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June Discussion


Bostonseminole

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I guess I missed MetHerb's sarcasm.

 

August 6 1906 was the latest date. 

 

I was just reacting to the half page of posts about the heat dome and potential deaths from heat.  I just don't think it's that big of a deal to have high heat in July.  It happens.  Outside of that discussion no body was calling for high heat so I didn't mean anything by it.  I'm actually rooting for breaking lack of heat records but that remains to be seen.  It's early in the first period!

 

As for the current weather, I don't think anyone could ask for better summer weather.  Just awesome the past couple of days!

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Nice to see the Euro OP came back down to earth

 

It certainly backed off, but it kinda "had to" for being so extreme at that sort of time lead.

 

That said, I'm not so sure it doesn't turn around a board the space shuttle all over again ... if not on this next cycle, within a day or two. The operational GFS switched places with the Euro on the 00z run, and the GEFs derived NAO is even more pronounced with a phase shift to positive.  The PNA has no pulse at this time of year, effectively establishing the main correlator for NE being the orientation of the flow over eastern Canada.  With this ....

 

post-904-0-43618300-1403368027_thumb.jpg

 

...the westerlies should lift in latitude, so unfortunately, unless the Euro ensembles having a countering argument, I would urge that the 00z Euro is incorrect.  How to correct remains to be seen, but my money still bets on higher heights for stint and some bigger heat transport -- more so than the 00z op. Euro.  We'll see.

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It certainly backed off, but it kinda "had to" for being so extreme at that sort of time lead.

That said, I'm not so sure it doesn't turn around a board the space shuttle all over again ... if not on this next cycle, within a day or two. The operational GFS switched places with the Euro on the 00z run, and the GEFs derived NAO is even more pronounced with a phase shift to positive. The PNA has no pulse at this time of year, effectively establishing the main correlator for NE being the orientation of the flow over eastern Canada. With this ....

nao3.jpg

...the westerlies should lift in latitude, so unfortunately, unless the Euro ensembles having a countering argument, I would urge that the 00z Euro is incorrect. How to correct remains to be seen, but my money still bets on higher heights for stint and some bigger heat transport -- more so than the 00z op. Euro. We'll see.

Ens agree with OP
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OMG we get it...every day for the past like 2 weeks it's just been post after post "doesn't get any better than this"..."perfect summer weather"..."this low dew stuff is great"...how many times a day does that need to be posted?

:lol: Might as well just shut the board down until something exciting happens.

Do you not agree this is purrrrrfect weather? We all miss Blizz too.

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This is a serious cool shot climo wise. Westerly winds and full sun and BOS barely struggling through the low 70s at the summer solstice.

 

I was thinking the same thing.  Topped out here at 69.5 at 11:30. with a mix of sun and clouds

 

68.6/49

 

OMG we get it...every day for the past like 2 weeks it's just been post after post "doesn't get any better than this"..."perfect summer weather"..."this low dew stuff is great"...how many times a day does that need to be posted? 

 

LOL--like forecasting in San Diego.

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:lol: Might as well just shut the board down until something exciting happens.

Do you not agree this is purrrrrfect weather? We all miss Blizz too.

 

 

I was thinking the same thing.  Topped out here at 69.5 at 11:30. with a mix of sun and clouds

 

68.6/49

 

 

LOL--like forecasting in San Diego.

 

It's pretty much beating a dead horse right now...I mean we all know what this pattern is like and what the overall pattern has been and as long as that continues so will these string of days.  

 

Sure...it has been pleasant...yes it's been pretty boring but honestly I'm completely fine with that...just one less distraction for me right now.

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It's pretty much beating a dead horse right now...I mean we all know what this pattern is like and what the overall pattern has been and as long as that continues so will these string of days.  

 

Sure...it has been pleasant...yes it's been pretty boring but honestly I'm completely fine with that...just one less distraction for me right now.

 

Isn't this wx great!!!

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Isn't this wx great!!!

 

summer just began today too...it's not like what we have is anything abnormal...I guess expectations are a little altered b/c in the past we've already seen a heat wave somewhere by now or we've been dealing with higher amounts of humidity but summer just started lol.  This month has been pretty normal overall...at least temp wise...

 

MonthTDeptNRCC.png

 

Precip wise it's been fairly dry, however, just off to our west it's been pretty wet...just have had perfect setup to keep the axis of heavier rains just off to our west...

 

MonthPDeptNRCC.png

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OMG we get it...every day for the past like 2 weeks it's just been post after post "doesn't get any better than this"..."perfect summer weather"..."this low dew stuff is great"...how many times a day does that need to be posted? 

COC day after day AWT wow  wow  wow, best June in a long time, no rainouts at softball, AC still not installed, easy to work outside, now its time for 80s and beach weather, as its written up in the playbook. DO THE DEW WIZZY

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COC day after day AWT wow  wow  wow, best June in a long time, no rainouts at softball, easy to work outside, now its time for 80s and beach weather, as its written up in the playbook. DO THE DEW WIZZY

 

We'll see what happens as we move towards July...it does appear some troughing may begin to develop across the western tier of the country which would allow for more ridging to build here across the east, however, ensembles (at least GFS) keep a trough nearby in southern Canada so it's very possible that we could still end up being influenced by more in the way of troughing than ridging...that may not be a terrible thing though...that could actually allow the pattern to be a bit more active with numerous convective chances really but it all depends on the actual configuration of the large scale pattern.  

 

While that could allow for some heat to sneak in to our area it would be quite difficult to maintain a lengthy period of high heat...again that's fine...just as long as it means lots of convective chances lol

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