastructure system had to be essentially rebuilt and still faces difficulty today with flooding after heavy rain events. The remnants of Andrea last June caused a lot of problems.

Notice I said wind damage. I was in Atlantic County and it was the most severe wind damage that I've seen over such a large area from a thunderstorm. Some places in the town I was in (Pomoma) didn't have power for two weeks.
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Are we going to make it to 70 tomorrow or not?

9 A.M. Temps - further inland you are the better the chance especially if the skies brighten later

 

http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.asus41.OKX.KOKX.html

 

But as you can see its going to be difficult to get any type of clearing

 

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-vis-12

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9 A.M. Temps - further inland you are the better the chance especially if the skies brighten later

 

http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.asus41.OKX.KOKX.html

 

But as you can see its going to be difficult to get any type of clearing

 

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/1km/index.php?type=LongIsland-vis-12

Today should be another socked-in day with the east winds.

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The pattern remains stagnant. It's almost mid-June so just going off climo we're going to have warm and muggy periods. The overall setup is for ridging off the southeast coast, troughing near New England or just to the east and for the most part heat stuck to the west. We'll have a day here or there that might get downright oppressive but that will likely be due to the high humidity levels and not necessarily actual temperatures. As has been the case all season, NYC is on the battle ground.

 

I still see no big heat in the future. The models continue to waffle back and forth and I would strike up the chances of a big heat wave this month to be about as good as that fantasy TC that the GFS has been showing for two weeks. It's only June 11th and we still have a good 12-16 weeks for those that want a heat wave.

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Same deal with the heat-fantasy range.  Trough holding firm NE of New England.  Going to be tough to get any real heat for more than a day or so with that feature.

 

pretty much.  Any long range signal for sustained warmth has pretty much been washed out as we get closer in. Sure we have had a few warm days, but it hasnt been widespread 90+. As has been mentioned, the pattern is pretty stale, essentially repeating itself. In the end i think once again we see a day or two of warmth with 90 as the exception, not the rule.

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Its more like day 6 now. We could be hitting 90 by Tuesday and then hotter by mid to late week.

It's questionable right now just because every big heat that has been shown has failed thus far. It's more likely we hit 90 past mid month versus before just because of climo but I don't see heat wave or anything like that yet.

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